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We consider the problem of constructing pointwise confidence intervals in the multiple isotonic regression model. Recently, [HZ19] obtained a pointwise limit distribution theory for the so-called block max-min and min-max estimators [FLN17]…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Hang Deng , Qiyang Han , Cun-Hui Zhang

In this paper we study minimax and adaptation rates in general isotonic regression. For uniform deterministic and random designs in $[0,1]^d$ with $d\ge 2$ and $N(0,1)$ noise, the minimax rate for the $\ell_2$ risk is known to be bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Hang Deng , Cun-Hui Zhang

We find limiting distributions of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a log-concave density, that is, a density of the form $f_0=\exp\varphi_0$ where $\varphi_0$ is a concave function on $\mathbb{R}$. The pointwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Kaspar Rufibach , Jon A. Wellner

Blocking, a special case of rerandomization, is routinely implemented in the design stage of randomized experiments to balance the baseline covariates. This study proposes a regression adjustment method based on the least absolute shrinkage…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu , Yuehan Yang

Limit distributions for the greatest convex minorant and its derivative are considered for a general class of stochastic processes including partial sum processes and empirical processes, for independent, weakly dependent and long range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 D. Anevski , O. Hössjer

We consider the problem of estimating how well a model class is capable of fitting a distribution of labeled data. We show that it is often possible to accurately estimate this "learnability" even when given an amount of data that is too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

This paper concerns about the limiting distributions of change point estimators, in a high-dimensional linear regression time series context, where a regression object $(y_t, X_t) \in \mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^p$ is observed at every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu

We study the isotonic regression estimator over a general countable pre-ordered set. We obtain the limiting distribution of the estimator and study its properties. It is proved that, under some general assumptions, the limiting distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Dragi Anevski , Vladimir Pastukhov

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be independent identically distributed random variables with $\mathbb E X_k=0$, $\mathrm{Var} X_k=1$. Suppose that $\varphi(t):=\log \mathbb E e^{t X_k}<\infty$ for all $t>-\sigma_0$ and some $\sigma_0>0$. Let…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Zakhar Kabluchko , Yizao Wang

This paper studies M-estimators with gradient-Lipschitz loss function regularized with convex penalty in linear models with Gaussian design matrix and arbitrary noise distribution. A practical example is the robust M-estimator constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Pierre C Bellec , Yiwei Shen

Many functionals of interest in statistics and machine learning can be written as minimizers of expected loss functions. Such functionals are called $M$-estimands, and can be estimated by $M$-estimators -- minimizers of empirical average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Arunav Bhowmick , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We establish theoretical guarantees for the expected prediction error of the exponential weighting aggregate in the case of multivariate regression that is when the label vector is multidimensional. We consider the regression model with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Arnak S. Dalalyan

We investigate deterministic identification over arbitrary memoryless channels under the constraint that the error probabilities of first and second kind are exponentially small in the block length $\mathbf{n}$, controlled by reliability…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Pau Colomer , Christian Deppe , Holger Boche , Andreas Winter

Learning discrete distributions from i.i.d. samples is a well-understood problem. However, advances in generative machine learning prompt an interesting new, non-i.i.d. setting: after receiving a certain number of samples, an estimated…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Millen Kanabar , Michael Gastpar

We derive upper bounds for random design linear regression with dependent ($\beta$-mixing) data absent any realizability assumptions. In contrast to the strictly realizable martingale noise regime, no sharp instance-optimal non-asymptotics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

The advent of large-scale inference has spurred reexamination of conventional statistical thinking. In a Gaussian model for $n$ many $z$-scores with at most $k < \frac{n}{2}$ nonnulls, Efron suggests estimating the location and scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Subhodh Kotekal , Chao Gao

$f$-divergences, which quantify discrepancy between probability distributions, are ubiquitous in information theory, machine learning, and statistics. While there are numerous methods for estimating $f$-divergences from data, a limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Sreejith Sreekumar , Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

We consider the performance of the difference-in-means estimator in a two-arm randomized experiment under common experimental endpoints such as continuous (regression), incidence, proportion and survival. We examine performance under both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 David Azriel , Abba M. Krieger , Adam Kapelner

We employ a parameter-free distribution estimation framework where estimators are random distributions and utilize the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence as a loss function. Wu and Vos [J. Statist. Plann. Inference 142 (2012) 1525-1536] show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Paul Vos , Qiang Wu

It is well known that the isotonic least squares estimator is characterized as the derivative of the greatest convex minorant of a random walk. Provided the walk has exchangeable increments, we prove that the slopes of the greatest convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Jake A. Soloff , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Jim Pitman
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