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Related papers: Nash Bargaining Over Margin Loans to Kelly Gambler…

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I unravel the basic long run dynamics of the broker call money market, which is the pile of cash that funds margin loans to retail clients (read: continuous time Kelly gamblers). Call money is assumed to supply itself perfectly…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-24 Alex Garivaltis

In this paper, we consider $n$ agents who invest in a general financial market that is free of arbitrage and complete. The aim of each investor is to maximize her expected utility while ensuring, with a specified probability, that her…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Nicole Bäuerle , Tamara Göll

This paper supplies two possible resolutions of Fortune's (2000) margin-loan pricing puzzle. Fortune (2000) noted that the margin loan interest rates charged by stock brokers are very high in relation to the actual (low) credit risk and the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-24 Alex Garivaltis

We consider games of chance played by someone with external capital that cannot be applied to the game and determine how this affects risk-adjusted optimal betting. Specifically, we focus on Kelly optimization as a metric, optimizing the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-29 Stanislav Shalunov , Alexei Kitaev , Yakov Shalunov , Arseniy Akopyan

We consider a two-person trading game in continuous time whereby each player chooses a constant rebalancing rule $b$ that he must adhere to over $[0,t]$. If $V_t(b)$ denotes the final wealth of the rebalancing rule $b$, then Player 1 (the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-24 Alex Garivaltis

We define and study a lending game to model the interbank money market, in which lending banks strategically allocate their cash to borrowing banks. The interest rate offered by each borrowing bank is within the interest rate corridor set…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Jinyun Tong , Bart de Keijzer , Haoxiang Wang , Carmine Ventre

In this paper, which is the third installment of the author's trilogy on margin loan pricing, we analyze $1,367$ monthly observations of the U.S. broker call money rate, which is the interest rate at which stock brokers can borrow to fund…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-24 Alex Garivaltis

This paper studies the n-player game and the mean field game under the CRRA relative performance on terminal wealth, in which the interaction occurs by peer competition. In the model with n agents, the price dynamics of underlying risky…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-10 Lijun Bo , Shihua Wang , Xiang Yu

In classic Kelly gambling, bets are chosen to maximize the expected log growth of wealth, under a known probability distribution. Breiman provides rigorous mathematical proofs that Kelly strategy maximizes the rate of asset growth…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Qingyun Sun , Stephen Boyd

Following the recent literature on make take fees policies, we consider an exchange wishing to set a suitable contract with several market makers in order to improve trading quality on its platform. To do so, we use a principal-agent…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Bastien Baldacci , Dylan Possamaï , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Kelly criterion, that maximizes the expectation value of the logarithm of wealth for bookmaker bets, gives an advantage over different class of strategies. We use projective symmetries for a explanation of this fact. Kelly's approach allows…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Edward W. Piotrowski , Malgorzata Schroeder

We introduce a strategic behavior in reinsurance bilateral transactions, where agents choose the risk preferences they will appear to have in the transaction. Within a wide class of risk measures, we identify agents' strategic choices to a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-19 Michail Anthropelos , Tim J. Boonen

We find closed-form solutions to the stochastic game between a broker and a mean-field of informed traders. In the finite player game, the informed traders observe a common signal and a private signal. The broker, on the other hand,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-11 Philippe Bergault , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

The relative arbitrage portfolio outperforms a benchmark portfolio over a given time-horizon with probability one. With market price of risk processes depending on the market portfolio and investors, this paper analyzes the multi-agent…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-23 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Nicole Tianjiao Yang

In this paper, we consider a simple discrete-time optimal betting problem using the celebrated Kelly criterion, which calls for maximization of the expected logarithmic growth of wealth. While the classical Kelly betting problem can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-11 Chung-Han Hsieh

We investigate the performance of the Kelly rule in a setting in which the dynamics of the return is represented by a time change process. We find that in this general semi-martingale setting the Kelly rule does not maximize the average…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Umberto Cherubini

Within a common arbitrage-free semimartingale financial market we consider the problem of determining all Nash equilibrium investment strategies for $n$ agents who try to maximize the expected utility of their relative wealth. The utility…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Tamara Göll

We study the problem of optimizing the betting frequency in a dynamic game setting using Kelly's celebrated expected logarithmic growth criterion as the performance metric. The game is defined by a sequence of bets with independent and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Chung-Han Hsieh , B. Ross Barmish , John A. Gubner

Kelly's criterion is a betting strategy that maximizes the long term growth rate, but which is known to be risky. Here, we find optimal betting strategies that gives the highest capital growth rate while keeping a certain low value of risky…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-12 L. Dinis , J. Unterberger , D. Lacoste

Chances of a gambler are always lower than chances of a casino in the case of an ideal, mathematically perfect roulette, if the capital of the gambler is limited and the minimum and maximum allowed bets are limited by the casino. However, a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-23 A. V. Kavokin , A. S. Sheremet , M. Yu. Petrov
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