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Targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLEs) are asymptotically optimal among regular, asymptotically linear estimators. In small samples, however, we may be far from "asymptopia" and not reap the benefits of optimality. Here we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Noel Pimentel , Alejandro Schuler , Mark van der Laan

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this paper, MLE for statistical models with discrete data is studied from an algebraic statistics viewpoint. A reformulation of the MLE problem in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Jose Israel Rodriguez

For a fixed $T$ and $k \geq 2$, a $k$-dimensional vector stochastic differential equation $dX_t=\mu(X_t, \theta)dt+\nu(X_t)dW_t,$ is studied over a time interval $[0,T]$. Vector of drift parameters $\theta$ is unknown. The dependence in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Miljenko Huzak , Snježana Lubura Strunjak , Andreja Vlahek Štrok

The main goal of this article is to study the effect of small, highly nonlinear, unbounded drifts (small time large deviation principle (LDP) based on exponential equivalence arguments) for a class of stochastic partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Ankit Kumar , Manil T. Mohan

The saddlepoint approximation gives an approximation to the density of a random variable in terms of its moment generating function. When the underlying random variable is itself the sum of $n$ unobserved i.i.d. terms, the basic classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Jesse Goodman

The asymptotic normality of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) is a cornerstone of statistical theory. In the present paper, we provide sharp explicit upper bounds on Zolotarev-type distances between the exact, unknown distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Andreas Anastasiou , Christophe Ley

We study diffusion processes corresponding to infinite dimensional semilinear stochastic differential equations with local Lipschitz drift term and an arbitrary Lipschitz diffusion coefficient. We prove tightness and the Feller property of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-28 A. Es-Sarhir , M. Scheutzow , J. M. Tölle , O. van Gaans

We consider the homogeneous stochastic differential equation with unknown parameter to be estimated. We prove that the standard maximum likelihood estimate is strongly consistent under very mild conditions. There are also established the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Yuliya Mishura

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

The primary objective of this scholarly work is to develop two estimation procedures - maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and method of trimmed moments (MTM) - for the mean and variance of lognormal insurance payment severity data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

Our subject of study is strong approximation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with respect to the supremum error criterion, and we seek approximations that are strongly asymptotically optimal in specific classes of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-17 Simon Hatzesberger

In cluster-specific studies, ordinary logistic regression and conditional logistic regression for binary outcomes provide maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and conditional maximum likelihood estimator (CMLE), respectively. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Zhulin He , Yuyuan Ouyang

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

A maximum likelihood type estimation of the drift and volatility coefficient parameters in the CIR type model driven by $\alpha$-stable noises is studied when the dispersion parameter $\varepsilon\to0$ and the discrete observations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-10 Xu Yang

We investigate the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of the drift parameter for fractional vasicek model driven by a sub-fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Modeling sparse data such as microbiome and transcriptomics (RNA-seq) data is very challenging due to the exceeded number of zeros and skewness of the distribution. Many probabilistic models have been used for modeling sparse data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Hani Aldirawi , Jie Yang

In the past decade, an intensive study of strong approximation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with a drift coefficient that has discontinuities in space has begun. In the majority of these results it is assumed that the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Thomas Müller-Gronbach , Larisa Yaroslavtseva

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

We study the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) in the multivariate deviated model where the data are generated from the density function $(1-\lambda^{\ast})h_{0}(x)+\lambda^{\ast}f(x|\mu^{\ast}, \Sigma^{\ast})$ in which $h_{0}$ is a known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Dat Do , Huy Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Nhat Ho

We study strong approximation of scalar additive noise driven stochastic differential equations (SDEs) at time point $1$ in the case that the drift coefficient is bounded and has Sobolev regularity $s\in(0,1)$. Recently, it has been shown…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Simon Ellinger , Thomas Müller-Gronbach , Larisa Yaroslavtseva