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The superposition of arrival processes is a fundamental yet analytically intractable operation in queueing networks when inputs are general non-renewal streams. Classical methods either reduce merged flows to renewal surrogates, rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Eliran Sherzer

We derive an analytical expression of the inter-arrival time distribution for a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP). This expression is exact and is applicable to any time interval, finite or infinite. As an illustration, we present…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gleb Yakovlev , John B. Rundle , Robert Shcherbakov , Donald L. Turcotte

We introduce a single generative mechanism with which it is able to describe diverse non-stationary diffusions. A non-stationary Markovian replication process for steps is considered, for which we analytically derive time-evolution of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-25 Yichul Choi , Hyun-Joo Kim

Generalization of the Lorden's inequality is an excellent tool for obtaining strong upper bounds for the convergence rate for various complicated stochastic models. This paper demonstrates a method for obtaining such bounds for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Galina Zverkina

We consider a single-server queue where interarrival and service times depend linearly and randomly on customer waiting times, and establish a sample-path moderate deviation principle (MDP) for the waiting time process. The waiting times…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Chang Feng , John J. Hasenbein , Guodong Pang

We consider a general type of non-Markovian impulse control problems under adverse non-linear expectation or, more specifically, the zero-sum game problem where the adversary player decides the probability measure. We show that the upper…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-30 Magnus Perninge

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are a fundamental model for sequential decision-making under uncertainty. However, many verification and synthesis problems for POMDPs are undecidable or intractable. Most prominently,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Nathanaël Fijalkow , Arka Ghosh , Roman Kniazev , Guillermo A. Pérez , Pierre Vandenhove

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits self-exciting, heterogeneous and sporadic trends, which is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-16 Jing Wu , Owen G. Ward , James Curley , Tian Zheng

In the Hammersley-Aldous-Diaconis process infinitely many particles sit in R and at most one particle is allowed at each position. A particle at x$ whose nearest neighbor to the right is at y, jumps at rate y-x to a position uniformly…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-31 Pablo A. Ferrari , James B. Martin

We provide a probabilistic description of the stationary measures for the open KPZ on the spatial interval $[0,1]$ in terms of a Markov process $Y$, which is a Doob's $h$ transform of the Brownian motion killed at an exponential rate. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Wlodek Bryc , Alexey Kuznetsov , Yizao Wang , Jacek Wesolowski

We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behavior of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. We propose a set of assumptions dealing with particular situations where the state space can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We study the Patient Assignment Scheduling (PAS) problem in a random environment that arises in the management of patient flow in the hospital systems, due to the stochastic nature of the arrivals as well as the Length of Stay distribution.…

We consider a Markov modulated fluid network with a finite number of stations. We are interested in the tail asymptotics behavior of the stationary distribution of its buffer content process. Using two different approaches, we derive upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Masakiyo Miyazawa

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

We introduce and study some queueing models with random resetting, including Markovian and non--Markovian models. The Markovian models include M/M/$\infty$, M/M/r and M/M/1+M queues with random resetting, in which a continuous-time Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Dongzhou Huang , Guodong Pang , Izabella Stuhl , Yuri Suhov

We present an investigation of stochastic evolution in which a family of evolution equations in $L^1$ are driven by continuous-time Markov processes. These are examples of so-called piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Paweł Klimasara , Michael C. Mackey , Andrzej Tomski , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

For a network of discrete states with a periodically driven Markovian dynamics, we develop an inference scheme for an external observer who has access to some transitions. Based on waiting-time distributions between these transitions, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-12 Alexander M. Maier , Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

We aim at characterizing viability, invariance and some reachability properties of controlled piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). Using analytical methods from the theory of viscosity solutions, we establish criteria for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-09 D. Goreac

We observe a length-$n$ sample generated by an unknown,stationary ergodic Markov process (\emph{model}) over a finite alphabet $\mathcal{A}$. Given any string $\bf{w}$ of symbols from $\mathcal{A}$ we want estimates of the conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-11 Meysam Asadi , Ramezan Paravi Torghabeh , Narayana P. Santhanam