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Related papers: The physics of (ir)rational choice

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We all are fascinated by the phenomena of intelligent behavior, as generated both by our own brains and by the brains of other animals. As physicists we would like to understand if there are some general principles that govern the structure…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 William Bialek

In this study the magnetization phenomenon has been investigated as a behavior of interacting elementary moments ensemble, with the help of Ising model [1] in the frame of non-extensive statistical mechanics. To investigate the physical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Karabekirogullari , F. Buyukkilic , D. Demirhan

The aim of this of this paper is to study infinite games and to prove formally some properties in this framework. As a consequence we show that the behavior (the madness) of people which leads to speculative crashes or escalation can be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Pierre Lescanne

Over the past two decades, considerable strides have been made in advancing neuroscientific techniques, yet challenges remain in attributing causality to observed associations. This review addresses a fundamental issue in observational…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-04 Eric W. Bridgeford , Brian S. Caffo , Maya B. Mathur , Russell A. Poldrack

Our goal is to develop a partial ordering method for comparing stochastic choice functions on the basis of their individual rationality. To this end, we assign to any stochastic choice function a one-parameter class of deterministic choice…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-13 Efe A. Ok , Gerelt Tserenjigmid

The image of physics is connected with simple "mechanical" deterministic events: that an apple always falls down, that force equals mass times acceleleration. Indeed, applications of such concept to social or historical problems go back two…

Popular Physics · Physics 2011-09-13 Dietrich Stauffer

We evaluate four computational models of explanation in Bayesian networks by comparing model predictions to human judgments. In two experiments, we present human participants with causal structures for which the models make divergent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Michael Pacer , Joseph Williams , Xi Chen , Tania Lombrozo , Thomas Griffiths

Existing decision-theoretic reasoning frameworks such as decision networks use simple data structures and processes. However, decisions are often made based on complex data structures, such as social networks and protein sequences, and rich…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-14 Brian E. Ruttenberg , Avi Pfeffer

We propose and develop an algebraic approach to revealed preference. Our approach dispenses with non algebraic structure, such as topological assumptions. We provide algebraic axioms of revealed preference that subsume previous, classical…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-01 Mikhail Freer , Cesar Martinelli

We review economic research regarding the decision making processes of individuals in economics, with a particular focus on papers which tried analyzing factors that affect decision making with the evolution of the history of economic…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-08 Amitesh Saha

People care about decision outcomes and how decisions get made, both when making decisions and reflecting on decisions. But formalizing the full range of normative concerns that drive decisions is an open challenge. We introduce Axiomatic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Ben Abramowitz , Nicholas Mattei

Selective rationalization aims to produce decisions along with rationales (e.g., text highlights or word alignments between two sentences). Commonly, rationales are modeled as stochastic binary masks, requiring sampling-based gradient…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Nuno Miguel Guerreiro , André F. T. Martins

Decisions by humans depend on their estimations given some uncertain sensory data. These decisions can also be influenced by the behavior of others. Here we present a mathematical model to quantify this influence, inviting a further study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 Gabriel Madirolas , Alfonso Perez-Escudero , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

Subjective expected utility theory assumes that decision-makers possess unlimited computational resources to reason about their choices; however, virtually all decisions in everyday life are made under resource constraints - i.e.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-07 Pedro A. Ortega , Alan A. Stocker

This paper analyzes a dynamic interaction between a fully rational, privately informed sender and a boundedly rational, uninformed receiver with memory constraints. The sender controls the flow of information, while the receiver designs a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-12 Qingmin Liu , Yuyang Miao

We propose a categorical framework to reason about scientific explanations: descriptions of a phenomenon meant to translate it into simpler terms, or into a context that has been already understood. Our motivating examples come from systems…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Leo Lobski , Fabio Zanasi

In many applications of causal inference, the treatment received by one unit may influence the outcome of another, a phenomenon referred to as interference. Although there are several frameworks for conducting causal inference in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Matvey Ortyashov , AmirEmad Ghassami

Do large language models (LLMs) display rational reasoning? LLMs have been shown to contain human biases due to the data they have been trained on; whether this is reflected in rational reasoning remains less clear. In this paper, we answer…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Olivia Macmillan-Scott , Mirco Musolesi

We present a computational model of mathematical reasoning according to which mathematics is a fundamentally stochastic process. That is, on our model, whether or not a given formula is deemed a theorem in some axiomatic system is not a…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-12-16 David H. Wolpert , David Kinney

As we know, there is a controversy about the decision making under risk between economists and psychologists. We discuss to build a unified theory of risky choice, which would explain both of compensatory and non-compensatory theories. For…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Lamb Wubin , Naixin Ren