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Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

This paper addresses the problem of detecting anomalous activity in traffic networks where the network is not directly observed. Given knowledge of what the node-to-node traffic in a network should be, any activity that differs…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Elizabeth Hou , Yasin Yilmaz , Alfred Hero

Anomaly detection aims at detecting unexpected behaviours in the data. Because anomaly detection is usually an unsupervised task, traditional anomaly detectors learn a decision boundary by employing heuristics based on intuitions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Lorenzo Perini , Jesse Davis

Anomaly detection methods can be very useful in identifying interesting or concerning events. In this work, we develop and examine new probabilistic anomaly detection methods that let us evaluate management decisions for a specific patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Milos Hauskrecht , Michal Valko , Branislav Kveton , Shyam Visweswaran , Gregory Cooper

We propose a method that performs anomaly detection and localisation within heterogeneous data using a pairwise undirected mixed graphical model. The data are a mixture of categorical and quantitative variables, and the model is learned…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-21 Romain Laby , François Roueff , Alexandre Gramfort

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian probabilistic latent variable model for multi-view anomaly detection, which is the task of finding instances that have inconsistent views. With the proposed model, all views of a non-anomalous instance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Makoto Yamada

In classical extreme value theory probabilities of extreme events are estimated assuming all the components of a random vector to be in a domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. In contrast, the conditional extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-30 Bikramjit Das , Sidney I. Resnick

Threshold selection is a fundamental problem in any threshold-based extreme value analysis. While models are asymptotically motivated, selecting an appropriate threshold for finite samples is difficult and highly subjective through standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Conor Murphy , Jonathan A. Tawn , Zak Varty

Whether an extreme observation is an outlier or not, depends strongly on the corresponding tail behaviour of the underlying distribution. We develop an automatic, data-driven method to identify extreme tail behaviour that deviates from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-06 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Jan Beirlant

Anomaly detection is a common analytical task that aims to identify rare cases that differ from the typical cases that make up the majority of a dataset. When applied to the analysis of event sequence data, the task of anomaly detection can…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Shunan Guo , Zhuochen Jin , Qing Chen , David Gotz , Hongyuan Zha , Nan Cao

We present a novel distribution-free approach, the data-driven threshold machine (DTM), for a fundamental problem at the core of many learning tasks: choose a threshold for a given pre-specified level that bounds the tail probability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-17 Shuang Li , Yao Xie , Le Song

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz

Anomaly detection is the process of identifying abnormal instances or events in data sets which deviate from the norm significantly. In this study, we propose a signatures based machine learning algorithm to detect rare or unexpected items…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-09 Erdinc Akyildirim , Matteo Gambara , Josef Teichmann , Syang Zhou

Anomaly detection aims at identifying data points that show systematic deviations from the majority of data in an unlabeled dataset. A common assumption is that clean training data (free of anomalies) is available, which is often violated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Chen Qiu , Aodong Li , Marius Kloft , Maja Rudolph , Stephan Mandt

Unsupervised anomaly detection is a challenging problem due to the diversity of data distributions and the lack of labels. Ensemble methods are often adopted to mitigate these challenges by combining multiple detectors, which can reduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Jordan Levy , Paul Saves , Moncef Garouani , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoit Gaudou

Many real-world monitoring and surveillance applications require non-trivial anomaly detection to be run in the streaming model. We consider an incremental-learning approach, wherein a deep-autoencoding (DAE) model of what is normal is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-11 Albert Akhriev , Jakub Marecek

The sophistication and diversity of contemporary cyberattacks have rendered the use of proxies, gateways, firewalls, and encrypted tunnels as a standalone defensive strategy inadequate. Consequently, the proactive identification of data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Liyang Wang , Yu Cheng , Hao Gong , Jiacheng Hu , Xirui Tang , Iris Li

The task of detecting anomalous data patterns is as important in practical applications as challenging. In the context of spatial data, recognition of unexpected trajectories brings additional difficulties, such as high dimensionality and…

Anomaly detection has many applications ranging from bank-fraud detection and cyber-threat detection to equipment maintenance and health monitoring. However, choosing a suitable algorithm for a given application remains a challenging design…

We introduce an anomaly detection method for multivariate time series data with the aim of identifying critical periods and features influencing extreme climate events like snowmelt in the Arctic. This method leverages the Variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Tolulope Ale , Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel , Vandana P. Janeja