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Reuse of data in adaptive workflows poses challenges regarding overfitting and the statistical validity of results. Previous work has demonstrated that interacting with data via differentially private algorithms can mitigate overfitting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Neil G. Marchant , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Estimating the tail index parameter is one of the primal objectives in extreme value theory. For heavy-tailed distributions the Hill estimator is the most popular way to estimate the tail index parameter. Improving the Hill estimator was…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-05 László Németh , András Zempléni

We study the problem of robust linear regression with response variable corruptions. We consider the oblivious adversary model, where the adversary corrupts a fraction of the responses in complete ignorance of the data. We provide a nearly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Arun Sai Suggala , Kush Bhatia , Pradeep Ravikumar , Prateek Jain

Classical information-theoretic generalization bounds typically control the generalization gap through KL-based mutual information and therefore rely on boundedness or sub-Gaussian tails via the moment generating function (MGF). In many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Huiming Zhang , Binghan Li , Wan Tian , Qiang Sun

We study a scalable alternative to robust gradient descent (RGD) techniques that can be used when the gradients can be heavy-tailed, though this will be unknown to the learner. The core technique is simple: instead of trying to robustly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-16 Matthew J. Holland

Relational databases are the de facto standard for storing and querying structured data, and extracting insights from structured data requires advanced analytics. Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved super-human prediction performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Shaofeng Cai , Kaiping Zheng , Gang Chen , H. V. Jagadish , Beng Chin Ooi , Meihui Zhang

In this paper, we establish a robustification of an on-line algorithm for modelling asset prices within a hidden Markov model (HMM). In this HMM framework, parameters of the model are guided by a Markov chain in discrete time, parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-09 Christina Erlwein , Peter Ruckdeschel

Most value function learning algorithms in reinforcement learning are based on the mean squared (projected) Bellman error. However, squared errors are known to be sensitive to outliers, both skewing the solution of the objective and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Andrew Patterson , Victor Liao , Martha White

We develop a theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) inference when the data may not satisfy second-order stationarity. Nonstationarity is a common feature of economic time series which may…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini

We develop new flexible univariate models for light-tailed and heavy-tailed data, which extend a hierarchical representation of the generalized Pareto (GP) limit for threshold exceedances. These models can accommodate departure from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-14 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

High-dimensional data arise routinely in modern statistics, econometrics, finance, genomics, and machine learning. While a large body of existing methodology is developed under Gaussian or light-tailed assumptions, many real data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Long Feng

We consider the high-dimensional linear regression model and assume that a fraction of the measurements are altered by an adversary with complete knowledge of the data and the underlying distribution. We are interested in a scenario where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Stanislav Minsker , Mohamed Ndaoud , Lang Wang

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a widely used risk-sensitive objective for learning under rare but high-impact losses, yet its statistical behavior under heavy-tailed data remains poorly understood. Unlike expectation-based risk, CVaR…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Dinesh Karthik Mulumudi , Piyushi Manupriya , Gholamali Aminian , Anant Raj

Linear regression estimators are known to be sensitive to outliers, and one alternative to obtain a robust and efficient estimator of the regression parameter is to model the error with Student's $t$ distribution. In this article, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Amanda Ng , Shangkai Zhu , Archer Gong Zhang , Nancy Reid

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) comprise a powerful generative approach for modeling sequential data and time-series in general. However, the commonly employed assumption of the dependence of the current time frame to a single or multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis

A Markov tree is a probabilistic graphical model for a random vector indexed by the nodes of an undirected tree encoding conditional independence relations between variables. One possible limit distribution of partial maxima of samples from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Stefka Asenova , Gildas Mazo , Johan Segers

Reduced Rank Regression (RRR) is a widely used method for multi-response regression. However, RRR assumes a linear relationship between features and responses. While linear models are useful and often provide a good approximation, many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 Leia Greenberg , Haim Avron

Sampling algorithms drive probabilistic machine learning, and recent years have seen an explosion in the diversity of tools for this task. However, the increasing sophistication of sampling algorithms is correlated with an increase in the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-02 Congye Wang , Matthew A. Fisher , Heishiro Kanagawa , Wilson Chen , Chris. J. Oates

In our paper, we focus on robust variable selection for missing data and measurement error. Missing data and measurement errors can lead to confusing data distribution. We propose an exponential loss function with a tuning parameter to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Zhenhao Zhang , Yunquan Song