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We construct an individual-based metapopulation model of population genetics featuring migration, mutation, selection and genetic drift. In the case of a single `island', the model reduces to the Moran model. Using the diffusion…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-16 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

The increasing availability of population-level allele frequency data across one or more related populations necessitates the development of methods that can efficiently estimate population genetics parameters, such as the strength of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-09 Jeffrey J. Gory , Radu Herbei , Laura S. Kubatko

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright-Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile

We develop a global and hierarchical scheme for the forward Kolmogorov (Fokker-Planck) equation of the diffusion approximation of the Wright-Fisher model of population genetics. That model describes the random genetic drift of several…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Julian Hofrichter , Tat Dat Tran , Jürgen Jost

The long time behavior of an absorbed Markov process is well described by the limiting distribution of the process conditioned to not be killed when it is observed. Our aim is to give an approximation's method of this limit, when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-25 Denis Villemonais

We study a generalized discrete-time multi-type Wright-Fisher population process. The mean-field dynamics of the stochastic process is induced by a general replicator difference equation. We prove several results regarding the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Alexander Roitershtein , Reza Rastegar , Robert S. Chapkin , Ivan Ivanov

The coupled Wright-Fisher diffusion is a multi-dimensional Wright-Fisher diffusion for multi-locus and multi-allelic genetic frequencies, expressed as the strong solution to a system of stochastic differential equations that are coupled in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult , Timo Koski

We apply a Lindeberg principle under the Markov process setting to approximate the Wright-Fisher model with neutral $r$-alleles using a diffusion process, deriving an error rate based on a function class distance involving fourth-order…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Peng Chen , Jie Xiong , Lihu Xu , Jiayu Zheng

We consider a Wright-Fisher diffusion (x(t)) whose current state cannot be observed directly. Instead, at times t1 < t2 < . . ., the observations y(ti) are such that, given the process (x(t)), the random variables (y(ti)) are independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-05 Mireille Chaleyat-Maurel , Valentine Genon-Catalot

This paper generalizes the strong seed-bank model introduced in arXiv:1411.4747 to allow for more general dormancy time distributions, such as a type of Pareto distribution. Inspired by the method of approximation using models with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Likai Jiao

Generative modeling over discrete data has recently seen numerous success stories, with applications spanning language modeling, biological sequence design, and graph-structured molecular data. The predominant generative modeling paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Oscar Davis , Samuel Kessler , Mircea Petrache , İsmail İlkan Ceylan , Michael Bronstein , Avishek Joey Bose

Wright-Fisher diffusions describe the evolution of the type composition of an infinite haploid population with two types (say type $0$ and type $1$) subject to neutral reproductions, and possibly selection and mutations. In the present…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Grégoire Véchambre

We consider two finite population Markov chain models, the two-island Wright-Fisher model with mutation, and the seed-bank model with mutation. Despite the relatively simple descriptions of the two processes, the the exact form of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Han L. Gan , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

The Wright-Fisher model, originating in Wright (1931) is one of the canonical probabilistic models used in mathematical population genetics to study how genetic type frequencies evolve in time. In this paper we bound the rate of convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Anton Braverman , Han L. Gan

The formula for the probability of fixation of a new mutation is widely used in theoretical population genetics and molecular evolution. Here we derive a series of identities, inequalities and approximations for the exact probability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-10 David M. McCandlish , Charles L. Epstein , Joshua B. Plotkin

A new class of time-dependent Dirichlet priors is introduced as a generalisation of the Wright-Fisher diffusion, allowing discontinuities in the trajectories, as well as non-Markovian memory. This class is obtained as a simple stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nathan A. Judd , Dario Spanò

Mathematical models of genetic evolution often come in pairs, connected by a so-called duality relation. The most seminal example are the Wright-Fisher diffusion and the Kingman coalescent, where the former describes the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Jere Koskela , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Dario Spanò

Muller's ratchet is a paradigmatic model for the accumulation of deleterious mutations in a population of finite size. A click of the ratchet occurs when all individuals with the least number of deleterious mutations are lost irreversibly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-20 Jakob J. Metzger , Stephan Eule

The Wright-Fisher (W-F) diffusion model serves as a foundational framework for interpreting population evolution through allele frequency dynamics over time. Despite the known transition probability between consecutive generations, an exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-24 Tania Roa , María Inés Fariello , Gerardo Martínez , José León

We study two types of stochastic processes, a mean-field spatial system of interacting Fisher-Wright diffusions with an inferior and an advantageous type with rare mutation (inferior to advantageous) and a (mean-field) spatial system of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-02 Donald A. Dawson , Andreas Greven