English
Related papers

Related papers: A deterministic and computable Bernstein-von Mises…

200 papers

We establish a general semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem for Bayesian nonparametric priors based on continuous observations in a periodic reversible multidimensional diffusion model. We consider a wide range of functionals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Matteo Giordano , Kolyan Ray

In this paper, we study semiparametric inference for linear multivariate Hawkes processes, a class of point processes widely used to describe self and mutually exciting phenomena. We establish a convolution theorem giving the best limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Mael Duverger , Judith Rousseau

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

Measure transport underpins several recent algorithms for posterior approximation in the Bayesian context, wherein a transport map is sought to minimise the Kullback--Leibler divergence (KLD) from the posterior to the approximation. The KLD…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-27 Matthew A. Fisher , Tui Nolan , Matthew M. Graham , Dennis Prangle , Chris J. Oates

The paper develops Bernstein von Mises Theorem under hierarchical $g$ -priors for linear regression models. The results are obtained both when the error variance is known, and also when it is unknown. An inverse gamma prior is attached to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is one of the most important divergence measures between probability distributions. In this paper, we prove several properties of KL divergence between multivariate Gaussian distributions. First, for any two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Yufeng Zhang , Wanwei Liu , Zhenbang Chen , Ji Wang , Kenli Li

The performance of machine learning classification algorithms are evaluated by estimating metrics, often from the confusion matrix, using training data and cross-validation. However, these do not prove that the best possible performance has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 L. Crow , S. J. Watts

We investigate the asymptotic normality of the posterior distribution in the discrete setting, when model dimension increases with sample size. We consider a probability mass function $\theta_0$ on $\mathbbm{N}\setminus \{0\}$ and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-29 S. Boucheron , E. Gassiat

The central limit theorem for convex bodies says that with high probability the marginal of an isotropic log-concave distribution along a random direction is close to a Gaussian, with the quantitative difference determined asymptotically by…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Haotian Jiang , Yin Tat Lee , Santosh S. Vempala

The Kullback-Leibler divergence, the Kullback-Leibler variation, and the Bernstein "norm" are used to quantify discrepancies among probability distributions in likelihood models such as nonparametric maximum likelihood and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Tetsuya Kaji

Variational Bayesian inference is an important machine-learning tool that finds application from statistics to robotics. The goal is to find an approximate probability density function (PDF) from a chosen family that is in some sense…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Timothy D. Barfoot , Gabriele M. T. D'Eleuterio

Variational Inference approximates an unnormalized distribution via the minimization of Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. Although this divergence is efficient for computation and has been widely used in applications, it suffers from some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-28 Mingxuan Yi , Song Liu

We provide a rigorous analysis of training by variational inference (VI) of Bayesian neural networks in the two-layer and infinite-width case. We consider a regression problem with a regularized evidence lower bound (ELBO) which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-12 Arnaud Descours , Tom Huix , Arnaud Guillin , Manon Michel , Éric Moulines , Boris Nectoux

We propose a new class of exact continuous relaxations of l0-regularized criteria involving non-quadratic data terms such as the Kullback-Leibler divergence and the logistic regression, possibly combined with an l2 regularization. We first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 M'hamed Essafri , Luca Calatroni , Emmanuel Soubies

We present new and improved non-asymptotic deviation bounds for Dirichlet processes (DPs), formulated using the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, which is known for its optimal characterization of the asymptotic behavior of DPs. Our method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Pierre Perrault

In this paper we prove the optimality of an aggregation procedure. We prove lower bounds for aggregation of model selection type of $M$ density estimators for the Kullback-Leiber divergence (KL), the Hellinger's distance and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Guillaume Lecué

We consider an infinite-dimensional Gaussian regression model, equipped with a high-dimensional Gaussian prior. We address the frequentist validity of posterior credible sets for a vector of linear functionals. We specify conditions for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Gustav Rømer

The prominent Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) result claims that the posterior distribution after centering by the efficient estimator and standardizing by the square root of the total Fisher information is nearly standard normal. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Vladimir Spokoiny , Maxim Panov

Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence is a fundamental measure of the dissimilarity between two probability distributions, but it can become unstable in high-dimensional settings due to its sensitivity to mismatches in distributional support.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Yifeng Peng , Dantong Li , Xinyi Li , Zhiding Liang , Yongshan Ding , Ying Wang

This work presents an upper-bound to value that the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence can reach for a class of probability distributions called quantum distributions (QD). The aim is to find a distribution $U$ which maximizes the KL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Vincenzo Bonnici