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Human decision-makers often receive assistance from data-driven algorithmic systems that provide a score for evaluating objects, including individuals. The scores are generated by a function (mechanism) that takes a set of features as input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Abolfazl Asudeh , H. V. Jagadish

Critical decisions in hiring, college admissions, and credit lending are guided by predictions made in the presence of uncertainty. While uncertainty imparts errors across all demographic groups, this paper shows that the types of errors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Claire Lazar Reich

Algorithmic decision systems are increasingly used in areas such as hiring, school admission, or loan approval. Typically, these systems rely on labeled data for training a classification model. However, in many scenarios, ground-truth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Jakob Schoeffer , Niklas Kuehl , Isabel Valera

There has been an increased need for secondary means of credit evaluation by both traditional banking organizations as well as peer-to-peer lending entities. This is especially important in the present technological era where sticking with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-25 Revathi Bhuvaneswari , Antonio Segalini

A fundamental component in the theoretical school choice literature is the problem a student faces in deciding which schools to apply to. Recent models have considered a set of schools of different selectiveness and a student who is unsure…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Jon Kleinberg , Sigal Oren , Emily Ryu , Éva Tardos

A credit rating of AAA asserts near-certainty of repayment. This paper asks whether the pre-crisis information environment could have supported that assertion for structured products. Bayes' theorem implies that any reliability target…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-24 Marco Pollanen

The IFRS 9 accounting standard requires the prediction of credit deterioration in financial instruments, i.e., significant increases in credit risk (SICR). However, the definition of such a SICR-event is inherently ambiguous, given its…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-13 Arno Botha , Esmerelda Oberholzer , Janette Larney , Riaan de Jongh

This article proposes a method for measuring the latent risks involved in the recovery process of non performing loans in financial institutions and business firms that deal with collection and recovery processes. To that end, we apply the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

Imputation is an attractive tool for dealing with the widespread issue of missing values. Consequently, studying and developing imputation methods has been an active field of research over the last decade. Faced with an imputation task and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Jeffrey Näf , Krystyna Grzesiak , Erwan Scornet

In real-world applications, one often encounters ambiguously labeled data, where different annotators assign conflicting class labels. Partial-label learning allows training classifiers in this weakly supervised setting, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Tobias Fuchs , Florian Kalinke , Klemens Böhm

Credit card fraud detection is a very challenging problem because of the specific nature of transaction data and the labeling process. The transaction data is peculiar because they are obtained in a streaming fashion, they are strongly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Fabirzio Carcillo , Yann-Aël Le Borgne , Olivier Caelen , Gianluca Bontempi

The Brier score is a widely used metric evaluating overall performance of probabilistic predictions for binary outcomes in clinical research. However, its interpretation can be complex, as it does not align with commonly taught concepts in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-08 Linard Hoessly

We study a game theoretic model of standardized testing for college admissions. Students are of two types; High and Low. There is a college that would like to admit the High type students. Students take a potentially costly standardized…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Sampath Kannan , Mingzi Niu , Aaron Roth , Rakesh Vohra

Credit ratings are becoming one of the primary references for financial institutions of the country to assess credit risk in order to accurately predict the likelihood of business failure of an individual or an enterprise. Financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Aditya Saxena , Dr Parizad Dungore

Does past performance influence success in grant applications? In this study we test whether the grant allocation decisions of the Netherlands Research Council for the Economic and Social Sciences correlate with the past performances of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-09 Peter van den Besselaar , Loet Leydesdorff

Despite limiting access to applicants from underrepresented racial and ethnic groups, the practice of using hard or soft GRE cut-off scores in physics graduate program admissions is still a popular method for reducing the pool of…

Physics Education · Physics 2021-10-12 Nils J. Mikkelsen , Nicholas T. Young , Marcos D. Caballero

Carbon emissions significantly contribute to climate change, and carbon credits have emerged as a key tool for mitigating environmental damage and helping organizations manage their carbon footprint. Despite their growing importance across…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Qingwen Zeng , Hanlin Xu , Nanjun Xu , Zhenghao Zhao , Joakim Westerholm , Flora Salim , Junbin Gao , Huaming Chen

Algorithmic lending has transformed the consumer credit landscape, with complex machine learning models now commonly used to make or assist underwriting decisions. To comply with fair lending laws, these algorithms typically exclude legally…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-25 Madison Coots , Robert Bartlett , Julian Nyarko , Sharad Goel

The feature space (including both input and output variables) characterises a data mining problem. In predictive (supervised) problems, the quality and availability of features determines the predictability of the dependent variable, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-25 Celestine-Periale Maguedong-Djoumessi

Risk management is an important practice in the banking industry. In this paper we develop a new methodology to estimate and predict the probability of default (PD) based on the rating transition matrices, which relates the rating…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-28 Jinghai Shao , Siming Li , Yong Li
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