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Related papers: R\'eint\'egration des refus\'es en Credit Scoring

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We propose a model for the credit markets in which the random default times of bonds are assumed to be given as functions of one or more independent "market factors". Market participants are assumed to have partial information about each of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

Machine learning is more and more applied in critical application areas like health and driver assistance. To minimize the risk of wrong decisions, in such applications it is necessary to consider the certainty of a classification to reject…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Stephan Hasler , Lydia Fischer

Health economic evaluations face the issues of non-compliance and missing data. Here, non-compliance is defined as non-adherence to a specific treatment, and occurs within randomised controlled trials (RCTs) when participants depart from…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-26 Karla DiazOrdaz , Richard Grieve

In this paper, we performs a credit risk analysis, on the data of past loan applicants of a company named Lending Club. The calculation required the use of exploratory data analysis and machine learning classification algorithms, namely,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Aadi Gupta , Priya Gulati , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

We develop a model to predict consumer default based on deep learning. We show that the model consistently outperforms standard credit scoring models, even though it uses the same data. Our model is interpretable and is able to provide a…

General Economics · Economics 2019-10-07 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

Overrides of credit ratings are important correctives of ratings that are determined by statistical rating models. Financial institutions and banking regulators agree on this because on the one hand errors with ratings of corporates or…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-24 Dirk Tasche

Authors often struggle to interpret peer review feedback, deriving false hope from polite comments or feeling confused by specific low scores. To investigate this, we construct a dataset of over 30,000 ICLR 2021-2025 submissions and compare…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Yingxuan Wen

The notion of a credit spread curve is fundamental in fixed income investing, but in practice it is not `given' and needs to be constructed from bond prices either for a particular issuer, or for a sector rating-by-rating. Rather than…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Richard J. Martin

The replacement closeout convention has drawn more and more attention since the 2008 financial crisis. Compared with the conventional risk-free closeout, the replacement closeout convention incorporates the creditworthiness of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-01 Chaofan Sun , Ken Seng Tan , Wei Wei

This paper investigates gaps in access to and the cost of housing credit by race and ethnicity using the near universe of U.S. mortgage applications. Our data contain borrower creditworthiness variables that have historically been absent…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-03 Sean Lewis-Faupel , Nicholas Tenev

Selective regression allows abstention from prediction if the confidence to make an accurate prediction is not sufficient. In general, by allowing a reject option, one expects the performance of a regression model to increase at the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Abhin Shah , Yuheng Bu , Joshua Ka-Wing Lee , Subhro Das , Rameswar Panda , Prasanna Sattigeri , Gregory W. Wornell

In classification with a reject option, the classifier is allowed in uncertain cases to abstain from prediction. The classical cost-based model of a reject option classifier requires the cost of rejection to be defined explicitly. An…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 V. Franc , D. Prusa , V. Voracek

In this work, I point out the negative implications for diversity in graduate school resulting from the use of cutoff scores on the GRE in the admissions process. In light of the data presented, as well as a swelling body of evidence…

Physics Education · Physics 2013-02-19 Casey W. Miller

Scoring systems are commonly seen for platforms in the era of big data. From credit scoring systems in financial services to membership scores in E-commerce shopping platforms, platform managers use such systems to guide users towards the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Xiangguo Sun , Hong Cheng , Hang Dong , Bo Qiao , Si Qin , Qingwei Lin

This paper extends the application of ESG score assessment methodologies from large corporations to individual farmers' production, within the context of climate change. Our proposal involves the integration of crucial agricultural…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Jiayue Zhang , Ken Seng Tan , Tony S. Wirjanto , Lysa Porth

In a simplified setting, we show how to price invoice non-recourse factoring taking into account not only the credit worthiness of the debtor but also the assignor's one, together with the default correlation between the two. Indeed, the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-31 Ilaria Nava , Davide Cuccio , Lorenzo Giada , Claudio Nordio

A model is developed to assess the profitability of loans or mortgages with a specified repayment schedule. Financial institutions face two competing risks: default and prepayment, both influenced by the stochastic evolution of credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-12 Quirini Lorenzo , Vannucci Luigi , Quirini Giovanni

One of the key elements in the banking industry rely on the appropriate selection of customers. In order to manage credit risk, banks dedicate special efforts in order to classify customers according to their risk. The usual decision making…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-17 Laura Cristina Lanzarini , Augusto Villa Monte , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Patricia Jimbo Santana

Selective prediction, where a model has the option to abstain from making a decision, is crucial for machine learning applications in which mistakes are costly. In this work, we focus on distributional regression and introduce a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Ahmed Zaoui , Clément Dombry

Significance tests are probably the most extended form of inference in empirical research, and significance is often interpreted as providing greater informational content than non-significance. In this article we show, however, that…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-05 Alberto Abadie