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Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real life experiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) we present a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and the uncertainty (in the form of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Alessandro Corbetta , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi , Kiamars Vafayi

This paper explores an approach to Bayesian sample size determination in clinical trials. The approach falls into the category of what is often called "proper Bayesian", in that it does not mix frequentist concepts with Bayesian ones. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-23 Robb J. Muirhead , Adina I. Soaita

Statistics comes in two main flavors: frequentist and Bayesian. For historical and technical reasons, frequentist statistics has dominated data analysis in the past; but Bayesian statistics is making a comeback at the forefront of science.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Carlo A. Furia

Bayesian inferences in high energy physics often use uniform prior distributions for parameters about which little or no information is available before data are collected. The resulting posterior distributions are therefore sensitive to…

Applications · Statistics 2011-06-03 Luc Demortier , Supriya Jain , Harrison B. Prosper

The Bayesian Block algorithm, originally developed for applications in astronomy, can be used to improve the binning of histograms in high energy physics. The visual improvement can be dramatic, as shown here with two simple examples. More…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-14 Brian Pollack , Saptaparna Bhattacharya , Michael Schmitt

Testing hypotheses is an issue of primary importance in the scientific research, as well as in many other human activities. Much clarification about it can be achieved if the process of learning from data is framed in a stochastic model of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

Objective: To figure out the underlying physics of QFTs by following the Feynman heuristics lore: I think equation guessing might be the best method to proceed to obtain the laws for the part of physics which is presently unknown.…

General Physics · Physics 2017-04-18 Marijan Ribarič , Luka Šušteršič

In this paper the generalization of the Poisson distribution is derived for the case when each consecutive event changes event rate. A simple formula for the probability of observing of a given number of events for the selected period of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-06 E. A. Kushnirenko

The reader surely knows what particles physics is about: finding building blocks of nature that appear elementary at a given time and study their interactions - so why in the world this essay? The problem is how to arrive at a fundamental…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-21 Goran Senjanović

Numerical simulations have become an important tool to understand and predict non-perturbative phenomena in particle physics. In this article we attempt to present a general overview over the field. First, the basic concepts of lattice…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2010-12-17 F. Karsch , E. Laermann

Since the discovery of the Higgs boson, the long-standing task at hand in particle physics is the search for new physics beyond the Standard Model, which accounts for only about 5\% of the Universe. In light of this situation, the neutrino…

The Asia-Europe-Pacific School of High-Energy Physics is intended to give young physicists an introduction to the theoretical aspects of recent advances in elementary particle physics. These proceedings contain lecture notes on quantum…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-05-15 Martijn Mulders , Rohini Godbole

When performing Bayesian inference, we frequently need to work with conditional probability densities. For example, the posterior function is the conditional density of the parameters given the data. Some might worry that conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alex Yan , Cathal Mills , Augustin Marignier , Younjung Kim , Ben Lambert

The education system for students in physics suffers (worldwide) from the absence of a deep course in probability and randomness. This is the real problem for students interested in quantum information theory, quantum optics, and quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-10-22 Andrei Khrennikov

This is a set of four lectures presented at the Theoretical Advanced Study Institute (TASI-09) in June 2009. The goal of the lectures is to introduce students to some of the basic ideas and tools required for theoretical analysis of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-08-23 Maxim Perelstein

These are lecture notes written at the University of Zurich during spring 2014 and spring 2015. The first part of the notes gives an introduction to probability theory. It explains the notion of random events and random variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Nima Moshayedi

The statistical methods used by the ATLAS Collaboration for setting upper limits or establishing a discovery are reviewed, as they are fundamental ingredients in the search for new phenomena. The analyses published so far adopted different…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-12 Diego Casadei

These lectures are intended to provide the theoretical basis of describing high-energy particle collisions at a level appropriate to graduate students in experimental high energy physics. They are supposed to be familiar with quantum…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-08-09 Z. Trócsányi

For several decades now, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to theories of particle physics, cosmology and astrophysics to obtain the probability density functions of their free parameters. In this study, we review and compare…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-03 Joshua Albert , Csaba Balazs , Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Nicholas Hunt-Smith , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Martin White

Criteria for defining errors of a physical theory are formulated. It is shown that the Special Theory of Relativity (STR) has a solid mathematical basis. An enormous amount of experiments carried out in particle physics use beams of…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Comay