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Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are widely used statistical models for modeling sequential data. The parameter estimation for HMMs from time series data is an important learning problem. The predominant methods for parameter estimation are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-30 Carl Mattfeld

Multi-state models are commonly used for intermittent observations of a state over time, but these are generally based on the Markov assumption, that transition rates are independent of the time spent in current and previous states. In a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Christopher Jackson

Modeling the dynamics of non-stationary stochastic systems requires balancing the representational power of deep learning with the mathematical transparency of classical models. While classical Markov transition operators provide explicit,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jan Rovirosa , Jesse Schmolze

We present a long-term intrinsically motivated structure learning method for modeling transition dynamics during controlled interactions between a robot and semi-permanent structures in the world. In particular, we discuss how…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-07-18 Jay Ming Wong , Roderic A. Grupen

Gene regulatory networks with dynamics characterized by multiple stable states underlie cell fate-decisions. Quantitative models that can link molecular-level knowledge of gene regulation to a global understanding of network dynamics have…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-19 Brian K. Chu , Margaret J. Tse , Royce R. Sato , Elizabeth L. Read

In this study, we address the interpretability issue in complex, black-box Machine Learning models applied to sequence data. We introduce the Model-Based tree Hidden Semi-Markov Model (MOB-HSMM), an inherently interpretable model aimed at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Chan Hsu , Wei-Chun Huang , Jun-Ting Wu , Chih-Yuan Li , Yihuang Kang

Symbol-level precoding (SLP) based on the concept of constructive interference (CI) is shown to be superior to traditional block-level precoding (BLP), however at the cost of a symbol-by-symbol optimization during the precoding design. In…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Ang Li , Chao Shen , Xuewen Liao , Christos Masouros , A. Lee Swindlehurst

Compartmental models are effective in modeling the spread of infectious pathogens, but have remaining weaknesses in fitting to real datasets exhibiting stochastic effects. We propose a stochastic SIHR model with a dynamic transmission rate,…

This paper introduces a hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs) framework to the Affleck-Kennedy-Lieb-Tasaki (AKLT) state-a cornerstone example of a symmetry-protected topological (SPT) phase. The model's observation system is the physical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-23 Abdessatar Souissi , Amenallah Andolsi

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We study the misclassification error for community detection in general heterogeneous stochastic block models (SBM) with noisy or partial label information. We establish a connection between the misclassification rate and the notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 T. Tony Cai , Tengyuan Liang , Alexander Rakhlin

This paper describes the conversion of a Hidden Markov Model into a finite state transducer that closely approximates the behavior of the stochastic model. In some cases the transducer is equivalent to the HMM. This conversion is especially…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Andre Kempe

Deep learning (DL) methods have outperformed parametric models such as historical average, ARIMA and variants in predicting traffic variables into short and near-short future, that are critical for traffic management. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Agnimitra Sengupta , Adway Das , S. Ilgin Guler

In this paper, we present a method for recognising an agent's behaviour in dynamic, noisy, uncertain domains, and across multiple levels of abstraction. We term this problem on-line plan recognition under uncertainty and view it generally…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-06 H. H. Bui , S. Venkatesh , G. West

In this paper, we study joint queue-aware and channel-aware scheduling of arbitrarily bursty traffic over multi-state time-varying channels, where the bursty packet arrival in the network layer, the backlogged queue in the data link layer,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-06 Meng Wang , Juan Liu , Wei Chen

The embedded hidden Markov model (EHMM) sampling method is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique for state inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models which was proposed in Neal (2003); Neal et al. (2004) and extended in…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-28 Axel Finke , Arnaud Doucet , Adam M. Johansen

The partially observable hidden Markov model is an extension of the hidden Markov Model in which the hidden state is conditioned on an independent Markov chain. This structure is motivated by the presence of discrete metadata, such as an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-21 John V. Monaco , Charles C. Tappert

A stochastic Model Predictive Control strategy for control systems with communication networks between the sensor node and the controller and between the controller and the actuator node is proposed. Data packets are subject to random…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-30 Marijan Palmisano , Martin Steinberger , Martin Horn

Sparse code multiple access (SCMA) is a promising technique for future machine type communication systems due to its superior spectral efficiency and capability for supporting massive connectivity. This paper proposes a novel class of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Haibo Liu , Qu Luo , Zilong Liu , Shan Luo , Pei Xiao , Xiaojun Yuan

This paper presents a four-stage algorithm for the realization of multi-input/multi-output (MIMO) switched linear systems (SLSs) from Markov parameters. In the first stage, a linear time-varying (LTV) realization that is topologically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-30 Fethi Bencherki , Semiha Türkay , Hüseyin Akçay