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This paper examines the quasi-stationary behavior of stochastic rumor processes. Using the results by van Doorn and Pollett (2008), we first prove that the continuous-time Maki--Thompson model has a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Iddo Ben-Ari , Elcio Lebensztayn , Lucas Sousa Santos

This paper develops the first class of algorithms that enable unbiased estimation of steady-state expectations for multidimensional reflected Brownian motion. In order to explain our ideas, we first consider the case of compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen

Continuous-time state-space models (SSMs) are flexible tools for analysing irregularly sampled sequential observations that are driven by an underlying state process. Corresponding applications typically involve restrictive assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-29 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Marius Ötting , Houda Yaqine , Jost Reinecke

We study Markov interval maps with random holes. The holes are not necessarily elements of the Markov partition. Under a suitable, and physically relevant, assumption on the noise, we show that the transfer operator associated with the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Wael Bahsoun , Joerg Schmeling , Sandro Vaienti

The behaviour of a space-modulated, so-called "argumental" oscillator is studied, which is represented by a model having an even-parity space-modulating function. Analytic expressions of a stability criterion and of discrete energy levels…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-06-30 Daniel Cintra , Pierre Argoul

Using the hyper-exponential recurrence criterion, a large deviation principle for the occupation measure is derived for a class of non-linear monotone stochastic partial differential equations. The main results are applied to many concrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ran Wang , Jie Xiong , Lihu Xu

We prove a random Ruelle--Perron--Frobenius theorem and the existence of relative equilibrium states for a class of random open and closed interval maps, without imposing transitivity requirements, such as mixing and covering conditions,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Jason Atnip , Gary Froyland , Cecilia González-Tokman , Sandro Vaienti

We consider discrete-time Markov chains and study large deviations of the pair empirical occupation measure, which is useful to compute fluctuations of pure-additive and jump-type observables. We provide an exact expression for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-04 Giorgio Carugno , Pierpaolo Vivo , Francesco Coghi

We introduce occupation uncertainty relations (OURs) for dynamics of a Markov process over discrete configurations. Those are lower bounds on uncertainties of system observables that are time-integrated along stochastic trajectories. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-25 Katarzyna Macieszczak

Non-equilibrium systems have long-ranged spatial correlations even far away from critical points. This implies that the likelihoods of spatial steady state profiles of physical observables are nonlocal functionals. In this letter, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Otto Pulkkinen

We study the ordering dynamics of nonlinear voter models with multiple states, also providing a discussion of the two-state model. The rate with which an individual adopts an opinion scales as the $q$-th power of the number of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-01 Lucía Soledad Ramirez , Federico Vazquez , Maxi San Miguel , Tobias Galla

Stochastic point processes with refractoriness appear frequently in the quantitative analysis of physical and biological systems, such as the generation of action potentials by nerve cells, the release and reuptake of vesicles at a synapse,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Moritz Deger , Moritz Helias , Stefano Cardanobile , Fatihcan M. Atay , Stefan Rotter

This paper deals with input/output-to-state stability (IOSS) of switched nonlinear systems whose switching signals obey pre-specified restrictions on admissible switches between the subsystems and admissible dwell times on the subsystems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-04 Atreyee Kundu

Probabilistic conditioning is concerned with the identification of a distribution of a random variable $X$ given a random variable $Y$. It is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications where modeling uncertainty is key. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Panos Tsimpos , Edoardo Calvello , Ayoub Belhadji , Nicholas H. Nelsen

We propose a general classification of nonequilibrium steady states in terms of their stationary probability distribution and the associated probability currents. The stationary probabilities can be represented graph-theoretically as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 R. K. P. Zia , B. Schmittmann

Queueing networks are systems of theoretical interest that find widespread use in the performance evaluation of interconnected resources. In comparison to counterpart models in genetics or mathematical biology, the stochastic (jump)…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Iker Perez , Giuliano Casale

We consider the occupation area of spherical (fractional) Brownian motion, i.e. the area where the process is positive, and show that it is uniformly distributed. For the proof, we introduce a new simple combinatorial view on occupation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Frank Aurzada , Leif Döring , Helmut H. Pitters

Based on a quantum mechanical approach, we investigate moment- (or M-) indeterminate probability densities by way of the characteristic function and self-adjoint operators. The approach leads to new methods to construct classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Patrick Loughlin , Leon Cohen

We develop Bayesian state space methods for modelling changes to the mean level or temporal correlation structure of an observed time series due to intermittent coupling with an unobserved process. Novel intervention methods are proposed to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-08 Philip G. Sansom , Daniel B. Williamson , David B. Stephenson

The Master equation describes the time evolution of the probabilities of a system with a discrete state space. This time evolution approaches for long times a stationary state that will in general depend on the initial probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-03-09 Bernd Fernengel , Barbara Drossel
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