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Related papers: Bus Travel Time Prediction: A Lognormal Auto-Regre…

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Modern mobile applications such as navigation services and ride-sharing platforms rely heavily on geospatial technologies, most critically predictions of the time required for a vehicle to traverse a particular route, or the so-called…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-04 Chiwei Yan , James Johndrow , Dawn Woodard , Yanwei Sun

In this paper, we propose machine learning solutions to predict the time of future trips and the possible distance the vehicle will travel. For this prediction task, we develop and investigate four methods. In the first method, we use long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Ebrahim Balouji , Jonas Sjöblom , Nikolce Murgovski , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

The Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) targets to a coordinated traffic system by applying the advanced wireless communication technologies for road traffic scheduling. Towards an accurate road traffic control, the short-term traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Xun Zhou , Changle Li , Zhe Liu , Tom H. Luan , Zhifang Miao , Lina Zhu , Lei Xiong

Traffic flow prediction is an integral part of an intelligent transportation system and thus fundamental for various traffic-related applications. Buses are an indispensable way of moving for urban residents with fixed routes and schedules,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Xiangjie Kong , Kailai Wang , Mingliang Hou , Feng Xia , Gour Karmakar , Jianxin Li

In this information era commuters prefer to know a reliable travel time to plan ahead of their journey using both public and private modes. In this direction reliability analysis using the location data of the buses is conducted in two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-03 Ashwini B P , R Sumathi , Sudhira H S

Nowadays, it is possible to collect precise data describing movements of public transport. Specifically, for each bus (or tram) geoposition data can be regularly collected. This includes data for all buses in Warsaw, Poland. Moreover, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Łukasz Pałys , Maria Ganzha , Marcin Paprzycki

This study delves into the domain of dynamical systems, specifically the forecasting of dynamical time series defined through an evolution function. Traditional approaches in this area predict the future behavior of dynamical systems by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Akifumi Okuno , Yuya Morishita , Yoh-ichi Mototake

Estimating temporal patterns in travel times along road segments in urban settings is of central importance to traffic engineers and city planners. In this work, we propose a methodology to leverage coarse-grained and aggregated travel time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-17 Kelsey Maass , Arun V Sathanur , Arif Khan , Robert Rallo

Most optimal routing problems focus on minimizing travel time or distance traveled. Oftentimes, a more useful objective is to maximize the probability of on-time arrival, which requires statistical distributions of travel times, rather than…

We study real-time routing policies in smart transit systems, where the platform has a combination of cars and high-capacity vehicles (e.g., buses or shuttles) and seeks to serve a set of incoming trip requests. The platform can use its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-22 Siddhartha Banerjee , Chamsi Hssaine , Noémie Périvier , Samitha Samaranayake

Public transport is one of the major forms of transportation in the world. This makes it vital to ensure that public transport is efficient. This research presents a novel real-time GPS bus transit data for over 500 routes of buses…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Anubhav Jain , Avdesh Kumar , Saumya Balodi , Pravesh Biyani

In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-25 He Huang , Martin Pouls , Anne Meyer , Markus Pauly

Public transit systems are a critical component of major metropolitan areas. However, in the face of increasing demand, most of these systems are operating close to capacity. Under normal operating conditions, station crowding and boarding…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Peyman Noursalehi , Haris N. Koutsopoulos

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

This paper proposes a probabilistic framework for the sequential estimation of the likelihood of a driver or passenger(s) returning to the vehicle and time of arrival, from the available partial track of the user location. The latter can be…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-22 Bashar I. Ahmad , Patrick M. Langdon , Simon J. Godsill , Mauricio Delgado , Thomas Popham

Given an increasingly volatile climate, the relationship between weather and transit ridership has drawn increasing interest. However, challenges stemming from spatio-temporal dependency and non-stationarity have not been fully addressed in…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-22 Francisco Rowe , Michael Mahony , Sui Tao

Recent years have witnessed an increased focus on interpretability and the use of machine learning to inform policy analysis and decision making. This paper applies machine learning to examine travel behavior and, in particular, on modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Xilei Zhao , Xiang Yan , Pascal Van Hentenryck

In autonomous driving (AD), accurately predicting changes in the environment can effectively improve safety and comfort. Due to complex interactions among traffic participants, however, it is very hard to achieve accurate prediction for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Ershad Banijamali , Mohsen Rohani , Elmira Amirloo , Jun Luo , Pascal Poupart

We investigate the stochastic transfer synchronization problem, which seeks to synchronize the timetables of different routes in a transit network to reduce transfer waiting times, delay times, and unnecessary in-vehicle times. We present a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Zahra Ansarilari , Merve Bodur , Amer Shalaby

Accurate prediction of food delivery times significantly impacts customer satisfaction, operational efficiency, and profitability in food delivery services. However, existing studies primarily utilize static historical data and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Ananya Garg , Mohmmad Ayaan , Swara Parekh , Vikranth Udandarao