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Variational inference (VI) combined with Bayesian nonlinear filtering produces state-of-the-art results for latent time-series modeling. A body of recent work has focused on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and its variants, e.g., forward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Tomoyuki Higuchi , Kazuyuki Nakamura

This work presents a fast, uncertainty-aware sequential data assimilation framework for estimating key aerodynamic states (e.g., instantaneous vorticity fields and aerodynamic loads) during severe gust encounters, where vortex-gust…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-20 Hanieh Mousavi , Anya Jones , Jeff Eldredge

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

Data-driven models of dynamical systems require extensive amounts of training data. For many practical applications, gathering sufficient data is not feasible due to cost or safety concerns. This work uses the Subset Extended Kalman Filter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Joshua E. Hammond , Tyler A. Soderstrom , Brian A. Korgel , Michael Baldea

The Ensemble Kalman filter assumes the observations to be Gaussian random variables with a pre-specified mean and variance. In practice, observations may also have detection limits, for instance when a gauge has a minimum or maximum value.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Abhishek Shah , Mohamad El Gharamti , Laurent Bertino

Predicting the behavior of a dynamical system from noisy observations of its past outputs is a classical problem encountered across engineering and science. For linear systems with Gaussian inputs, the Kalman filter -- the best linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Usman Akram , Haris Vikalo

The ability of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithms to extract information from observations is analyzed with the aid of the concept of the degrees of freedom for signal (DFS). A simple mathematical argument shows that DFS for EnKF is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-26 Daisuke Hotta , Yoichiro Ota

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

We present a data-driven approach to use the Koopman generator for prediction and optimal control of control-affine stochastic systems. We provide a novel conceptual approach and a proof-of-principle for the determination of optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Lei Guo , Jan Heiland , Feliks Nüske

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and ensemble square root filter (ESRF) are data assimilation methods used to combine high dimensional, nonlinear dynamical models with observed data. Despite their widespread usage in climate science and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 X. T. Tong , A. J. Majda , D. Kelly

In this paper we first study the fixed-time stabilizability of discrete-time switched linear control systems. Using a geometric approach, we derive conditions under which such systems can be stabilized within a prescribed number of steps,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Picchiotti Flavio , Thiago Alves Lima , Girard Antoine

We propose an ensemble score filter (EnSF) for solving high-dimensional nonlinear filtering problems with superior accuracy. A major drawback of existing filtering methods, e.g., particle filters or ensemble Kalman filters, is the low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-14 Feng Bao , Zezhong Zhang , Guannan Zhang

Recent research in nonlinear filtering and signal processing has suggested an efficient derivative-free Extended Kalman filter (EKF) designed for discrete-time stochastic systems. Such approach, however, has failed to address the estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Maria V. Kulikova , Gennady Yu. Kulikov

In this work, we present the ensemble-marginalized Kalman filter (EnMKF), a sequential algorithm analogous to our previously proposed approach [1,2], for estimating the state and parameters of linear parabolic partial differential equations…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Marco Iglesias , Zaid Sawlan , Marco Scavino , Raul Tempone , Christopher Wood

This paper proposes a data-driven control framework to regulate an unknown, stochastic linear dynamical system to the solution of a (stochastic) convex optimization problem. Despite the centrality of this problem, most of the available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Gianluca Bianchin , Miguel Vaquero , Jorge Cortes , Emiliano Dall'Anese

In conventional distributed Kalman filtering, employing diffusion strategies, each node transmits its state estimate to all its direct neighbors in each iteration. In this paper we propose a partial diffusion Kalman filter (PDKF) for state…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-26 Vahid Vahidpour , Amir Rastegarnia , Azam Khalili , Wael Bazzi , Saeid Sanei

This study considers the data assimilation problem in coupled systems, which consists of two components (sub-systems) interacting with each other through certain coupling terms. A straightforward way to tackle the assimilation problem in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

We propose a provably stabilizing and tractable approach for control of constrained linear systems under intermittent observations and unreliable transmissions of control commands. A smart sensor equipped with a Kalman filter is employed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Prabhat K. Mishra , Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel E. Quevedo

The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a cornerstone of nonlinear state estimation, yet its performance is fundamentally limited by noise-model mismatch and linearization errors. We develop a residual-aware distributionally robust EKF that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Minhyuk Jang , Jungjin Lee , Astghik Hakobyan , Naira Hovakimyan , Insoon Yang

We present an output feedback stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for linear systems subject to Gaussian disturbances and measurement noise and probabilistic constraints on system states and inputs. The presented approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-20 Simon Muntwiler , Kim P. Wabersich , Robert Miklos , Melanie N. Zeilinger