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Given an autoregressive process X of order p (i.e. X_n = a_1 X_{n-1} + ...+ a_p X_{n_p} + Y_n where the random variables Y_1, Y_2, ... are i.i.d.), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the process does not exceed a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Christoph Baumgarten

We provide a partially affirmative answer to the following question on robustness of polynomial stability with respect to sampling: ``Suppose that a continuous-time state-feedback controller achieves the polynomial stability of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Masashi Wakaiki

The algebraic stability theorem for $\mathbb{R}$-persistence modules is a fundamental result in topological data analysis. We present a stability theorem for $n$-dimensional rectangle decomposable persistence modules up to a constant…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Håvard Bakke Bjerkevik

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We establish exact formulae for the persistence probabilities of an AR(1) sequence with symmetric uniform innovations in terms of certain families of polynomials, most notably a family introduced by Mallows and Riordan as enumerators of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alin Bostan , Kilian Raschel , Thomas Simon

We construct here an iterative evaluation of all PR map codes: progress of this iteration is measured by descending complexity within "Ordinal" O := N[\omega] of polynomials in one indeterminate, ordered lexicographically. Non-infinit…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-30 Michael Pfender

One of the main reasons for topological persistence being useful in data analysis is that it is backed up by a stability (isometry) property: persistence diagrams of $1$-parameter persistence modules are stable in the sense that the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Tamal K. Dey , Cheng Xin

The local persistence R(t), defined as the proportion of the system still in its initial state at time t, is measured for the Bak--Sneppen model. For 1 and 2 dimensions, it is found that the decay of R(t) depends on one of two classes of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. A. Head

While the asymptotic stability of positive linear systems in the presence of bounded time delays has been thoroughly investigated, the theory for nonlinear positive systems is considerably less well-developed. This paper presents a set of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Hamid Reza Feyzmahdavian , Themistoklis Charalambous , Mikael Johansson

This paper proposes a new approach to describe the stability of linear time-invariant systems via the torsion $\tau(t)$ of the state trajectory. For a system $\dot{r}(t)=Ar(t)$ where $A$ is invertible, we show that (1) if there exists a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Yuxin Wang , Huafei Sun , Yueqi Cao , Shiqiang Zhang

For AR(1)-processes $X_n=\rho X_{n-1}+\xi_n$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, where $\rho\in\mathbb{R}$ and $(\xi_i)_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ is an i.i.d. sequence of random variables, we study the persistence probabilities $\mathbb{P}(X_0\ge 0,\dots, X_N\ge…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Frank Aurzada , Marvin Kettner

We study the probability that an AR(1) Markov chain $X_{n+1}=aX_n+\xi_{n+1}$, where $a\in(0,1)$ is a constant, stays non-negative for a long time. We find the exact asymptotics of this probability and the weak limit of $X_n$ conditioned to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Vladislav Vysotsky , Vitali Wachtel

While decomposition of one-parameter persistence modules behaves nicely, as demonstrated by the algebraic stability theorem, decomposition of multiparameter modules is known to be unstable in a certain precise sense. Until now, it has not…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Håvard Bakke Bjerkevik

Suppose the auto-correlations of real-valued, centered Gaussian process $Z(\cdot)$ are non-negative and decay as $\rho(|s-t|)$ for some $\rho(\cdot)$ regularly varying at infinity of order $-\alpha \in [-1,0)$. With $I_\rho(t)=\int_0^t…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-12 Amir Dembo , Sumit Mukherjee

We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail. When the model is normal, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We propose a procedure to decide between the null hypothesis of (strict) stationarity and the alternative of non-stationarity, in the context of a Random Coefficient AutoRegression (RCAR). The procedure is based on randomising a diagnostic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-07 Lorenzo Trapani

We study the persistence probability for some discrete-time, time-reversible processes. In particular, we deduce the persistence exponent in a number of examples: first, we deal with random walks in random sceneries (RWRS) in any dimension…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana

For a class of one-dimensional autoregressive processes $(X_n)$ we consider the tail behaviour of the stopping time $T_0=\min \lbrace n\geq 1: X_n\leq 0 \rbrace$. We discuss existing general analytical approaches to this and related…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Günter Hinrichs , Martin Kolb , Vitali Wachtel

A mathematical model describing the initial stage of the capture into the parametric autoresonance in nonlinear oscillating systems with a dissipation is considered. Solutions with unboundedly growing energy in time at infinity are…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-03-03 Oskar Sultanov
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