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We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

Continuously evolving cyber-attacks against industrial networks reduce the effectiveness of signature-based detection methods. Once malware has infiltrated a network (for example, entering via an unsecured device), it can infect further…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Mahdi Abolghasemi , Hideya Ochiai , Asha Rao , Conrad Sanderson

Novelty detection is the unsupervised problem of identifying anomalies in test data which significantly differ from the training set. Novelty detection is one of the classic challenges in Machine Learning and a core component of several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Rémi Domingues

Most of the existing methods for anomaly detection use only positive data to learn the data distribution, thus they usually need a pre-defined threshold at the detection stage to determine whether a test instance is an outlier.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Kai Tian , Shuigeng Zhou , Jianping Fan , Jihong Guan

This brief paper summarize the chances offered by the Peak-Over-Threshold method, related with analysis of extremes. Identification of appropriate Value at Risk can be solved by fitting data with a Generalized Pareto Distribution. Also an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-04 Gianluca Rosso

In this paper, a scale mixture of Normal distributions model is developed for classification and clustering of data having outliers and missing values. The classification method, based on a mixture model, focuses on the introduction of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-23 G. Revillon , A. Djafari , C. Enderli

We present a real-time multivariate anomaly detection algorithm for data streams based on the Probabilistic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (PEWMA). Our formulation is resilient to (abrupt transient, abrupt distributional, and gradual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Kenneth Odoh

Generative models based on variational autoencoders are a popular technique for detecting anomalies in images in a semi-supervised context. A common approach employs the anomaly score to detect the presence of anomalies, and it is known to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Muhammad Rashid , Elvio Amparore , Enrico Ferrari , Damiano Verda

Most classification algorithms used in high energy physics fall under the category of supervised machine learning. Such methods require a training set containing both signal and background events and are prone to classification errors…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Mikael Kuusela , Tommi Vatanen , Eric Malmi , Tapani Raiko , Timo Aaltonen , Yoshikazu Nagai

In this paper we propose a model with a Dirichlet process mixture of gamma densities in the bulk part below threshold and a generalized Pareto density in the tail for extreme value estimation. The proposed model is simple and flexible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-03 Jairo Fuquene

Anomaly detection methods identify examples that do not follow the expected behaviour, typically in an unsupervised fashion, by assigning real-valued anomaly scores to the examples based on various heuristics. These scores need to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Lorenzo Perini , Paul Buerkner , Arto Klami

This paper presents a simple yet effective method for anomaly detection. The main idea is to learn small perturbations to perturb normal data and learn a classifier to classify the normal data and the perturbed data into two different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Jinyu Cai , Jicong Fan

Anomaly detection is an important problem in many application areas, such as network security. Many deep learning methods for unsupervised anomaly detection produce good empirical performance but lack theoretical guarantees. By casting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Tian-Yi Zhou , Matthew Lau , Jizhou Chen , Wenke Lee , Xiaoming Huo

In this paper, we attack the anomaly detection problem by directly modeling the data distribution with deep architectures. We propose deep structured energy based models (DSEBMs), where the energy function is the output of a deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Shuangfei Zhai , Yu Cheng , Weining Lu , Zhongfei Zhang

Extreme value theory is concerned with probabilistic and statistical questions related to very high or very low values in sequences of random variables and in stochastic processes. The subject has a rich mathematical theory and also a long…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-31 Ali Saeb

Capturing the dependence structure of multivariate extreme events is a major concern in many fields involving the management of risks stemming from multiple sources, e.g. portfolio monitoring, insurance, environmental risk management and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-15 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

Although deep learning has been applied to successfully address many data mining problems, relatively limited work has been done on deep learning for anomaly detection. Existing deep anomaly detection methods, which focus on learning new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Guansong Pang , Chunhua Shen , Anton van den Hengel

The random cluster model is used to define an upper bound on a distance measure as a function of the number of data points to be classified and the expected value of the number of classes to form in a hybrid K-means and regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-12 Robert A. Murphy

Mixed modeling of extreme values and random effects is relatively unexplored topic. Computational difficulties in using the maximum likelihood method for mixed models and the fact that maximum likelihood method uses available data and does…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-05 Ali Reza Fotouhi

A method for unsupervised contextual anomaly detection is proposed using a cross-linked pair of Variational Auto-Encoders for assigning a normality score to an observation. The method enables a distinct separation of contextual from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 Yaniv Shulman