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We study optimal double stopping problems driven by a Brownian bridge. The objective is to maximize the expected spread between the payoffs achieved at the two stopping times. We study several cases where the solutions can be solved…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-10 Erik J. Baurdoux , Nan Chen , Budhi A. Surya , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We investigate optimal stopping problems for systems driven by the Brownian sheet. Our analysis is divided into two parts. In the first part we derive explicit solutions to two optimal stopping problems for the exponentially discounted…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Nacira Agram , Bernt Oksendal , Frank Proske , Olena Tymoshenko

The problem of stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point to maximise the expected value at the stopping time is studied. A few general properties, such as continuity and various bounds of the value function, are established.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

Mathematically, the execution of an American-style financial derivative is commonly reduced to solving an optimal stopping problem. Breaking the general assumption that the knowledge of the holder is restricted to the price history of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Bernardo D'Auria , Eduardo García-Portugués , Abel Guada

We consider the problem of optimally stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning time so as to maximise the value of the process upon stopping. Adopting a Bayesian approach, we assume the stopper has a general continuous prior and is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Kristoffer Glover

We study the problem of stopping an $\alpha$-Brownian bridge as close as possible to its global maximum. This extends earlier results found for the Brownian bridge (the case $\alpha=1$). The exact behavior for $\alpha$ close to $0$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-19 Maik Görgens

We make a rigorous analysis of the existence and characterization of the free boundary related to the optimal stopping problem that maximizes the mean of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck bridge. The result includes the Brownian bridge problem as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria , Eduardo García-Portugués

The scope of this paper is to study the optimal stopping problems associated to a stochastic process, which may represent the gain of an investment, for which information on the final value is available a priori. This information may…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Bernardo D'Auria , Alessandro Ferriero

We investigate an optimal stopping problem for the expected value of a discounted payoff on a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion under two constraints on the possible stopping times: only at exogenous random times and only during a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Takuji Arai , Masahiko Takenaka

This paper studies an optimal trading problem that incorporates the trader's market view on the terminal asset price distribution and uninformative noise embedded in the asset price dynamics. We model the underlying asset price evolution by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-07 Tim Leung , Jiao Li , Xin Li

We propose a new method for solving optimal stopping problems (such as American option pricing in finance) under minimal assumptions on the underlying stochastic process $X$. We consider classic and randomized stopping times represented by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Christian Bayer , Paul Hager , Sebastian Riedel , John Schoenmakers

We formulate an optimal stopping problem for a geometric Brownian motion where the probability scale is distorted by a general nonlinear function. The problem is inherently time inconsistent due to the Choquet integration involved. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Zuo Quan Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

Given two probability measures $\mu, \nu$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, in subharmonic order, we describe optimal stopping times $\tau$ that maximize/minimize the cost functional $\mathbb{E} |B_0 - B_\tau|^{\alpha}$, $\alpha > 0$, where $(B_t)_t$ is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-06-28 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Tongseok Lim

Given an initial (resp., terminal) probability measure $\mu$ (resp., $\nu$) on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we characterize those optimal stopping times $\tau$ that maximize or minimize the functional $\mathbb{E} |B_0 - B_\tau|^{\alpha}$, $\alpha > 0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Tongseok Lim

Given a standard Brownian motion $B^{\mu}=(B_t^{\mu})_{0\le t\le T}$ with drift $\mu \in \mathbb{R}$ and letting $S_t^{\mu}=\max_{0\le s\le t}B_s^{\mu}$ for $0\le t\le T$, we consider the optimal prediction problem: \[V=\inf_{0\le \tau \le…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. du Toit , G. Peskir

Given a stochastic state process $(X_t)_t$ and a real-valued submartingale cost process $(S_t)_t$, we characterize optimal stopping times $\tau$ that minimize the expectation of $S_\tau$ while realizing given initial and target…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Aaron Zeff Palmer

We consider the optimal stopping problem for a Gauss-Markov process conditioned to adopt a prescribed terminal distribution. By applying a time-space transformation, we show it is equivalent to stopping a Brownian bridge pinned at a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria

We adapt ideas and concepts developed in optimal transport (and its martingale variant) to give a geometric description of optimal stopping times of Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the distribution of the stopping time is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Mathias Beiglboeck , Manu Eder , Christiane Elgert , Uwe Schmock

We consider optimal stopping problems for a Brownian motion and a geometric Brownian motion with a "disorder", assuming that the moment of a disorder is uniformly distributed on a finite interval. Optimal stopping rules are found as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 A. N. Shiryaev , M. V. Zhitlukhin

We study the optimal stopping of an $\alpha$-dimensional Bessel bridge for the payoff $\phi(x)=x^n$, where $\alpha,n>0$. As a special case we consider the Brownian excursion with the identity function as the payoff ($\alpha=3,n=1$). For the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 David Hobson , Jingfei Liu
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