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The paper compares probabilistic and exact methods for estimating the asymptotic behavior of summation arithmetic functions, and estimates of the results are obtained by precise methods. Conditions for stationarity in the broad sense are…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-11 Victor Volfson

We show how averages of exponential functions of path dependent quantities, such as those of Work Fluctuation Theorems, detect phase transitions in deterministic and stochastic systems. State space truncation -- the restriction of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Matteo Colangeli , Antonio Di Francesco , Lamberto Rondoni

We develop nonlinear renewal theorems for a perturbed random walk without assuming stochastic boundedness of centered perturbation terms. A second order expansion of the expected stopping time is obtained via the uniform integrability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Keiji Nagai , Cun-Hui Zhang

Recent literature has found conditional transition rates to be a useful tool for avoiding Markov assumptions in multi-state models. While the estimation of univariate conditional transition rates has been extensively studied, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Theis Bathke

We consider an operator-based latent Markov representation of a stochastic nonlinear dynamical system, where the stochastic evolution of the latent state embedded in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space is described with the corresponding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Naichang Ke , Ryogo Tanaka , Yoshinobu Kawahara

We rigorously extend the widely used wild bootstrap resampling technique to the multivariate Nelson-Aalen estimator under Aalen's multiplicative intensity model. Aalen's model covers general Markovian multistate models including competing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-06 Tobias Bluhmki , Dennis Dobler , Jan Beyersmann , Markus Pauly

Many applications in medical statistics as well as in other fields can be described by transitions between multiple states (e.g. from health to disease) experienced by individuals over time. In this context, multi-state models are a popular…

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We review various combinatorial interpretations and mappings of stationary-state probabilities of the totally asymmetric, partially asymmetric and symmetric simple exclusion processes (TASEP, PASEP, SSEP respectively). In these steady…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Anthony J. Wood , Richard A. Blythe , Martin R. Evans

We consider the problem of estimating the number of hidden states (the order) of a nonparametric hidden Markov model (HMM). We propose two different methods and prove their almost sure consistency without any prior assumption, be it on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Luc Lehéricy

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

We observe a length-$n$ sample generated by an unknown,stationary ergodic Markov process (\emph{model}) over a finite alphabet $\mathcal{A}$. Given any string $\bf{w}$ of symbols from $\mathcal{A}$ we want estimates of the conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-11 Meysam Asadi , Ramezan Paravi Torghabeh , Narayana P. Santhanam

State-space models effectively model multivariate time series by updating over time a representation of the system state from which predictions are made. The state representation is usually a vector without any explicit structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Daniele Zambon , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

The focus of this article is on entropy and Markov processes. We study the properties of functionals which are invariant with respect to monotonic transformations and analyze two invariant "additivity" properties: (i) existence of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 A. N. Gorban , P. A. Gorban , G. Judge

We are interested in the connection between a metastable continuous state space Markov process (satisfying e.g. the Langevin or overdamped Langevin equation) and a jump Markov process in a discrete state space. More precisely, we use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-08 Giacomo Di Gesù , Tony Lelièvre , Dorian Le Peutrec , Boris Nectoux

A classical approach to formal policy synthesis in stochastic dynamical systems is to construct a finite-state abstraction, often represented as a Markov decision process (MDP). The correctness of these approaches hinges on a behavioural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Thom Badings , Alessandro Abate

In this paper consensus in second-order multi-agent systems with a non-periodic sampled-data exchange among agents is investigated. The sampling is random with bounded inter-sampling intervals. It is assumed that each agent has exact…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Mehran Zareh , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Mauro Franceschelli , Karl Henrik Johansson , Carla Seatzu

In this paper, we study the stabilization of two interdependent Markov jump linear systems (MJLSs) with partial information, where the interdependency arises as the transition of the mode of one system depends on the states of the other…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-26 Guanze Peng , Juntao Chen , Quanyan Zhu

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

We study the convergence of random function iterations for finding an invariant measure of the corresponding Markov operator. We call the problem of finding such an invariant measure the stochastic fixed point problem. This generalizes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Neal Hermer , D. Russell Luke , Anja Sturm