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We consider the question of learning the natural parameters of a $k$ parameter minimal exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We focus on the setting where the support as well as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

In a typical two-phase design, a random sample is drawn from the target population in phase 1, during which only a subset of variables is collected. In phase 2, a subsample of the phase-1 cohort is selected, and additional variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Sky Qiu , Susan Gruber , Pamela A. Shaw , Brian D. Williamson , Mark J. van der Laan

We investigate penalized maximum log-likelihood estimation for exponential family distributions whose natural parameter resides in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Key to our approach is a novel technique, doubly dual embedding, that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Bo Dai , Hanjun Dai , Arthur Gretton , Le Song , Dale Schuurmans , Niao He

In this paper we study a class of exponential family on permutations, which includes some of the commonly studied Mallows models. We show that the pseudo-likelihood estimator for the natural parameter in the exponential family is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-11 Sumit Mukherjee , Daiki Tagami

This work makes two advances in the study of the (approximate) nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for exponential family mixture models. First, we develop a data-compression strategy that reduces the cost of repeated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Yan Zhang

Exponential families are the workhorses of parametric modelling theory. One reason for their popularity is their associated inference theory, which is very clean, both from a theoretical and a computational point of view. One way in which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-14 Karim Anaya-Izquierdo , Paul Marriott

In this note we prove the dual representation formula of the divergence between two distributions in a parametric model. Resulting estimators for the divergence as for the parameter are derived. These estimators do not make use of any…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-23 Michel Broniatowski

The paper considers general multiplicative models for complete and incomplete contingency tables that generalize log-linear and several other models and are entirely coordinate free. Sufficient conditions of the existence of maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-04 Anna Klimova , Tamás Rudas , Adrian Dobra

Estimating the unconstrained mean and covariance matrix is a popular topic in statistics. However, estimation of the parameters of $N_p(\mu,\Sigma)$ under joint constraints such as $\Sigma\mu = \mu$ has not received much attention. It can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

This paper introduces a high-dimensional binary variate model that accommodates nonstationary covariates and factors, and studies their asymptotic theory. This framework encompasses scenarios where single indices are nonstationary or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Xinbing Kong , Bin Wu , Wuyi Ye

In \cite{KumarS15J2}, it was shown that a generalized maximum likelihood estimation problem on a (canonical) $\alpha$-power-law model ($\mathbb{M}^{(\alpha)}$-family) can be solved by solving a system of linear equations. This was due to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Atin Gayen , M. Ashok Kumar

We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu

There has been an explosion of interest in statistical models for analyzing network data, and considerable interest in the class of exponential random graph (ERG) models, especially in connection with difficulties in computing maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-01-05 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo , Yi Zhou

The exponential family random graph modeling (ERGM) framework provides a flexible approach for the statistical analysis of networks. As ERGMs typically involve normalizing factors that are costly to compute, practical inference relies on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Fan Yin , Carter T. Butts

Exponential families encompass the distributions central to modern machine learning -- softmax, Gaussians, and Boltzmann distributions -- and underlie the theory of variational inference, entropy-regularized reinforcement learning, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Marc Dymetman

The growing availability of network data and of scientific interest in distributed systems has led to the rapid development of statistical models of network structure. Typically, however, these are models for the entire network, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Alessandro Rinaldo

The versatility of exponential families, along with their attendant convexity properties, make them a popular and effective statistical model. A central issue is learning these models in high-dimensions, such as when there is some sparsity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Sham M. Kakade , Ohad Shamir , Karthik Sridharan , Ambuj Tewari

Markov regime switching models have been widely used in numerous empirical applications in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) has not been proven for some empirically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is pivotal in statistical inference, yet its application is often hindered by the absence of closed-form solutions for many models. This poses challenges in real-time computation scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Pedro L. Ramos , Eduardo Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

We study minimax estimation of two-dimensional totally positive distributions. Such distributions pertain to pairs of strongly positively dependent random variables and appear frequently in statistics and probability. In particular, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Jan-Christian Hütter , Cheng Mao , Philippe Rigollet , Elina Robeva