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Alternative data provides valuable insights for lenders to evaluate a borrower's creditworthiness, which could help expand credit access to underserved groups and lower costs for borrowers. But some forms of alternative data have…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Chris Lam

Many solutions to cost-sensitive classification (and regression) rely on some or all of the following assumptions: we have complete knowledge about the cost context at training time, we can easily re-train whenever the cost context changes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-31 Celestine Periale Maguedong-Djoumessi , José Hernández-Orallo

Counterfactual explanations is one of the post-hoc methods used to provide explainability to machine learning models that have been attracting attention in recent years. Most examples in the literature, address the problem of generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Guillermo Navas-Palencia

How can we assess the reliability of a dataset without access to ground truth? We introduce the problem of reliability scoring for datasets collected from potentially strategic sources. The true data are unobserved, but we see outcomes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yiling Chen , Shi Feng , Paul Kattuman , Fang-Yi Yu

In this paper we present the impact of alternative data that originates from an app-based marketplace, in contrast to traditional bureau data, upon credit scoring models. These alternative data sources have shown themselves to be immensely…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-05 Luisa Roa , Alejandro Correa-Bahnsen , Gabriel Suarez , Fernando Cortés-Tejada , María A. Luque , Cristián Bravo

Banks are important for the development of economies in any financial ecosystem through consumer and business loans. Lending, however, presents risks; thus, banks have to determine the applicant's financial position to reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 F M Ahosanul Haque , Md. Mahedi Hassan

Data-driven decision support tools play an increasingly central role in decision-making across various domains. In this work, we focus on binary classification models for predicting positive-outcome scores and deciding on resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Simon De Vos , Jente Van Belle , Andres Algaba , Wouter Verbeke , Sam Verboven

We study a rating system in which a set of individuals (e.g., the customers of a restaurant) evaluate a given service (e.g, the restaurant), with their aggregated opinion determining the probability of all individuals to use the service and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-28 Umberto Grandi , Paolo Turrini

We show that the incorporation of any new piece of information allows for improved decision making in the sense that the expected costs of an optimal decision decrease (or, in boundary cases where no or not enough new information is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Aafko Boonstra , Ronald Meester , Klaas Slooten

The existence of asymmetric information has always been a major concern for financial institutions. Financial intermediaries such as commercial banks need to study the quality of potential borrowers in order to make their decision on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-05 Jinglun Yao , Maxime Levy-Chapira , Mamikon Margaryan

Many applications of AI involve scoring individuals using a learned function of their attributes. These predictive risk scores are then used to take decisions based on whether the score exceeds a certain threshold, which may vary depending…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Robin Vogel , Aurélien Bellet , Stephan Clémençon

Abstaining classificaiton aims to reject to classify the easily misclassified examples, so it is an effective approach to increase the clasificaiton reliability and reduce the misclassification risk in the cost-sensitive applications. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Hongjiao Guan , Yingtao Zhang , H. D. Cheng , Xianglong Tang

In modern-day organizations, many software applications require critical input to decide the next steps in the application workflow and approval. One of the most important inputs to decide the subsequent course of action is the key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Sumit Sanwal

We study statistical discrimination of individuals based on payoff-irrelevant social identities in markets that utilize ratings and recommendations for social learning. Even though rating/recommendation algorithms can be designed to be fair…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Yeon-Koo Che , Kyungmin Kim , Weijie Zhong

We consider the problem of constructing an appropriate multivariate model for the study of the counterparty credit risk in credit rating migration problem. For this financial problem different multivariate Markov chain models were proposed.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-08 Guglielmo D'Amico , Raimondo Manca , Giovanni Salvi

We develop a structural econometric model to capture the decision dynamics of human evaluators on an online micro-lending platform, and estimate the model parameters using a real-world dataset. We find two types of biases in gender,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Xiyang Hu , Yan Huang , Beibei Li , Tian Lu

In recent years, financial fraud detection systems have become very efficient at detecting fraud, which is a major threat faced by e-commerce platforms. Such systems often include machine learning-based algorithms aimed at detecting and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Chen Doytshman , Satoru Momiyama , Inderjeet Singh , Yuval Elovici , Asaf Shabtai

Since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), the use of stress tests as a tool for assessing the resilience of financial institutions to adverse financial and economic developments has increased significantly. One key part in such exercises is…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 Martin Guth

In this paper we propose a new nonparametric approach to interacting failing systems (FS), that is systems whose probability of failure is not negligible in a fixed time horizon, a typical example being firms and financial bonds. The main…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-19 Pasquale Cirillo , Jürg Hüsler , Pietro Muliere

Macroeconomic factors have a critical impact on banking credit risk, which cannot be directly controlled by banks, and therefore, there is a need for an early credit risk warning system based on the macroeconomy. By comparing different…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Hemlata Sharma , Aparna Andhalkar , Oluwaseun Ajao , Bayode Ogunleye