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The concept of Probability of Causation (PC) is critically important in legal contexts and can help in many other domains. While it has been around since 1986, current operationalizations can obtain only the minimum and maximum values of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Tapajit Dey , Audris Mockus

So far, the Standard Model of particle physics (SM) describes the phenomenology observed in high energy physics. In the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is expected to find the Higgs boson, which is an essential part of SM; also expects to see…

General Physics · Physics 2010-05-04 O. E. Casas B , A. M. Raba P. , N. Poveda T

Probabilities of causation play a crucial role in modern decision-making. Pearl defined three binary probabilities of causation, the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of sufficiency (PS), and the probability of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

Symmetry lies at the heart of todays theoretical study of particle physics. Our manuscript is a tutorial introducing foundational mathematics for understanding physical symmetries. We start from basic group theory and representation theory.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-12-03 Jiaqi Huang

In the real world, experimental data are rarely, if ever, distributed as a normal (Gaussian) distribution. As an example, a large set of data--such as the cross sections for particle scattering as a function of energy contained in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Martin M. Block

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm

Determination of posterior probability for go-no-go decision and predictive power are becoming increasingly common for resource optimization in clinical investigation. There are vast published literature on these topics; however, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-09 Madan G. Kundu , Sandipan Samanta , Shoubhik Mondal

Given a sequence \xi_1, \xi_2,... of X-valued, exchangeable random elements, let q(\xi^(n)) and p_m(\xi^(n)) stand for posterior and predictive distribution, respectively, given \xi^(n) = (\xi_1,..., \xi_n). We provide an upper bound for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Donato Michele Cifarelli , Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

In classical physics, probabilistic or statistical knowledge has been always related to ignorance or inaccurate subjective knowledge about an actual state of affairs. This idea has been extended to quantum mechanics through a completely…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-03-29 Christian de Ronde

We discuss several ways of illustrating fundamental concepts in statistical and thermal physics by considering various models and algorithms. We emphasize the importance of replacing students' incomplete mental images by models that are…

Physics Education · Physics 2009-11-13 Jan Tobochnik , Harvey Gould

The machine learning community adopted the use of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) in order to ensure the statistical validity of results. Many scientific fields however realized the shortcomings of frequentist reasoning and in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Alessio Benavoli , Giorgio Corani , Janez Demsar , Marco Zaffalon

Stochastic motion of particles in a highly unstable potential generates a number of diverging trajectories leading to undefined statistical moments of the particle position. This makes experiments challenging and breaks down a standard…

We study a class of dynamically constructed point processes in which at every step a new point (particle) is added to the current configuration with a distribution depending on the local structure around a uniformly chosen particle. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-22 Anton Muratov , Sergei Zuyev

Consistent statistical physical description is given for systems where the elementary excitations are composite objects. Explicit calculational scheme is constructed for the energy density and the total number of thermodynamical degrees of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-03-01 A. Jakovac

Using a variational technique, we generalize the statistical physics approach of learning from random examples to make it applicable to real data. We demonstrate the validity and relevance of our method by computing approximate estimators…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Malzahn , M. Opper

These four lectures, given at the British Universities Summer School in Theoretical Elementary Particle Physics (BUSSTEPP), held in 2014 in Southampton, are a brief introduction to a selection of current topics in physics Beyond the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-03-10 Ben Gripaios

We propose a method to estimate the probability of new physics discovery in future high energy physics experiments. Physics simulation gives both the average numbers $<N_b>$ of background and $<N_s>$ of signal events. We find that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov

LECTURE GIVEN AT TH2002. Given a set of Boolean variables, and some constraints between them, is it possible to find a configuration of the variables which satisfies all constraints? This problem, which is at the heart of combinatorial…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Marc Mezard

The statistics of the sum of random weights where the number of weights is Poisson distributed has important applications in nuclear physics, particle physics and astrophysics. Events are frequently weighted according to their acceptance or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-17 G. Bohm , G. Zech

These lecture notes on Generalised Parton Distributions aim at providing a general picture of the field on the theoretical and phenomenological sides to master and Ph.D. students. They go along with the lecture given at the Baryon…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-09-07 Cédric Mezrag