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We provide methods to validate and compare sensor outputs, or inference algorithms applied to sensor data, by adapting statistical scoring rules. The reported output should either be in the form of a prediction interval or of a parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-07 A. D. Martin , T. C. A. Molteno , M. Parry

In the e-commerce space, accurate prediction of delivery dates plays a major role in customer experience as well as in optimizing the supply chain operations. Predicting a date later than the actual delivery date might sometimes result in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Preethi V , Nachiappan Sundaram , Ravindra Babu Tallamraju

Predicting the number of defects in a project is critical for project test managers to allocate budget, resources, and schedule for testing, support and maintenance efforts. Software Defect Prediction models predict the number of defects in…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Susmita Haldar , Luiz Fernando Capretz

Algorithms are now routinely used to make consequential decisions that affect human lives. Examples include college admissions, medical interventions or law enforcement. While algorithms empower us to harness all information hidden in vast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Bahar Taskesen , Jose Blanchet , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

Traditionally, research in Business Process Management has put a strong focus on centralized and intra-organizational processes. However, today's business processes are increasingly distributed, deviating from a centralized layout, and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Michael Borkowski , Walid Fdhila , Matteo Nardelli , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma , Stefan Schulte

When using complex Bayesian models to combine information, the checking for consistency of the information being combined is good statistical practice. Here a new method is developed for detecting prior-data conflicts in Bayesian models…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 David J. Nott , Xueou Wang , Michael Evans , Berthold-Georg Englert

Explaining predictions based on multivariate time series data carries the additional difficulty of handling not only multiple features, but also time dependencies. It matters not only what happened, but also when, and the same feature could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Joseph Enguehard

This paper presents a lightweight formalism (a trace) to model message-passing concurrent executions where some common common problems can be identified, like lost or delayed messages, some forms of deadlock, etc. In particular, we consider…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Juan José González-Abril , Germán Vidal

We present a Temporal Rule-Anchored Chain-of-Evidence (TRACE) on knowledge graphs for interpretable stock movement prediction that unifies symbolic relational priors, dynamic graph exploration, and LLM-guided decision making in a single…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Qianggang Ding , Haochen Shi , Luis Castejón Lozano , Miguel Conner , Juan Abia , Luis Gallego-Ledesma , Joshua Fellowes , Gerard Conangla Planes , Adam Elwood , Bang Liu

Being based on Web technologies, Linked Data is distributed and decentralised in its nature. Hence, for the purpose of finding relevant Linked Data on the Web, search indices play an important role. Also for avoiding network communication…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Thomas Gottron

Large pretrained foundation models demonstrate exceptional performance and, in some high-stakes applications, even surpass human experts. However, most of these models are currently evaluated primarily on prediction accuracy, overlooking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Tang Li , Mengmeng Ma , Xi Peng

Model checking is usually based on a comprehensive traversal of the state space. Causality-based model checking is a radically different approach that instead analyzes the cause-effect relationships in a program. We give an overview on a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Bernd Finkbeiner , Andrey Kupriyanov

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

Accurate aircraft trajectory prediction (TP) in air traffic management systems is confounded by a number of epistemic uncertainties, dominated by uncertain meteorological conditions and operator specific procedures. Handling this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Amy Hodgkin , Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

We consider a simple model of imprecise comparisons: there exists some $\delta>0$ such that when a subject is given two elements to compare, if the values of those elements (as perceived by the subject) differ by at least $\delta$, then the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-01-14 Miklos Ajtai , Vitaly Feldman , Avinatan Hassidim , Jelani Nelson

Events are occurrences in specific locations, time, and semantics that nontrivially impact either our society or the nature, such as civil unrest, system failures, and epidemics. It is highly desirable to be able to anticipate the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Liang Zhao

Comparing alternatives in pairs is a very well known technique of ranking creation. The answer to how reliable and trustworthy ranking is depends on the inconsistency of the data from which it was created. There are many indices used for…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Konrad Kułakowski , Dawid Talaga

This paper proposes an optimization-based approach to predict trajectories of autonomous race cars. We assume that the observed trajectory is the result of an optimization problem that trades off path progress against acceleration and jerk…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-06 Rudolf Reiter , Florian Messerer , Markus Schratter , Daniel Watzenig , Moritz Diehl

Identifying a temporal pattern of events is a fundamental task of on-line (real-time) verification. We present efficient schemes for on-line monitoring of events for identifying desired/undesired patterns of events. The schemes use…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Shlomi Dolev , Jonathan Goldfeld , Rami Puzis
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