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Related papers: Bus Travel Time Prediction: A Lognormal Auto-Regre…

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The notion of smart cities is being adapted globally to provide a better quality of living. A smart city's smart mobility component focuses on providing smooth and safe commuting for its residents and promotes eco-friendly and sustainable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 B. P. Ashwini , R. Sumathi , H. S. Sudhira

In bus arrival time prediction, the process of organizing road infrastructure network data into homogeneous entities is known as segmentation. Segmenting a road network is widely recognized as the first and most critical step in developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Zhen Huang , Jiaxin Deng , Jiayu Xu , Junbiao Pang , Haitao Yu

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

With the rise of big data technologies, many smart transportation applications have been rapidly developed in recent years including bus arrival time predictions. This type of applications help passengers to plan trips more efficiently…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Dairui Liu , Jingxiang Sun , Shen Wang

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

In urban settings, bus transit stands as a significant mode of public transportation, yet faces hurdles in delivering accurate and reliable arrival times. This discrepancy often culminates in delays and a decline in ridership, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Narges Rashvand , Sanaz Sadat Hosseini , Mona Azarbayjani , Hamed Tabkhi

Accurate and reliable travel time predictions in public transport networks are essential for delivering an attractive service that is able to compete with other modes of transport in urban areas. The traditional application of this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Camara Pereira

Bus transit plays a vital role in urban public transportation but often struggles to provide accurate and reliable departure times. This leads to delays, passenger dissatisfaction, and decreased ridership, particularly in transit-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Narges Rashvand , Sanaz Sadat Hosseini , Mona Azarbayjani , Hamed Tabkhi

Accurate and reliable bus travel time prediction in real-time is essential for improving the operational efficiency of public transportation systems. However, this remains a challenging task due to the limitations of existing models and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Yuran Sun , James Spall , Wai Wong , Xilei Zhao

Accurately forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy with uncertainty is essential for both travelers and transit agencies/operators. However, existing approaches to forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy mainly rely…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Lijun Sun

Accurate forecasting of bus travel time and its uncertainty is critical to service quality and operation of transit systems; for example, it can help passengers make better decisions on departure time, route choice, and even transport mode…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-15 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Jian Gang Jin , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

Many factors can affect the predictability of public bus services such as traffic, weather and local events. Other aspects, such as day of week or hour of day, may influence bus travel times as well, either directly or in conjunction with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Matthias Kormaksson , Luciano Barbosa , Marcos R. Vieira , Bianca Zadrozny

Drive-by sensing (i.e. vehicle-based mobile sensing) is an emerging data collection paradigm that leverages vehicle mobilities to scan a city at low costs. It represents a positive social externality of urban transport activities. Bus…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-27 Wen Ji , Ke Han , Tao Liu

This paper presents an effective framework for estimating time of arrival of vehicles (buses) in an Intelligent Transit Management System (ITMS) having sparse position updates. Our contributions towards this is firstly in implementing a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-22 Shivika Sharma , Nandini Mawane , Dhruthick Gowda M , Mayur Taware , Chetan Kumar , Yash Chandrashekhar Dixit , Rakshit Ramesh

Estimation of link travel time correlation of a bus route is essential to many bus operation applications, such as timetable scheduling, travel time forecasting and transit service assessment/improvement. Most previous studies rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-24 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Lijun Sun

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

This study aims to propose an approach for spatiotemporal integration of bus transit, which enables users to change bus lines by paying a single fare. This could increase bus transit efficiency and, consequently, help to make this mode of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Júlio Borges , Altieris M. Peixoto , Thiago H. Silva , Anelise Munaretto , Ricardo Luders

Modal split prediction in transportation networks has the potential to support network operators in managing traffic congestion and improving transit service reliability. We focus on the problem of hourly prediction of the fraction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Aron Brenner , Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin

This paper presents two novel approaches for uncertainty estimation adapted and extended for the multi-link bus travel time problem. The uncertainty is modeled directly as part of recurrent artificial neural networks, but using two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Anders Parslov , Filipe Rodrigues

Intelligent city transportation systems are one of the core infrastructures of a smart city. The true ingenuity of such an infrastructure lies in providing the commuters with real-time information about citywide transports like public…

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