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We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Corina Constantinescu , Suhang Dai , Weihong Ni , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this paper, we consider a classical risk model refracted at given level. We give an explicit expression for the joint density of the ruin time and the cumulative number of claims counted up to ruin time. The proof is based on solving…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Yanhong Li , Zbigniew Palmowski , Chunming Zhao , Chunsheng Zhang

Drawdowns measuring the decline in value from the historical running maxima over a given period of time, are considered as extremal events from the standpoint of risk management. To date, research on the topic has mainly focus on the side…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 David Landriault , Bin Li , Hongzhong Zhang

For a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, consider $g_t$, the last time $X$ is below the level zero before time $t\geq 0$. We use a perturbation method for L\'evy processes to derive an It\^o formula for the three-dimensional process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

We study a stochastic control problem where the underlying process follows a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process. A controller can continuously increase the process but only decrease it at independent Poisson arrival times. We show the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Qingyuan Zhang

In this paper, we solve exit problems for a level-dependent L\'evy process which is exponentially killed with a killing intensity that depends on the present state of the process. Moreover, we analyse the respective resolvents. All…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Zbigniew Palmowski , Meral Şimşek , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ross A. Maller

This paper is concerned with the behaviour of a L\'{e}vy process when it crosses over a positive level, $u$, starting from 0, both as $u$ becomes large and as $u$ becomes small. Our main focus is on the time, $\tau_u$, it takes the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-21 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller

In order to approximate the exit time of a one-dimensional diffusion process, we propose an algorithm based on a random walk. Such an algorithm was already introduced in both the Brownian context and in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck context. Here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

We study the exit problem of solutions of the stochastic differential equation dX(t)=-U'(X(t))dt+epsilon dL(t) from bounded or unbounded intervals which contain the unique asymptotically stable critical point of the deterministic dynamical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Imkeller , Ilya Pavlyukevich

We study the optimal stopping of an American call option in a random time-horizon under exponential spectrally negative L\'evy models. The random time-horizon is modeled as the so-called Omega default clock in insurance, which is the first…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-10 Neofytos Rodosthenous , Hongzhong Zhang

In this note we consider the two-dimensional risk model introduced in Avram et al. \cite{APP08} with constant interest rate. We derive the integral-differential equations of the Laplace transforms, and asymptotic expressions for the finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Ze-Chun Hu , Bin Jiang

This note explores the mathematical theory to solve modern gamblers ruin problems. We establish a ruin framework and solve for the probability of bankruptcy. We also show how this relates to the expected time to bankruptcy and review the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-25 Salil Mehta

We consider a spectrally negative branching L{\'e}vy process where the particles undergo dyadic branching and are killed when entering the negative half-plane. The purpose of this short note is to give conditions under which this process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Christophe Profeta

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

We consider the general class of spectrally positive L\'evy risk processes, which are appropriate for businesses with continuous expenses and lump sum gains whose timing and sizes are stochastic. Motivated by the fact that dividends cannot…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Benjamin Avanzi , Hayden Lau , Bernard Wong

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys

In this paper we study the optimal dividend problem for a company whose surplus process evolves as a spectrally positive Levy process. This model including the dual model of the classical risk model and the dual model with diffusion as…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-11 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen , Yongxia Zhao

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos