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We present a methodology for model evaluation and selection where the sampling mechanism violates the i.i.d. assumption. Our methodology involves a formulation of the bias between the standard Cross-Validation (CV) estimator and the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

Existing coherent network analysis techniques for detecting gravitational-wave bursts simultaneously test data from multiple observatories for consistency with the expected properties of the signals. These techniques assume the output of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Shourov Chatterji , Albert Lazzarini , Leo Stein , Patrick Sutton , Antony Searle , Massimo Tinto

A low frequency stochastic background of gravitational waves may be detected by pulsar timing experiments in the next five to ten years. Using methods developed to analyze interferometric gravitational wave data, in this paper we lay out…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-05-13 Melissa Anholm , Stefan Ballmer , Jolien D. E. Creighton , Larry R. Price , Xavier Siemens

We report the results of an in-depth analysis of the parameter estimation capabilities of BayesWave, an algorithm for the reconstruction of gravitational-wave signals without reference to a specific signal model. Using binary black hole…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-02-13 Francesco Pannarale , Ronaldas Macas , Patrick J. Sutton

Most gravitational-wave signals from binary neutron star coalescences are too weak to be individually resolved with current detectors. We demonstrate how to extract a population of sub-threshold binary neutron star signals using Bayesian…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-08-28 Francisco Hernandez Vivanco , Rory Smith , Eric Thrane , Paul D. Lasky

Bayesian methods for the detection of continuous gravitational waves (CGWs) in Pulsar Timing Array (PTA) data incur substantial computational costs that grow rapidly due to the number of noise and signal parameters characterizing the fitted…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-10 Yi-Qian Qian , Yan Wang , Soumya D. Mohanty , Siyuan Chen

We construct a Bayesian inference deep learning machine for parameter estimation of gravitational wave events of binaries of black hole coalescence. The structure of our deep Bayesian machine adopts the conditional variational autoencoder…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-02-23 Han-Shiang Kuo , Feng-Li Lin

Accurate and precise covariance matrices will be important in enabling planned cosmological surveys to detect new physics. Standard methods imply either the need for many N-body simulations in order to obtain an accurate estimate, or a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-13 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor

Pulsar-timing datasets have been analyzed with great success using probabilistic treatments based on Gaussian distributions, with applications ranging from studies of neutron-star structure to tests of general relativity and searches for…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-01 Michele Vallisneri , Rutger van Haasteren

Variable clustering is important for explanatory analysis. However, only few dedicated methods for variable clustering with the Gaussian graphical model have been proposed. Even more severe, small insignificant partial correlations due to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-18 Daniel Andrade , Akiko Takeda , Kenji Fukumizu

Bayesian reasoning is applied to the data by the ROG Collaboration, in which gravitational wave (g.w.) signals are searched for in a coincidence experiment between Explorer and Nautilus. The use of Bayesian reasoning allows, under well…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-10 Pia Astone , Giulio D'Agostini , Sabrina D'Antonio

The excitation of quadrupolar quasi-normal modes in a neutron star leads to the emission of a short, distinctive, burst of gravitational radiation in the form of a decaying sinusoid or `ring-down'. We present a Bayesian analysis method…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 J. Clark , I. S. Heng , M. Pitkin , G. Woan

The opening of the gravitational wave window by ground-based laser interferometers has made possible many new tests of gravity, including the first constraints on polarization. It is hoped that within the next decade pulsar timing will…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-05-09 Neil J. Cornish , Logan O'Beirne , Stephen R. Taylor , Nicolas Yunes

Cross-validation (CV) is a technique for evaluating the ability of statistical models/learning systems based on a given data set. Despite its wide applicability, the rather heavy computational cost can prevent its use as the system size…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-26 Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Tomoyuki Obuchi , Makoto Uemura

Many traditional algorithms applied in gravitational-wave astronomy rely on the assumption of Gaussian noise, a condition not always met. To meet this need, this study extends a robust statistical framework, advancing previous work on…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-02-26 Argyro Sasli , Minas Karamanis , Nikolaos Karnesis , Michael W. Coughlin , Vuk Mandic , Uroš Seljak , Nikolaos Stergioulas

Stochastic gravitational waves (SGW) can be detected by measuring a cross-correlation of two or more gravitational wave (GW) detectors. In this paper we describe an optimal SGW search technique in the wavelet domain. It uses a sign…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Klimenko , G. Mitselmakher , A. Sazonov

As gravitational-wave catalogs grow, they will become increasingly computationally expensive to analyze in their entirety, especially when inferring astrophysical source populations with high-dimensional, flexible models. Bayesian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-25 Noah E. Wolfe , Matthew Mould , John Veitch , Salvatore Vitale

The increasing sensitivity of gravitational-wave detectors has brought about an increase in the rate of astrophysical signal detections as well as the rate of "glitches"; transient and non-Gaussian detector noise. Temporal overlap of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-08-18 Sophie Hourihane , Katerina Chatziioannou , Marcella Wijngaarden , Derek Davis , Tyson Littenberg , Neil Cornish

In the era of the next-generation gravitational-wave detectors, signal overlaps will become prevalent due to high detection rate and long signal duration, posing significant challenges to data analysis. While effective algorithms are being…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-09-22 Ziming Wang , Zexin Hu , Lijing Shao

Separating a stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB) from noise is a challenging statistical task. One approach to establishing a detection criterion for the SGWB is using Bayesian evidence. If the evidence ratio (Bayes factor)…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-17 Federico Pozzoli , Jonathan Gair , Riccardo Buscicchio , Lorenzo Speri