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First-passage properties of continuous stochastic processes confined in a 1--dimensional interval are well described. However, for jump processes (discrete random walks), the characterization of the corresponding observables remains…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-17 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

We present a detailed study on the mean first-passage time of volatility processes. We analyze the theoretical expressions based on the most common stochastic volatility models along with empirical results extracted from daily data of major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

We investigate the escape behavior of systems governed by the one-dimensional nonlinear diffusion equation $\partial_t \rho = \partial_x[\partial_x U\rho] + D\partial^2_x \rho^\nu$, where the potential of the drift, $U(x)$, presents a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 E. K. Lenzi , C. Anteneodo , L. Borland

We consider certain one dimensional ordinary stochastic differential equations driven by additive Brownian motion of variance $\varepsilon ^2$. When $\varepsilon =0$ such equations have an unstable non-hyperbolic fixed point and the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Giambattista Giacomin , Mathieu Merle

Let $S=(S_n)$ be an oscillatory random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}$ with i.i.d. increments. Let $V_{{\rm d}}(x)$ be the renewal function of the strictly descending ladder height process for $S$. We obtain several sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Kohei Uchiyama

We study the norm of the two-dimensional Brownian motion conditioned to stay outside the unit disk at all times. By conditioning the process is changed from barely recurrent to slightly transient. We obtain sharp results on the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Orphée Collin , Francis Comets

We consider an obliquely reflected Brownian motion $Z$ with positive drift in a quadrant stopped at time $T$, where $T:=\inf \{ t>0 : Z(t)=(0,0) \}$ is the first hitting time of the origin. Such a process can be defined even in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Philip Ernst , Sandro Franceschi , Dongzhou Huang

We consider the first exit time of a Shiryaev-Roberts diffusion with constant positive drift from the interval $[0,A]$ where $A>0$. We show that the moment generating function (Laplace transform) of a suitably standardized version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

Let us consider a solution of the time-inhomogeneous stochastic differential equation driven by a Brownian motion with drift coefficient $b(t,x)=\rho\,{\rm sgn}(x)|x|^\alpha/t^\beta$. This process can be viewed as a distorted Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-24 Mihai Gradinaru , Yoann Offret

We study the exact asymptotics for the distribution of the first time $\tau_x$ a L\'evy process $X_t$ crosses a negative level $-x$. We prove that $\mathbf P(\tau_x>t)\sim V(x)\mathbf P(X_t\ge 0)/t$ as $t\to\infty$ for a certain function…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-06 Denis Denisov , Vsevolod Shneer

We explore the archetype problem of an escape dynamics occurring in a symmetric double well potential when the Brownian particle is driven by {\it white L\'evy noise} in a dynamical regime where inertial effects can safely be neglected. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 B. Dybiec E. Gudowska-Nowak P. Hänggi

We consider the occupation area of spherical (fractional) Brownian motion, i.e. the area where the process is positive, and show that it is uniformly distributed. For the proof, we introduce a new simple combinatorial view on occupation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Frank Aurzada , Leif Döring , Helmut H. Pitters

We study the first-passage-time (FPT) properties of an active Brownian particle under stochastic resetting to its initial configuration, comprising its position and orientation, to reach an absorbing wall in two dimensions. Coupling a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-04-04 Yanis Baouche , Christina Kurzthaler

We consider a fractional Brownian motion with unknown linear drift such that the drift coefficient has a prior normal distribution and construct a sequential test for the hypothesis that the drift is positive versus the alternative that it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Alexey Muravlev , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Let $A_t$ be an $\alpha$-stable symmetric process, $0<\alpha\leq 2$, on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and $D\subset \mathbb{R}^d$ be a bounded domain. This paper presents a proof, based on the classical Brascamp-Lieb-Luttinger inequalities for multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Tim Rolling

We investigate large changes, bursts, of the continuous stochastic signals, when the exponent of multiplicativity is higher than one. Earlier we have proposed a general nonlinear stochastic model which can be transformed into Bessel process…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-18 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Stefan Reimann

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

This paper addresses heavy-tailed large deviation estimates for the distribution tail of functionals of a class of spectrally one-sided L\'evy process. Our contribution is to show that these estimates remain valid in a near-critical regime.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Bart Kamphorst , Bert Zwart

For an arbitrary diffusion process $X$ with time-homogeneous drift and variance parameters $\mu(x)$ and $\sigma^2(x)$, let $V_\varepsilon$ be $1/\varepsilon$ times the total time $X(t)$ spends in the strip…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Nils Lid Hjort , Rafail Zalmonovich Khasminskii