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Deep neural networks still struggle on long-tailed image datasets, and one of the reasons is that the imbalance of training data across categories leads to the imbalance of trained model parameters. Motivated by the empirical findings that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Haoxuan Wang , Junchi Yan

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution in high dimensions when either the samples are adversarially corrupted or the distribution is heavy-tailed. Recent developments in robust statistics have established efficient…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Samuel B. Hopkins , Jerry Li , Fred Zhang

Deep probabilistic forecasting is gaining attention in numerous applications ranging from weather prognosis, through electricity consumption estimation, to autonomous vehicle trajectory prediction. However, existing approaches focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Jedrzej Kozerawski , Mayank Sharan , Rose Yu

We propose novel randomized optimization methods for high-dimensional convex problems based on restrictions of variables to random subspaces. We consider oblivious and data-adaptive subspaces and study their approximation properties via…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Jonathan Lacotte , Mert Pilanci

Extracting the underlying trend signal is a crucial step to facilitate time series analysis like forecasting and anomaly detection. Besides noise signal, time series can contain not only outliers but also abrupt trend changes in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Qingsong Wen , Jingkun Gao , Xiaomin Song , Liang Sun , Jian Tan

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Heavy-tailed probability distributions are extremely useful and play a crucial role in modeling different types of financial data sets. This study presents a two-pronged methodology. First, a mixture probability distribution is created by…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-14 Pankaj Kumar , Vivek Vijay

Sufficient dimension reduction is a powerful tool to extract core information hidden in the high-dimensional data and has potentially many important applications in machine learning tasks. However, the existing nonlinear sufficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Siqi Liang , Yan Sun , Faming Liang

We study efficient algorithms for linear regression and covariance estimation in the absence of Gaussian assumptions on the underlying distributions of samples, making assumptions instead about only finitely-many moments. We focus on how…

Data augmentation (DA) algorithms are widely used for Bayesian inference due to their simplicity. In massive data settings, however, DA algorithms are prohibitively slow because they pass through the full data in any iteration, imposing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-21 Jiayuan Zhou , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

Current time-series forecasting models are primarily based on transformer-style neural networks. These models achieve long-term forecasting mainly by scaling up the model size rather than through genuinely autoregressive (AR) rollout. From…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Zheng Li , Jerry Cheng , Huanying Gu

In this paper we describe a probabilistic method for estimating the position of an object along with its covariance matrix using neural networks. Our method is designed to be robust to outliers, have bounded gradients with respect to the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-22 David Mohlin , Gerald Bianchi , Josephine Sullivan

Forecasting multivariate time series is a computationally intensive task challenged by extreme or redundant samples. Recent resampling methods aim to increase training efficiency by reweighting samples based on their running losses.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Jiang You , Arben Cela , René Natowicz , Jacob Ouanounou , Patrick Siarry

We describe an adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo method suitable for the estimation of rare failure probabilities in complex probabilistic models. This method, the Accelerated Weight Histogram (AWH) method, has its origin in statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Jack Lidmar , Johan Spross , John Leander

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) algorithms are widely used to approximate expectations with respect to complicated target probability distributions. When the target has heavy tails, existing AIS algorithms can provide inconsistent…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-26 Thomas Guilmeau , Nicola Branchini , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

A notoriously difficult challenge in extreme value theory is the choice of the number $k\ll n$, where $n$ is the total sample size, of extreme data points to consider for inference of tail quantities. Existing theoretical guarantees for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-05-30 Johannes Lederer , Anne Sabourin , Mahsa Taheri

Current deep regression models usually learn in a point-wise way that treats each sample as an independent input, neglecting the relative ordering among different data. Consequently, the regression model could neglect the data's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Fuhang Liang , Rucong Xu , Deng Lin

We study high-dimensional signal recovery from non-linear measurements with design vectors having elliptically symmetric distribution. Special attention is devoted to the situation when the unknown signal belongs to a set of low statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-14 Larry Goldstein , Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

Estimation of Markov Random Field and covariance models from high-dimensional data represents a canonical problem that has received a lot of attention in the literature. A key assumption, widely employed, is that of {\em sparsity} of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , George Michailidis

The question of fast convergence in the classical problem of high dimensional linear regression has been extensively studied. Arguably, one of the fastest procedures in practice is Iterative Hard Thresholding (IHT). Still, IHT relies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Mohamed Ndaoud
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