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Related papers: Extreme sensitivity and climate tipping points

200 papers

In an ecosystem, environmental changes as a result of natural and human processes can cause some key parameters of the system to change with time. Depending on how fast such a parameter changes, a tipping point can occur. Existing works on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-16 Shirin Panahi , Younghae Do , Alan Hastings , Ying-Cheng Lai

The reliability of energy systems is strongly influenced by the prevailing climate conditions. With the increasing prevalence of renewable energy sources, the interdependence between energy and climate systems has become even stronger. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-10 Xiangtian Zheng , Le Xie , Kiyeob Lee , Dan Fu , Jiahan Wu , Ping Chang

Exceptional points (EPs) in non-Hermitian systems have recently attracted wide interests and spawned intriguing prospects for enhanced sensing. However, EPs have not yet been realized in thermal atomic ensembles, which is one of the most…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-30 Chao Liang , Yuanjiang Tang , An-Ning Xu , Yong-Chun Liu

This paper estimates the two-component energy balance model as a linear state space system (EBM-SS model) using historical data. It is a joint model for the temperature in the mixed layer, the temperature in the deep ocean layer, and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-23 Mikkel Bennedsen , Eric Hillebrand , Jingying Zhou Lykke

In order to better understand the occurrence of phase transitions, we adopt an approach based on the study of energy landscapes: The relation between stationary points of the potential energy landscape of a classical many-particle system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-03-24 Michael Kastner

We examine the physical manifestations of exceptional points and passage times in a two-level system which is subjected to quantum measurements and which admits a non-Hermitian description. Using an effective Hamiltonian acting in the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 A. Thilagam

Starting from a Huxley-type model for an agitated vibrational mode, we propose an embedding of standard active particle models in terms of two-temperature processes. One temperature refers to an ambient thermal bath, and the other…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-02 Faezeh Khodabandehlou , Christian Maes

Tipping points have been shown to be ubiquitous, both in models and empirically in a range of physical and biological systems. The question of how tipping points cascade through systems has been less well studied and is an important one. A…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Abhishek Mallela , Alan Hastings

Extreme temperature events have traditionally been detected assuming a unimodal distribution of temperature data. We found that surface temperature data can be described more accurately with a multimodal rather than a unimodal distribution.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-14 Aytaç Paçal , Birgit Hassler , Katja Weigel , M. Levent Kurnaz , Michael F. Wehner , Veronika Eyring

What happens when one of the parameters governing the dynamics of a long-range interacting system of particles in thermal equilibrium is abruptly changed (quenched) to a different value? While a short-range system, under the same…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-23 Shamik Gupta , Lapo Casetti

Fluctuations of energy and heat are investigated during the relaxation following the instantaneous temperature quench of an extended system. Results are obtained analytically for the Gaussian model and for the large $N$ model quenched below…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 M. Zannetti , F. Corberi , G. Gonnella , A. Piscitelli

Nonlinear dynamical systems exposed to changing forcing can exhibit catastrophic transitions between alternative and often markedly different states. The phenomenon of critical slowing down (CSD) can be used to anticipate such transitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Yu Huang , Sebastian Bathiany , Peter Ashwin , Niklas Boers

With climate change-related extreme events on the rise, high dimensional Earth observation data presents a unique opportunity for forecasting and understanding impacts on ecosystems. This is, however, impeded by the complexity of…

Climate change exacerbates extreme weather events like heavy rainfall and flooding. As these events cause severe socioeconomic damage, accurate high-resolution simulation of precipitation is imperative. However, existing Earth System Models…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-03 Michael Aich , Philipp Hess , Baoxiang Pan , Sebastian Bathiany , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Exceptional points (EPs) have been suggested for ultra-sensitive sensing because the eigenfrequency splitting grows as the nth-root of a perturbation, suggesting divergent responsivity. In ideal linear devices, however, this responsivity…

Optics · Physics 2025-09-25 Todd Darcie , J. Stewart Aitchison

While the warming trends of the Earth's mean temperature are evident at climatological scales, the local temperature at shorter timescales are highly fluctuating. In this letter we show that the probabilities of such fluctuations are…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-21 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato , Lamberto Rondoni

Decoherence is strongly influenced by environmental criticality, with conventional Hermitian critical points typically enhancing the loss of quantum coherence. Here, we show that this paradigm is fundamentally altered in non-Hermitian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-17 Mei-Lin Li , Zuo Wang , Liang He

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (phase 6) (CMIP6) global circulation models (GCMs) predict equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) values ranging between 1.8 and 5.7 $^\circ$C. To narrow this range, we group 38 GCMs into low, medium…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-21 Nicola Scafetta

The equilibrium ensemble approach to disordered systems is used to investigate the critical behaviour of the two dimensional Ising model in presence of quenched random site dilution. The numerical transfer matrix technique in semi- infinite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Giorgio Mazzeo , Reimer Kuehn

Recently topological states of matter have witnessed a new physical phenomenon where both edge modes and gapless bulk coexist at topological quantum criticality. The presence and absence of edge modes on a critical line can lead to an…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2023-05-12 Ranjith R Kumar , Nilanjan Roy , Y R Kartik , S Rahul , Sujit Sarkar