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Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

ICME approaches provide decision support for materials design by establishing quantitative process-structure-property relations. Confidence in the decision support, however, must be achieved by establishing uncertainty bounds in ICME model…

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansions are well established for forward uncertainty propagation in many application areas. Although the associated computational effort may be reduced in comparison to Monte Carlo techniques, for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

Numerical modeling of the intensity and evolution of flood events are affected by multiple sources of uncertainty such as precipitation and land surface conditions. To quantify and curb these uncertainties, an ensemble-based simulation and…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-17 Junyu Wei , Xiangyu Luo , Weihong Liao , Xiaohui Lei , Jianshi Zhao , Haocheng Huang , Hao Wang

In this work we study a degenerate pseudo-parabolic system with cross diffusion describing the evolution of the densities of an unsaturated two-phase flow mixture with dynamic capillary pressure in porous medium with saturation-dependent…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Esther S. Daus , Josipa-Pina Milišić , Nicola Zamponi

Uncertainty propagation in nonlinear dynamic systems remains an outstanding problem in scientific computing and control. Numerous approaches have been developed, but are limited in their capability to tackle problems with more than a few…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-22 Tenavi Nakamura-Zimmerer , Daniele Venturi , Qi Gong , Wei Kang

Due to the inherent aleatory uncertainties in renewable generators, the reliability/adequacy assessments of distributed generation (DG) systems have been particularly focused on the probabilistic modeling of random behaviors, given…

Performance · Computer Science 2012-06-07 Yanfu Li , Enrico Zio

We have established previously, in a lead-in study, that the spreading of liquids in particulate porous media at low saturation levels, characteristically less than 10% of the void space, has very distinctive features in comparison to that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-08-21 Penpark Sirimark , Alex V. Lukyanov , Tristan Pryer

Wave propagation in complex media is a universal problem spanning optics, acoustics, mechanics, and condensed matter physics. While disorder usually causes strong scattering, recent theory predicts that a special class of correlated…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-02-10 Angélique Campaniello , Rémi Carminati , Marcel Filoche , Emmanuel Fort

We present a generalized hydrodynamic stability theory for interacting particles in polydisperse particle-laden flows. The addition of dispersed particulate matter to a clean flow can either stabilize or destabilize the flow, depending on…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-20 Zhixuan Liu , Yuval Dagan

In this work, we investigate an original strategy in order to derive a statistical modeling of the interface in gas-liquid two-phase flows through geometrical variables. The con- tribution is two-fold. First it participates in the…

We investigate diffusion-driven flows in a parallel-plate channel domain with linear density stratification, which arise from the combined influence of gravity and diffusion in density-stratified fluids. We compute the time-dependent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-13 Lingyun Ding , Richard M. McLaughlin

Diffusion-driven patterns appear on curved surfaces in many settings, initiated by unstable modes of an underlying Laplacian operator. On a flat surface or perfect sphere, the patterns are degenerate, reflecting translational/rotational…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-09-09 John R. Frank , Jemal Guven , Mehran Kardar , Leyna Shackleton

This paper presents a data-driven framework for uncertainty propagation under unmeasured or statistically unmodeled (unstructured) disturbances. We consider residual disturbances, which consolidate all unstructured disturbances into a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-18 Guanru Pan , Dirk Reinhardt , Sebastien Gros , Timm Faulwasser

We use numerical simulations to examine two-dimensional particle mixtures that strongly phase separate in equilibrium. When the system is externally driven in the presence of quenched disorder, plastic flow occurs in the form of meandering…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Libal , C. Reichhardt , C. J. Olson Reichhardt

Uncertainty analysis in the outcomes of model predictions is a key element in decision-based material design to establish confidence in the models and evaluate the fidelity of models. Uncertainty Propagation (UP) is a technique to determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Danial Khatamsaz , Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire

The flow of incompressible fluids through porous media plays a crucial role in many technological applications such as enhanced oil recovery and geological carbon-dioxide sequestration. The flow within numerous natural and synthetic porous…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-05-23 S. H. S. Joodat , K. B. Nakshatrala , R. Ballarini

Flow and transport in fractured geological media are strongly controlled by aperture heterogeneity and uncertainty in subsurface characterisation, yet most upscaling approaches rely on deterministic representations of fracture permeability.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-20 Sarah Perez , Florian Doster , Hannah Menke , Ahmed ElSheikh , Andreas Busch

The flow of fluids within porous rocks is an important process with numerous applications in Earth sciences. Modeling the compaction-driven fluid flow requires the solution of coupled nonlinear partial differential equations that account…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Simon Boisserée , Evangelos Moulas , Markus Bachmayr