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We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

A $k$-height on a graph $G=(V, E)$ is an assignment $V\to\{0, \ldots, k\}$ such that the value on ajacent vertices differs by at most $1$. We study the Markov chain on $k$-heights that in each step selects a vertex at random, and, if…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Stefan Felsner , Daniel Heldt , Sandro Roch , Peter Winkler

We show that if the density of the absolutely continuous part of a copula is bounded away from zero on a set of Lebesgue measure 1, then that copula generates \textquotedblleft lower $\psi$-mixing\textquotedblright\ stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-23 Martial Longla

It is common practice in Markov chain Monte Carlo to update the simulation one variable (or sub-block of variables) at a time, rather than conduct a single full-dimensional update. When it is possible to draw from each full-conditional…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-03 Alicia A. Johnson , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

Rao and Teh (2012, 2013) introduced an efficient MCMC algorithm for sampling from the posterior distribution of a hidden Markov jump process. The algorithm is based on the idea of sampling virtual jumps. In the present paper we show that…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-28 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojcieh Niemiro

The higher dimensional autoregressive models would describe some of the econometric processes relatively generically if they incorporate the heterogeneity in dependence on times. This paper analyzes the stationarity of an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Varsha S. Kulkarni

We provide explicit nonasymptotic estimates for the rate of convergence of empirical means of Markov chains, together with a Gaussian or exponential control on the deviations of empirical means. These estimates hold under a "positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Aldéric Joulin , Yann Ollivier

The convergence rate of a Markov chain to its stationary distribution is typically assessed using the concept of total variation mixing time. However, this worst-case measure often yields pessimistic estimates and is challenging to infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Geoffrey Wolfer , Pierre Alquier

We prove that mixing on rank-one transformations is equivalent to the spacer sequence being slice-ergodic. Slice-ergodicity, introduced in this paper, generalizes the notion of ergodic sequence to the uniform convergence of ergodic averages…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Darren Creutz , Cesar E. Silva

We introduce and study time-inhomogeneous quantum Markov chains with parameter $\zeta \ge 0$ and decoherence parameter $0 \leq p \leq 1$ on finite spaces and their large scale equilibrium properties. Here $\zeta$ resembles the inverse…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-11 Chia-Han Chou , Wei-Shih Yang

For a general attractive Probabilistic Cellular Automata on S Z d , we prove that the (time-) convergence towards equilibrium of this Markovian parallel dynamics, exponentially fast in the uniform norm, is equivalent to a condition (A).…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Pierre-Yves Louis

We study perturbation theory and uniform ergodicity for discrete-time Markov chains on general state spaces in terms of the uniform moments of the first hitting times on some set. The methods we adopt are different from previous ones. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Yonghua Mao , Yanhong Song

We propose a new geometric approach to describe the qualitative dynamics of chemical reactions networks. By this method we identify metastable regimes, defined as low dimensional regions of the phase space close to which the dynamics is…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-19 Satya Swarup Samal , Aurélien Naldi , Dima Grigoriev , Andreas Weber , Nathalie Théret , Ovidiu Radulescu

We introduce a new property of Markov chains, called variance bounding. We prove that, for reversible chains at least, variance bounding is weaker than, but closely related to, geometric ergodicity. Furthermore, variance bounding is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

The logistic regression model is the most popular model for analyzing binary data. In the absence of any prior information, an improper flat prior is often used for the regression coefficients in Bayesian logistic regression models. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Xin Wang , Vivekananda Roy

This work develops a rigorous framework for analysing ergodicity and mixing in time-inhomogeneous quantum dynamics. It considers quantum evolutions generated by sequences of quantum channels and examines in detail the relationship between…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-03-25 Abdessatar Souissi

We provide a framework for studying randomly coloured point sets in a locally compact, second-countable space on which a metrisable unimodular group acts continuously and properly. We first construct and describe an appropriate dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Peter Müller , Christoph Richard

We study a class of dynamical systems generated by random substitutions, which contains both intrinsically ergodic systems and instances with several measures of maximal entropy. In this class, we show that the measures of maximal entropy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Philipp Gohlke , Andrew Mitchell

Non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes have been recently introduced in applied probability, automatic control, physics and statistics. Although these algorithms demonstrate…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-29 George Deligiannidis , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Arnaud Doucet

Pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for sampling from intractable distributions have gained recent interest and have been theoretically studied in considerable depth. Their main appeal is that they are exact, in the sense that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-25 Felipe J. Medina-Aguayo , Anthony Lee , Gareth O. Roberts
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