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We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

This paper develops a two-dimensional structural framework for valuing credit default swaps and corporate bonds in the presence of default contagion. Modelling the values of related firms as correlated geometric Brownian motions with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Helen Haworth , Christoph Reisinger , William Shaw

Rough volatility models have gained considerable interest in the quantitative finance community in recent years. In this paradigm, the volatility of the asset price is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a small value for the Hurst…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

The ex-ante evaluation of policies using structural econometric models is based on estimated parameters as a stand-in for the true parameters. This practice ignores uncertainty in the counterfactual policy predictions of the model. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-15 Philipp Eisenhauer , Janoś Gabler , Lena Janys , Christopher Walsh

In the presence of ambiguity on the driving force of market randomness, we consider the dynamic portfolio choice without any predetermined investment horizon. The investment criteria is formulated as a robust forward performance process,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-23 Qian Lin , Xianming Sun , Chao Zhou

The LIBOR rate is currently scheduled for discontinuation, and the replacement advocated by regulators in the US is the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR). The change has the potential to disrupt the $200 trillion market of derivatives…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Jacob Bjerre Skov , David Skovmand

Vickrey's classic single-bottleneck departure time choice equilibrium model exhibits instability under many plausible day-to-day learning dynamics. Such instability is not observed in reality -- does this difference stem from the day-to-day…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Hillel Bar-Gera , Stephen D. Boyles , Liron Ravner

Due to the importance of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process in different areas of finance, a broad spectrum of studies and investigations on this model have been carried out. In case of ambiguity, we characterize it by applying the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-14 Bahar Akhtari , Hanwu Li

We solve time-reversed stochastic inflation in the semi-infinite flat potential with a constant drift term and derive an exact expression for the probability distribution of the curvature fluctuations. It exhibits exponential decaying tails…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-27 Baptiste Blachier , Christophe Ringeval

The stochastic motion of a particle with long-range correlated increments (the moving phase) which is intermittently interrupted by immobilizations (the traping phase) in a disordered medium is considered in the presence of an external…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-31 Yingjie Liang , Wei Wang , Ralf Metzler

We present a family of models for the term structure of interest rates which describe the interest rate curve as a stochastic process in a Hilbert space. We start by decomposing the deformations of the term structure into the variations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-17 Rama Cont

We study the martingale optimal transport problem with state-dependent trading frictions and develop a geometric and duality framework extending from the one time-step to the multi-marginal setting. Building on the left-monotone structure…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Pratik Rai

Nature is intrinsically heterogeneous, and remarkable phenomena can only be observed in the presence of intrinsically nonlinear heterogeneities. Spontaneous pattern formation in nature has fascinated humankind for centuries, and the…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-03-24 Juan F. Marín , Rafael Riveros Ávila , Saliya Coulibaly , Majid Taki , Mónica A. García-Ñustes

This paper investigates short-term behaviors of implied volatility of derivatives written on indexes in equity markets when the index processes are constructed by using a ranking procedure. Even in simple market settings where stock prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Huy N. Chau , Duy Nguyen , Thai Nguyen

Coherent structures/motions in turbulence inherently give rise to intermittent signals with sharp peaks, heavy-skirt, and skewed distributions of velocity increments, highlighting the non-Gaussian nature of turbulence. That suggests that…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Mehdi Samiee , Ali Akhavan-Safaei , Mohsen Zayernouri

We address the statistical theory of fields that are transported by a turbulent velocity field, both in forced and in unforced (decaying) experiments. We propose that with very few provisos on the transporting velocity field, correlation…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 I. Arad , L. Biferale , A. Celani , I. Procaccia , M. Vergassola

We introduce the Volterra Stein-Stein model with stochastic interest rates, where both volatility and interest rates are driven by correlated Gaussian Volterra processes. This framework unifies various well-known Markovian and non-Markovian…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-17 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Donatien Hainaut , Edouard Motte

We consider the classical multi-asset Merton investment problem under drift uncertainty, i.e. the asset price dynamics are given by geometric Brownian motions with constant but unknown drift coefficients. The investor assumes a prior drift…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-22 Nicole Bäuerle , Antje Mahayni

Wind-speed processes exhibit substantial temporal variability and spatial dependence, yet volatility dynamics across monitoring networks remain relatively unexplored. This study investigates the spatiotemporal behaviour of wind-speed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-11 Ariane Nidelle Meli Chrisko , Philipp Otto

In this paper we extend the reduced-form setting under model uncertainty introduced in [5] to include intensities following an affine process under parameter uncertainty, as defined in [15]. This framework allows to introduce a longevity…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Francesca Biagini , Katharina Oberpriller