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Modeling the strategic behavior of agents in a real-world multi-agent system using existing state-of-the-art computational game-theoretic tools can be a daunting task, especially when only the actions taken by the agents can be observed.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Boshen Wang , Luis E. Ortiz

Prediction tasks about students have practical significance for both student and college. Making multiple predictions about students is an important part of a smart campus. For instance, predicting whether a student will fail to graduate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Haobing Liu , Yanmin Zhu , Tianzi Zang , Yanan Xu , Jiadi Yu , Feilong Tang

We propose a causal hidden Markov model to achieve robust prediction of irreversible disease at an early stage, which is safety-critical and vital for medical treatment in early stages. Specifically, we introduce the hidden variables which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Jing Li , Botong Wu , Xinwei Sun , Yizhou Wang

Deception plays critical roles in economics and technology, especially in emerging interactions in cyberspace. Holistic models of deception are needed in order to analyze interactions and to design mechanisms that improve them. Game theory…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Jeffrey Pawlick , Edward Colbert , Quanyan Zhu

In this paper we present a method of modeling and analysis that permits the extraction and quantitative display of detailed information about the effects of instruction on a class's knowledge. The method relies on a congitive model that…

Physics Education · Physics 2012-09-05 Lei Bao , Edward F. Redish

This paper introduces a new spreadsheet tool for adoption by high school or college level physics teachers who use common assessments in a pre-instruction/post-instruction mode to diagnose student learning and teaching effectiveness. The…

Physics Education · Physics 2017-03-14 Gary A. Morris , Paul J. Walter , Spencer Skees , Samantha Schwartz

In this paper we describe an approach to resolve strategic games in which players can assume different types along the game. Our goal is to infer which type the opponent is adopting at each moment so that we can increase the player's odds.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Mario Benevides , Isaque Lima , Rafael Nader , Pedro Rougemont

We propose a latent topic model with a Markovian transition for process data, which consist of time-stamped events recorded in a log file. Such data are becoming more widely available in computer-based educational assessment with complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-06 Haochen Xu , Guanhua Fang , Zhiliang Ying

This paper proposes a joint model for longitudinal binary and count outcomes. We apply the model to a unique longitudinal study of teen driving where risky driving behavior and the occurrence of crashes or near crashes are measured…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-17 John C. Jackson , Paul S. Albert , Zhiwei Zhang

Continuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were…

This paper formed part of a preliminary research report for a risk consultancy and academic research. Stochastic Programming models provide a powerful paradigm for decision making under uncertainty. In these models the uncertainties are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 Sovan Mitra

Inspired by the fact that human eyes continue to develop tracking ability in early and middle childhood, we propose to use tracking as a proxy task for a computer vision system to learn the visual representations. Modelled on the Catch game…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Guangting Wang , Yizhou Zhou , Chong Luo , Wenxuan Xie , Wenjun Zeng , Zhiwei Xiong

Concurrent and parallel programming (CPP) is an increasingly important subject in Computer Science Education. However, the conceptual shift from sequential programming is notoriously difficult to make. Currently, relatively little research…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Jichen Zhu , Katelyn Alderfer , Brian Smith , Bruce Char , Santiago Ontañón

Academic performance prediction aims to leverage student-related information to predict their future academic outcomes, which is beneficial to numerous educational applications, such as personalized teaching and academic early warning. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Chaoran Cui , Jian Zong , Yuling Ma , Xinhua Wang , Lei Guo , Meng Chen , Yilong Yin

Predicting students' academic performance has been a research area of interest in recent years with many institutions focusing on improving the students' performance and the education quality. The analysis and prediction of students'…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-11 MohammadNoor Injadat , Abdallah Moubayed , Ali Bou Nassif , Abdallah Shami

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and their extensions have proven to be powerful tools for classification of observations that stem from systems with temporal dependence as they take into account that observations close in time are likely…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-22 Sofia Ruiz-Suarez , Vianey Leos-Barajas , Juan Manuel Morales

We propose a hidden Markov model for univariate proportion time series taking values in (0,1), where regime switching captures latent structural changes and the emission distribution belongs to the Beta family. In each latent state, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Andrea Nigri , Han Lin Shang , Marco Bonetti

Engagement in educational games, a recently popular academic topic, has been shown to increase learning performance, as well as a number of attitudinal factors, such as intrinsic interest and motivation. However, there is a lack of research…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-09-29 Angela He

Dysgraphia is a key cognitive disorder impacting writing skills. Current tests often identify dysgraphia after writing issues emerge. This paper presents a set of computer games and uses machine learning to analyze the results, predicting…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Zahra Nevisi , Maryam Tahmasbi

Educational stakeholders are often particularly interested in sparse, delayed student outcomes, like end-of-year statewide exams. The rare occurrence of such assessments makes it harder to identify students likely to fail such assessments,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Ge Gao , Amelia Leon , Andrea Jetten , Jasmine Turner , Husni Almoubayyed , Stephen Fancsali , Emma Brunskill