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Asymptotic Exponentiality of the First Exit Time of the Shiryaev-Roberts Diffusion with Constant Positive Drift

Methodology 2017-03-07 v2 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

We consider the first exit time of a Shiryaev-Roberts diffusion with constant positive drift from the interval [0,A][0,A] where A>0A>0. We show that the moment generating function (Laplace transform) of a suitably standardized version of the first exit time converges to that of the unit-mean exponential distribution as A+A\to+\infty. The proof is explicit in that the moment generating function of the first exit time is first expressed analytically and in a closed form, and then the desired limit as A+A\to+\infty is evaluated directly. The result is of importance in the area of quickest change-point detection, and its discrete-time counterpart has been previously established - although in a different manner - by Pollak and Tartakovsky (2009).

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Cite

@article{arxiv.1702.08900,
  title  = {Asymptotic Exponentiality of the First Exit Time of the Shiryaev-Roberts Diffusion with Constant Positive Drift},
  author = {Aleksey S. Polunchenko},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1702.08900},
  year   = {2017}
}

Comments

14 pages, 6 figures