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While multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for the numerical approximation of partial differential equations with random coefficients enjoy great popularity, combinations with spatial adaptivity seem to be rare. We present an adaptive MLMC…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-20 Ralf Kornhuber , Evgenia Youett

We present a high-performance budgeted multi-level Monte Carlo method for estimates on the entire spatial domain of multi-PDE problems with random input data. The method is designed to operate optimally within memory and CPU-time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Niklas Baumgarten , Robert Kutri , Robert Scheichl

This paper considers the problem of optimizing the average tracking error for an elliptic partial differential equation with an uncertain lognormal diffusion coefficient. In particular, the application of the multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Philipp A. Guth , Andreas Van Barel

Computational tools for characterizing electromagnetic scattering from objects with uncertain shapes are needed in various applications ranging from remote sensing at microwave frequencies to Raman spectroscopy at optical frequencies.…

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

In the context of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of particle transport Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) addresses the issue of predicting non statistical errors affecting the physical results, i.e. errors deriving mainly from uncertainties in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Paolo Saracco , Maria Grazia Pia

In this work we present an a priori error analysis for solving the unsteady advection equation on cut cell meshes along a straight ramp in two dimensions. The space discretization uses a lowest order upwind-type discontinuous Galerkin…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-18 Gunnar Birke , Christian Engwer , Jan Giesselmann , Sandra May

We present a hybrid method for time-dependent particle transport that combines Monte Carlo (MC) estimation with a deterministic discrete ordinates (\(S_N\)) solve, augmented by quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) sampling. For spatial discretizations,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Johannes Krotz , Ryan G. McClarren

In this paper we consider the semi-discretization in space of a first order scalar transport equation. For the space discretization we use standard continuous finite elements. To obtain stability we add a penalty on the jump of the gradient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-17 Erik Burman

We propose a multi-index algorithm for the Monte Carlo (MC) discretization of a linear, elliptic PDE with affine-parametric input. We prove an error vs. work analysis which allows a multi-level finite-element approximation in the physical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Josef Dick , Michael Feischl , Christoph Schwab

We propose a multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for the Bayesian inference of random field parameters in PDEs using high-resolution data. Compared to existing multilevel MCMC methods, we additionally consider level-dependent…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey

Computer simulations of photon transport through an absorbing and/or scattering medium form an important research tool in astrophysics. Nearly all software codes performing such simulations for three-dimensional geometries employ the Monte…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-25 Peter Camps , Maarten Baes

We consider the problem of numerically estimating expectations of solutions to stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions in the commonly occurring small noise regime. We consider (i) standard Monte Carlo methods combined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-08 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

Instance segmentation has witnessed promising advancements through deep neural network-based algorithms. However, these models often exhibit incorrect predictions with unwarranted confidence levels. Consequently, evaluating prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Qasim M. K. Siddiqui , Sebastian Starke , Peter Steinbach

Random field Monte Carlo (MC) reliability analysis is a robust stochastic method to determine the probability of failure. This method, however, requires a large number of numerical simulations demanding high computational costs. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Mohammad Aminpour , Reza Alaie , Navid Kardani , Sara Moridpour , Majidreza Nazem

We present a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for the uncertainty quantification of variably saturated porous media flow that are modeled using the Richards' equation. We propose a stochastic extension for the empirical models that are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Prashant Kumar , Carmen Rodrigo , Francisco J. Gaspar , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

We use the Multi Level Monte Carlo method to estimate uncertainties in a Henry-like salt water intrusion problem with a fracture. The flow is induced by the variation of the density of the fluid phase, which depends on the mass fraction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Dmitry Logashenko , Alexander Litvinenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum

The multilevel Monte Carlo method is applied to an academic example in the field of electromagnetism. The method exhibits a reduced variance by assigning the samples to multiple models with a varying spatial resolution. For the given…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Armin Galetzka , Zeger Bontinck , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps