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To avoid poor empirical performance in Metropolis-Hastings and other accept-reject-based algorithms practitioners often tune them by trial and error. Lower bounds on the convergence rate are developed in both total variation and Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Austin Brown , Galin L. Jones

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

In this paper, we extend recent results on the convergence of ergodic averages along sequences generated by return times to shrinking targets in rapidly mixing systems, partially answering questions posed by the first author, Maass and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Sebastián Donoso , Sovanlal Mondal , Vicente Saavedra-Araya

The explicit criteria for several types of ergodicity of one-dimensional diffusions or birth-death processes have been found out recently in a surprisingly short period. One of the criteria is for exponential ergodicity of birth-death…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mu-Fa chen

We study convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (Andrieu and Roberts [Ann. Statist. 37 (2009) 697-725]). We find that the asymptotic variance of the pseudo-marginal algorithm is always at least as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

We consider general Markov chains with discrete time in an arbitrary measurable (phase) space and homogeneous in time. Markov chains are defined by the classical transition function which within the framework of the operator treatment…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Alexander I. Zhdanok

The heterochaos baker maps are piecewise affine maps on the square or the cube that are one of the simplest partially hyperbolic systems. The Dyck shift is a well-known example of a subshift that has two fully supported ergodic measures of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Hiroki Takahasi

We consider Markovian models on graphs with local dynamics. We show that, under suitable conditions, such Markov chains exhibit both rapid convergence to equilibrium and strong concentration of measure in the stationary distribution. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-30 Malwina J. Luczak

We develop a geometric framework to study the structure and function of complex networks. We assume that hyperbolic geometry underlies these networks, and we show that with this assumption, heterogeneous degree distributions and strong…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-14 Dmitri Krioukov , Fragkiskos Papadopoulos , Maksim Kitsak , Amin Vahdat , Marian Boguna

This paper consists of four parts. In the first part, we explain what eigenvalues we are interested in and show the difficulties of the study on the first (non-trivial) eigenvalue through examples. In the second part, we present some (dual)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mu-Fa Chen

We initiate the study of mixing times of Markov chain under monotone censoring. Suppose we have some Markov Chain $M$ on a state space $\Omega$ with stationary distribution $\pi$ and a monotone set $A \subset \Omega$. We consider the chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Jian Ding , Elchanan Mossel

Given pseudo-random binary sequence of length $L$, assuming it consists of $k$ sub-sequences of length $N$. We estimate how $k$ scales with growing $N$ to obtain a {\it limiting} ergodic behaviour, to fulfill the basic definition of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-04-22 M. Süzen

Gaussian mixtures are commonly used for modeling heavy-tailed error distributions in robust linear regression. Combining the likelihood of a multivariate robust linear regression model with a standard improper prior distribution yields an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Haoxiang Li , Qian Qin , Galin L. Jones

We give conditions under which a Markov chain constructed via parallel or simulated tempering is guaranteed to be rapidly mixing, which are applicable to a wide range of multimodal distributions arising in Bayesian statistical inference and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Dawn B. Woodard , Scott C. Schmidler , Mark Huber

We study the stochastic 3D primitive equations of the atmospheric mechanics. We consider them under a bounded and non-degenerate noise, which is statistically periodic in time with period $1$. In such a case we prove that the associated…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Pierre-Marie Boulvard

Using the renewal approach we prove Bernstein-like inequalities for additive functionals of geometrically ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The coefficient in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Michał Lemańczyk

In this paper we study the ergodicity properties of some adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) that have been recently proposed in the literature. We prove that under a set of verifiable conditions, ergodic averages calculated…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Christophe Andrieu , Éric Moulines

We study the problem of characterizing the effective (homogenized) properties of materials whose diffusive properties are modeled with random fields. Focusing on elliptic PDEs with stationary and ergodic random coefficient functions, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-20 Alen Alexanderian

We study the stochastic dynamics of a system of interacting species in a stochastic environment by means of a continuous-time Markov chain with transition rates depending on the state of the environment. Models of gene regulation in systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Daniele Cappelletti , Abhishek Pal Majumder , Carsten Wiuf

We present an extension of the ergodic, mixing and Bernoulli levels of the ergodic hierarchy in dynamical systems, the information geometric ergodic hierarchy (IGEH), making use of statistical models on curved manifolds in the context of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-06-28 Ignacio S. Gomez , Mariela Portesi