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A novel class of non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes relying on continuous-time piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes has recently emerged. In these algorithms, the state of the Markov process evolves according to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-16 Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We exhibit an efficient procedure for testing, based on a single long state sequence, whether an unknown Markov chain is identical to or $\varepsilon$-far from a given reference chain. We obtain nearly matching (up to logarithmic factors)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-26 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

We introduce a general class of distances (metrics) between Markov chains, which are based on linear behaviour. This class encompasses distances given topologically (such as the total variation distance or trace distance) as well as by…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-27 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

The successive discrete structures generated by a sequential algorithm from random input constitute a Markov chain that may exhibit long term dependence on its first few input values. Using examples from random graph theory and search…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Rudolf Grübel

We consider the problem of identity testing of Markov chain transition matrices based on a single trajectory of observations under the distance notion introduced by Daskalakis et al. [2018a] and further analyzed by Cherapanamjeri and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Sela Fried , Geoffrey Wolfer

A new class of nonparametric prior distributions, termed Beta-Binomial stick-breaking process, is proposed. By allowing the underlying length random variables to be dependent through a Beta marginals Markov chain, an appealing discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-12 María F. Gil-Leyva , Ramsés H. Mena , Theodoros Nicoleris

We are interested in studying the sensitivity of diffusion processes or their approximations by Markov Chains with respect to a perturbation of the coefficients.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 V. Konakov , A. Kozhina , S. Menozzi

Recently, a new and powerful separability criterion was introduced in [O. Rudolph, quant-ph/0202121] and [Chen {\it et al.}, quant-ph/0205017]. Composing the main idea behind the above criterion and the necessary and sufficient condition in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michal Horodecki , Pawel Horodecki , Ryszard Horodecki

State discrimination is a useful test problem with which to clarify the power and limitations of different classes of measurement. We consider the problem of discriminating between given states of a bi-partite quantum system via sequential…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-09-25 Sarah Croke , Stephen M. Barnett , Graeme Weir

We develop a qualitative theory of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and Partially Observable MDPs that can be used to model sequential decision making tasks when only qualitative information is available. Our approach is based upon an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Blai Bonet , Judea Pearl

A block Markov chain is a Markov chain whose state space can be partitioned into a finite number of clusters such that the transition probabilities only depend on the clusters. Block Markov chains thus serve as a model for Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Jaron Sanders , Alexander Van Werde

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

We consider the problem of testing significance of predictors in multivariate nonparametric quantile regression. A stochastic process is proposed, which is based on a comparison of the responses with a nonparametric quantile regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-15 Stanislav Volgushev , Melanie Birke , Holger Dette , Natalie Neumeyer

We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

We show that combining randomized measurement protocols with importance sampling allows for characterizing entanglement in significantly larger quantum systems and in a more efficient way than in previous work. A drastic reduction of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-26 Aniket Rath , Rick van Bijnen , Andreas Elben , Peter Zoller , Benoît Vermersch

The emergence of macroscopic variables can be effected through {\it coarse graining}. Despite practical and fundamental benefits conveyed by this partitioning of state space, the apparently subjective nature of the selection of coarse…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 L. S. Schulman , B. Gaveau

We extend the Markov chain tree theorem to general commutative semirings, and we generalize the state reduction algorithm to commutative semifields. This leads to a new universal algorithm, whose prototype is the state reduction algorithm…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Buket Benek Gursoy , Steve Kirkland , Oliver Mason , Sergei Sergeev

The analysis of parametrised systems is a growing field in verification, but the analysis of parametrised probabilistic systems is still in its infancy. This is partly because it is much harder: while there are beautiful cut-off results for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-06 Paul Gainer , Ernst Moritz Hahn , Sven Schewe