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When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

Current epidemics in the biological and social domains are challenging the standard assumptions of mathematical contagion models. Chief among them are the complex patterns of transmission caused by heterogeneous group sizes and infection…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-03 Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard

Cascading failures in power systems propagate non-locally, making the control and mitigation of outages extremely hard. In this work, we use the emerging concept of the tree partition of transmission networks to provide an analytical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-20 Linqi Guo , Chen Liang , Alessandro Zocca , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman

Motivated by the increasing need for fast processing of large-scale graphs, we study a number of fundamental graph problems in a message-passing model for distributed computing, called $k$-machine model, where we have $k$ machines that…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Khalid Hourani , Hartmut Klauck , William K. Moses , Danupon Nanongkai , Gopal Pandurangan , Peter Robinson , Michele Scquizzato

Global transport and communication networks enable information, ideas and infectious diseases now to spread at speeds far beyond what has historically been possible. To effectively monitor, design, or intervene in such epidemic-like…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-13 Sam Moore , Tim Rogers

We revisit the problem of broadcasting on $d$-ary trees: starting from a Bernoulli$(1/2)$ random variable $X_0$ at a root vertex, each vertex forwards its value across binary symmetric channels $\mathrm{BSC}_\delta$ to $d$ descendants. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Yuzhou Gu , Hajir Roozbehani , Yury Polyanskiy

Nuclear matter at finite temperature and barion density exhibits several phase transitions that could happen at the early stages of the Universe evolution and could be realized in heavy-ion or hadron-hadron collisions. Microscopic…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-02-26 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova

An important part of problems in statistical physics and computer science can be expressed as the computation of marginal probabilities over a Markov Random Field. The belief propagation algorithm, which is an exact procedure to compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-01-24 Victorin Martin , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Cyril Furtlehner

This paper addresses challenges in robust transfer learning stemming from ambiguity in Bayes classifiers and weak transferable signals between the target and source distribution. We introduce a novel quantity called the ''ambiguity level''…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Jianqing Fan , Cheng Gao , Jason M. Klusowski

Human mobility and activity patterns mediate contagion on many levels, including the spatial spread of infectious diseases, diffusion of rumors, and emergence of consensus. These patterns however are often dominated by specific locations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-05 Duygu Balcan , Alessandro Vespignani

The phase transition in the number partitioning problem (NPP), i.e., the transition from a region in the space of control parameters in which almost all instances have many solutions to a region in which almost all instances have no…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-16 Peter F. Stadler , Wim Hordijk , José F. Fontanari

Neural network models have achieved high performance on a wide variety of complex tasks, but the algorithms that they implement are notoriously difficult to interpret. It is often necessary to hypothesize intermediate variables involved in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Michael A. Lepori , Thomas Serre , Ellie Pavlick

We study statistical problems, such as planted clique, its variants, and sparse principal component analysis in the context of average-case communication complexity. Our motivation is to understand the statistical-computational trade-offs…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Cyrus Rashtchian , David P. Woodruff , Peng Ye , Hanlin Zhu

We study several statistical mechanical models on a general tree. Particular attention is devoted to the classical Heisenberg models, where the state space is the d-dimensional unit sphere and the interactions are proportional to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Robin Pemantle , Jeffrey E. Steif

We consider a class of spreading processes on networks, which generalize commonly used epidemic models such as the SIR model or the SIS model with a bounded number of re-infections. We analyse the related problem of inference of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-07-22 D. Ghio , A. L. M. Aragon , I. Biazzo , L. Zdeborova

Computing circuits composed of noisy logical gates and their ability to represent arbitrary Boolean functions with a given level of error are investigated within a statistical mechanics setting. Bounds on their performance, derived in the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-14 Alexander Mozeika , David Saad , Jack Raymond

Regression trees have emerged as a preeminent tool for solving real-world regression problems due to their ability to deal with nonlinearities, interaction effects and sharp discontinuities. In this article, we rather study regression trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-14 Nathan Wycoff

What are the signatures of the onset of catastrophe? Here we present the rich system physics characterizing the transition from homeostasis to stochasticity driven breakdown in an experimentally motivated minimal model. Recent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-09 Rudro R. Biswas , Charles S. Wright , Kunaal Joshi , Srividya Iyer-Biswas

The ongoing explosion of genome sequence data is transforming how we reconstruct and understand the histories of biological systems. Across biological scales, from individual cells to populations and species, trees-based models provide a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-08 Yun Deng , Shing H. Zhan , Yulin Zhang , Chao Zhang , Bingjie Chen

Based on decision trees, many fields have arguably made tremendous progress in recent years. In simple words, decision trees use the strategy of "divide-and-conquer" to divide the complex problem on the dependency between input features and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Jinxiong Zhang