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In piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) the state of a finite-dimensional system evolves continuously, but the evolutive equation may change randomly as a result of discrete switches. A running cost is integrated along the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Elliot Cartee , Antonio Farah , April Nellis , Jacob van Hook , Alexander Vladimirsky

Markov processes are shown to be consistent with metastable states seen in pulsar phenomena, including intensity nulling, pulse-shape mode changes, subpulse drift rates, spindown rates, and X-ray emission, based on the typically broad and…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-06-15 J. M. Cordes

In this paper, we introduce and study a convoluted version of the time fractional Poisson process by taking the discrete convolution with respect to space variable in the system of fractional differential equations that governs its state…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-20 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) are a family of probabilistic models that have a repulsive behavior, and lend themselves naturally to many tasks in machine learning where returning a diverse set of objects is important. While there are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-03 John Urschel , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Ankur Moitra , Philippe Rigollet

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

Markov switching models are a popular family of models that introduces time-variation in the parameters in the form of their state- or regime-specific values. Importantly, this time-variation is governed by a discrete-valued latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Yong Song , Tomasz Woźniak

Consider the batch-arrival $GI^X/M/c/N$ model with $c$ servers, general inter-arrival batch times, finite buffer, and exponential service times. Inter-arrival batch times, batch sizes, and service times are $i.i.d.$ and independent of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Muhammad El-Taha , Thomas Michaud

We study a class of stationary Markov processes with marginal distributions identifiable by moments such that every conditional moment of degree say $m$ is a polynomial of degree at most $m\;\text{.}\;$ We show that then under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Paweł J. Szabłowski

There is increasing interest to develop Bayesian inferential algorithms for point process models with intractable likelihoods. A purpose of this paper is to illustrate the utility of using simulation based strategies, including Approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-02 Chaoyi Lu , Nial Friel

The Bivariate Dynamic Contagion Processes (BDCP) are a broad class of bivariate point processes characterized by the intensities as a general class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. The BDCP describes a rich dynamic structure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-23 Angelos Dassios , Xin Dong

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Hailiang Yang , Yildiray Yildirim

The stability of stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) subject to additive disturbances is often demonstrated in the literature by constructing Lyapunov-like inequalities that guarantee closed-loop performance bounds and boundedness of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Diego Munoz-Carpintero , Mark Cannon

We study a discrete time queueing system where deterministic arrivals have i.i.d. exponential delays $\xi_{i}$. The standard deviation $\sigma$ of the delay is finite, but its value is much larger than the deterministic unit service time.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-02 Carlo Lancia , Gianluca Guadagni , Sokol Ndreca , Benedetto Scoppola

We establish sufficient conditions for the existence, and derive explicit formulas for the $\kappa$'th moments, $\kappa \geq 1$, of Markov modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes as well as their stationary distributions. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Anita Behme , Paolo Di Tella , Apostolos Sideris

We give a short overview of recent results on a specific class of Markov process: the Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). We first recall the definition of these processes and give some general results. On more specific cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Romain Azaïs , Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Alexandre Genadot , Nathalie Krell , Pierre-André Zitt

Markov chains are the de facto finite-state model for stochastic dynamical systems, and Markov decision processes (MDPs) extend Markov chains by incorporating non-deterministic behaviors. Given an MDP and rewards on states, a classical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen

This study introduces a comparative modeling framework using stationary and non-stationary transition probabilities within a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to assess COVID-19 disease dynamics. Stationary transition probabilities assume…

Consider a stationary discrete random process with alphabet size d, which is assumed to be the output process of an unknown stationary Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Given the joint probabilities of finite length strings of the process, we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-15 Qingqing Huang , Rong Ge , Sham Kakade , Munther Dahleh