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The ability to make accurate predictions with quantified uncertainty provides a crucial foundation for the successful management of a geothermal reservoir. Conventional approaches for making predictions using geothermal reservoir models…

History matching based on monitoring data will enable uncertainty reduction, and thus improved aquifer management, in industrial-scale carbon storage operations. In traditional model-based data assimilation, geomodel parameters are modified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Su Jiang , Louis J. Durlofsky

Data-space inversion (DSI) and related procedures represent a family of methods applicable for data assimilation in subsurface flow settings. These methods differ from model-based techniques in that they provide only posterior predictions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-08 Su Jiang , Louis J. Durlofsky

The work discussed and presented in this paper focuses on the history matching of reservoirs by integrating 4D seismic data into the inversion process using machine learning techniques. A new integrated scheme for the reconstruction of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-21 Clement Etienam

In this work we propose an ensemble 4D seismic history matching framework for reservoir characterization. Compared to similar existing frameworks in reservoir engineering community, the proposed one consists of some relatively new…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-04-25 Xiaodong Luo , Tuhin Bhakta , Morten Jakobsen , Geir Nævdal

Accurately assessing the potential for fault slip is essential in many subsurface operations. Conventional model-based history matching methods, which entail the generation of posterior geomodels calibrated to observed data, can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Xiaowen He , Su Jiang , Louis J. Durlofsky

The calibration of a reservoir model with observed transient data of fluid pressures and rates is a key task in obtaining a predictive model of the flow and transport behaviour of the earth's subsurface. The model calibration task, commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Lukas Mosser , Olivier Dubrule , Martin J. Blunt

Reservoir simulation and adaptation (also known as history matching) are typically considered as separate problems. While a set of models are aimed at the solution of the forward simulation problem assuming all initial geological parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-03 E. Illarionov , P. Temirchev , D. Voloskov , R. Kostoev , M. Simonov , D. Pissarenko , D. Orlov , D. Koroteev

In a previous work \citep{luo2016sparse2d_spej}, the authors proposed an ensemble-based 4D seismic history matching (SHM) framework, which has some relatively new ingredients, in terms of the type of seismic data in choice, the way to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-13 Xiaodong Luo , Tuhin Bhakta , Morten Jakobsen , Geir Nævdal

The literature about history matching is vast and despite the impressive number of methods proposed and the significant progresses reported in the last decade, conditioning reservoir models to dynamic data is still a challenging task.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Smith W. A. Canchumuni , Alexandre A. Emerick , Marco Aurélio C. Pacheco

Fast assimilation of monitoring data to update forecasts of pressure buildup and carbon dioxide (CO2) plume migration under geologic uncertainties is a challenging problem in geologic carbon storage. The high computational cost of data…

Data assimilation (DA) is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications, combining model forecasts with sparse and noisy observations to estimate latent system states. Classical high-dimensional DA methods, such as the ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Martin Andrae , Erik Wikingsson , So Takao , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Forecasting production reliably and anticipating changes in the behavior of rock-fluid systems are the main challenges in petroleum reservoir engineering. This project proposes to deal with this problem through a data-driven approach and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Mateus A. Fernandes , Michael M. Furlanetti , Eduardo Gildin , Marcio A. Sampaio

Iterative geostatistical history matching uses stochastic sequential simulation to generate and perturb subsurface Earth models to match historical production data. The areas of influence around each well are one of the key factors in…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-10-17 Eduardo Barrela , Vasily Demyanov , Leonardo Azevedo

Data assimilation (DA) improves prediction of chaotic systems by combining model forecasts with sparse, noisy observations. Many DA methods are inherently probabilistic, but accurate probabilistic DA is often computationally expensive…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-24 Aditya Sai Pranith Ayapilla , Kazuya Miyashita , Yuki Yasuda , Ryo Onishi

The ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation (ES-MDA) is becoming a popular assisted history matching method. In its standard form, the method requires the specification of the number of iterations in advance. If the selected…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Alexandre A. Emerick

Recently, deep learning has emerged as a promising tool for statistical downscaling, the set of methods for generating high-resolution climate fields from coarse low-resolution variables. Nevertheless, their ability to generalize to climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Jose González-Abad , Jorge Baño-Medina

Production forecasting is a key step to design the future development of a reservoir. A classical way to generate such forecasts consists in simulating future production for numerical models representative of the reservoir. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Raphaël Deswarte , Véronique Gervais , Gilles Stoltz , Sébastien da Veiga

A foundational challenge in uncertainty quantification involves estimating a probability measure on the space of uncertain parameters such that its push-forward through a computational model matches an observed probability measure on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Tianyi Jiang , Troy Butler , Timothy Wildey , Tim Kutta , Haonan Wang
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