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We analyse the behaviour of the implied volatility smile for options close to expiry in the exponential L\'evy class of asset price models with jumps. We introduce a new renormalisation of the strike variable with the property that the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-17 Aleksandar Mijatović , Peter Tankov

The paper discusses multivariate self- and cross-exciting processes. We define a class of multivariate point processes via their corresponding stochastic intensity processes that are driven by stochastic jumps. Essentially, there is a jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Heidar Eyjolfsson , Dag Tjøstheim

The standard diffusion processes are known to be obtained as the limits of appropriate random walks. These prelimiting random walks can be quite different however. The diffusion coefficient can be made responsible for the size of jumps or…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov

We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

The first-passage time is a key concept in stochastic modeling, representing the time at which a process first reaches a specified threshold. In this work, we consider a jump-diffusion (JD) model with a time-dependent threshold, providing a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-04 Sascha Desmettre , Devika Khurana , Amira Meddah

We study the phase transition of dynamical herd behaviors for the yen-dollar exchange rate in the Japanese financial market. It is obtained that the probability distribution of returns satisfies the power-law behavior with three different…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

In this work, we consider the outer Stefan problem for the short-time prediction of the spread of a volatile asset traded in a financial market. The stochastic equation for the evolution of the density of sell and buy orders is the Heat…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 D. C. Antonopoulou , D. Farazakis , G. Karali

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on $\mu$ and volatility coefficient depends on $\sigma$, two unknown parameters. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

We develop a model for point processes on the real line, where the intensity can be locally unbounded without inducing an explosion. In contrast to an orderly point process, for which the probability of observing more than one event over a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Alexei Kolokolov

In this article, we present a method to construct a positivity-preserving numerical scheme for a jump-extended CEV (Constant Elasticity of Variance) process, whose jumps are governed by a spectrally positive $\alpha$-stable process with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Libo Li , Guanting Liu

We investigate the valuation of the bid and ask prices for European option under the mixed fractional Brownian motion environment in the presence of superimposed jumps by an independent Poisson process.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-25 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Let $(X_t)$ be a reflected diffusion process in a bounded convex domain in $\mathbb R^d$, solving the stochastic differential equation $$dX_t = \nabla f(X_t) dt + \sqrt{2f (X_t)} dW_t, ~t \ge 0,$$ with $W_t$ a $d$-dimensional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Richard Nickl

This work develops Feynman-Kac formulas for a class of regime-switching jump diffusion processes, in which the jump part is driven by a Poisson random measure associated to a general L\'evy process and the switching part depends on the jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Chao Zhu , George Yin , Nicholas A. Baran

We provide necessary and sufficient first order geometric conditions for the stochastic invariance of a closed subset of R^d with respect to a jump-diffusion under weak regularity assumptions on the coefficients. Our main result extends the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Eduardo Abi Jaber

Consider a stationary renewal point process on the real line and divide each of the segments it defines in a proportion given by \iid realisations of a fixed distribution $G$ supported by [0,1]. We ask ourselves for which interpoint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Anton Muratov , Sergei Zuyev

We study the dynamics of an infinite system of point particles of two types. They perform random jumps in $\mathbf{R}^d$ in the course of which particles of different types repel each other whereas those of the same type do not interact.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Joanna Baranska , Yuri Kozitsky

A time-varying cointegration model for foreign exchange rates is presented. Unlike previous studies, we allow the loading matrix in the vector error correction (VEC) model to be varying over time. Because the loading matrix in the VEC model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

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