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Related papers: Drift Estimation for Discretely Sampled SPDEs

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Distribution shift between the training domain and the test domain poses a key challenge for modern machine learning. An extensively studied instance is the \emph{covariate shift}, where the marginal distribution of covariates differs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Jeonghwan Lee , Cong Ma

In this paper, we consider a new approach for semi-discretization in time and spatial discretization of a class of semi-linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with multiplicative noise. The drift term of the SPDEs is only…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Yukun Li , Liet Vo , Guanqian Wang

This work aims to prove the small time large deviation principle (LDP) for a class of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with locally monotone coefficients in generalized variational framework. The main result could be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Shihu Li , Wei Liu , Yingchao Xie

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

In the paper, we address parametric and non-parametric estimation for nonlinear stochastic differential equations with additive Hermite noise with possibly nonlinear scaling. We assume that a single trajectory of the solution is observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Petr Coupek , Pavel Kriz

In this paper we construct a framework for doing statistical inference for discretely observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs) where the driving noise has 'memory'. Classical SDE models for inference assume the driving noise to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-05 Martin Lysy , Natesh S. Pillai

According to standard econometric theory, Maximum Likelihood estimation (MLE) is the efficient estimation choice, however, it is not always a feasible one. In network diffusion models with unobserved signal propagation, MLE requires…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-06 L. S. Sanna Stephan

Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

We analyze stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with quadratic nonlinearities close to a change of stability. To this aim we compute finite-time Lyapunov exponents (FTLEs), observing a change of sign based on the interplay…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Alexandra Blessing , Dirk Blömker

We study the problem of parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic differential equations driven by small fractional noise. Under some conditions, we obtain strong consistency and rate of convergence of the least square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 S. Nakajima , S. Nakamura , Y. Shimizu

This paper aims to investigate the numerical approximation of a general second order parabolic stochastic partial differential equation(SPDE) driven by multiplicative and additive noise. Our main interest is on such SPDEs where the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Jean Daniel Mukam , Antoine Tambue

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma r_t^\beta dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants, $\beta\in(\frac12,1)$. We study the estimation of an unknown drift parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Olena Dehtiar

We present results on parameter estimation and non-parameter estimation of the linear partially observed Gaussian system of stochastic differential equations. We propose new one-step estimators which have the same asymptotic properties as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Yury A. Kutoyants , Li Zhou

We consider discrete default intensity based and logit type reduced form models for conditional default probabilities for corporate loans where we develop simple closed form approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Anand Deo , Sandeep Juneja

Estimating the frequencies of multiple sinusoids in the presence of AWGN and when the data record is short is commonly accomplished by subspace-based methods such as ESPRIT, MUSIC, Min-Norm, etc. These methods do not assume that the data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-31 P. Vishnu , C. S. Ramalingam

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

This manuscript investigates unconditional and conditional-on-stopping maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs), information measures and information loss associated with conditioning in group sequential designs (GSDs). The possibility of early…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-06 Sergey Tarima , Nancy Flournoy

This paper focuses on a stochastic system identification problem: given time series observations of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by L\'{e}vy $\alpha$-stable noise, estimate the SDE's drift field. For $\alpha$ in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Harish S. Bhat

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura
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