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The paper aims at reconsidering the famous Le Cam LAN theory. The main features of the approach which make it different from the classical one are as follows: (1) the study is nonasymptotic, that is, the sample size is fixed and does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-06 Vladimir Spokoiny

Conformal prediction is a general distribution-free approach for constructing prediction sets combined with any machine learning algorithm that achieve valid marginal or conditional coverage in finite samples. Ordinal classification is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Subhrasish Chakraborty , Chhavi Tyagi , Haiyan Qiao , Wenge Guo

Most existing examples of full conformal predictive systems, split-conformal predictive systems, and cross-conformal predictive systems impose severe restrictions on the adaptation of predictive distributions to the test object at hand. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Vladimir Vovk , Ivan Petej , Paolo Toccaceli , Alex Gammerman

Linear-parametric optimization, where multiple objectives are combined into a single objective using linear combinations with parameters as coefficients, has numerous links to other fields in optimization and a wide range of application…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Levin Nemesch , Stefan Ruzika , Clemens Thielen , Alina Wittmann

Linear combinations of multinomial probabilities, such as those resulting from contingency tables, are of use when evaluating classification system performance. While large sample inference methods for these combinations exist, small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Katherine A. Batterton , Christine M. Schubert , Richard L. Warr

Sensitivity and specificity evaluated at an optimal diagnostic cut-off are fundamental measures of classification accuracy when continuous biomarkers are used for disease diagnosis. Joint inference for these quantities is challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Siyan Liu , Qinglong Tian , Chunlin Wang , Pengfei Li

Dirichlet regression models are suitable for compositional data, in which the response variable represents proportions that sum to one. However, there are still no well-established methods for constructing valid prediction sets in this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Lucas P. Amaral , Luben M. C. Cabezas , Thiago R. Ramos , Gustavo H. G. A. Pereira

The Na\"ive Mean Field (NMF) approximation is widely employed in modern Machine Learning due to the huge computational gains it bestows on the statistician. Despite its popularity in practice, theoretical guarantees for high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Jiaze Qiu

Conformal prediction offers finite-sample coverage guarantees under minimal assumptions. However, existing methods treat the entire modeling process as a black box, overlooking opportunities to exploit and understand modular structure. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-25 William Zhang , Saurabh Amin , Georgia Perakis

This paper reviews two main types of prediction interval methods under a parametric framework. First, we describe methods based on an (approximate) pivotal quantity. Examples include the plug-in, pivotal, and calibration methods. Then we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Qinglong Tian , Daniel J. Nordman , William Q. Meeker

Medical image segmentation serves as a critical component of precision medicine, enabling accurate localization and delineation of pathological regions, such as lesions. However, existing models empirically apply fixed thresholds (e.g.,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Binyu Tan , Zhiyuan Wang , Jinhao Duan , Kaidi Xu , Heng Tao Shen , Xiaoshuang Shi , Fumin Shen

Before deploying outputs from foundation models in high-stakes tasks, it is imperative to ensure that they align with human values. For instance, in radiology report generation, reports generated by a vision-language model must align with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Yu Gui , Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

Many recent problems in signal processing and machine learning such as compressed sensing, image restoration, matrix/tensor recovery, and non-negative matrix factorization can be cast as constrained optimization. Projected gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Trung Vu , Raviv Raich

We consider the problem of signal estimation in a generalized linear model (GLM). GLMs include many canonical problems in statistical estimation, such as linear regression, phase retrieval, and 1-bit compressed sensing. Recent work has…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Pablo Pascual Cobo , Kuan Hsieh , Ramji Venkataramanan

A partially linear probit model for spatially dependent data is considered. A triangular array setting is used to cover various patterns of spatial data. Conditional spatial heteroscedasticity and non-identically distributed observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-13 Ahmed , Dabo

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a foundational algorithm for large-scale statistical learning and stochastic optimization. However, statistical inference based on SGD iterates remains challenging when stochastic gradients have infinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Wenhao Yang

We study distribution free, nonparametric prediction bands with a special focus on their finite sample behavior. First we investigate and develop different notions of finite sample coverage guarantees. Then we give a new prediction band…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-27 Jing Lei , Larry Wasserman

Zero-inflated outcomes, where responses are zero with positive probability and otherwise continuous, are common in biomedical, environmental, and social science studies. We propose a conformal prediction based framework that provides…

We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression, using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a prediction band for the response variable using any estimator of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-09 Jing Lei , Max G'Sell , Alessandro Rinaldo , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Larry Wasserman
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