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Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) are routinely used to model diverse atomistic phenomena, yet parameterizing them to accurately capture solid-state phase transformations remains difficult. We present error metrics and…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-01-21 Lorenzo Piersante , Anirudh Raju Natarajan

We present an efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of exponential family models, with a general parametrization of the energy function that includes neural networks. We exploit the primal-dual view of the MLE with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Bo Dai , Zhen Liu , Hanjun Dai , Niao He , Arthur Gretton , Le Song , Dale Schuurmans

This article proposes a bivariate Simplex distribution for modeling continuous outcomes constrained to the interval $(0,1)$, which can represent proportions, rates, or indices. We derive analytical expressions to calculate the dependence…

Debiased machine learning (DML) offers an attractive way to estimate treatment effects in observational settings, where identification of causal parameters requires a conditional independence or unconfoundedness assumption, since it allows…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-16 Victor Quintas-Martinez

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Growing-dimensional data with likelihood unavailable are often encountered in various fields. This paper presents a penalized exponentially tilted likelihood (PETL) for variable selection and parameter estimation for growing dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Nian-Sheng Tang , Xiao-Dong Yan , Pu-Ying Zhao

This work establishes regularity conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality of the multiple parameter maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) from censored data, where the censoring mechanism is in the form of $1$-bit measurements. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Jaimin Shah , Martina Cardone , Cynthia Rush , Alex Dytso

We study the maximum likelihood (ML) degree of discrete exponential independence models and models defined by the second hypersimplex. For models with two independent variables, we show that the ML degree is an invariant of a matroid…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Oliver Clarke , Serkan Hoşten , Nataliia Kushnerchuk , Janike Oldekop

For a parametric model of distributions, the closest distribution in the model to the true distribution located outside the model is considered. Measuring the closeness between two distributions with the Kullback-Leibler (K-L) divergence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Yo Sheena

The present paper considers modified extension of the exponential distribution with three parameters. We study the main properties of this new distribution, with special emphasis on its median, mode and moments function and some…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Dina. A. Ramadan

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

We introduce a directed, weighted random graph model, where the edge-weights are independent and beta-distributed with parameters depending on their endpoints. We will show that the row- and column-sums of the transformed edge-weight matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Marianna Bolla , Ahmed Elbanna , Jozsef Mala

Over the last decades, the family of $\alpha$-stale distributions has proven to be useful for modelling in telecommunication systems. Particularly, in the case of radar applications, finding a fast and accurate estimation for the amplitude…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-15 Mahdi Teimouri

The normalized maximized likelihood (NML) provides the minimax regret solution in universal data compression, gambling, and prediction, and it plays an essential role in the minimum description length (MDL) method of statistical modeling…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-29 Andrew Barron , Teemu Roos , Kazuho Watanabe

An important question in statistical network analysis is how to estimate models of discrete and dependent network data with intractable likelihood functions, without sacrificing computational scalability and statistical guarantees. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jonathan R. Stewart , Michael Schweinberger

This paper presents some results on the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation from incomplete data. Finite sample properties of conditional observed information matrices are established. They possess positive definiteness and the same Loewner…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Budhi Arta Surya

The Dirichlet process (DP) is a fundamental mathematical tool for Bayesian nonparametric modeling, and is widely used in tasks such as density estimation, natural language processing, and time series modeling. Although MCMC inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-09 Dan Lovell , Jonathan Malmaud , Ryan P. Adams , Vikash K. Mansinghka

This article considers exponential families of truncated multivariate normal distributions with one-sided truncation for some or all coordinates. We observe that if all components are one-sided truncated then this family is not full. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Michael Levine , Donald Richards , Jianxi Su

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) methods are widely used for evolutionary tree. As evolutionary tree is not a smooth parameter, the consistency of its MLE has been a topic of debate. It has been noted without proof that the classical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-06 Arindam RoyChoudhury