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Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

In this study, spatial stochastic and logistic model (SSLM) describing dynamics of a population of a certain species was analysed. The behaviour of the extinction threshold as a function of model parameters was studied. More specifically,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-28 Yevheniia Soroka , Bogdan Rublyov

We present novel analytical results about ecosystem species diversity that stem from a proposed coarse grained neutral model based on birth-death processes. The relevance of the problem lies in the urgency for understanding and synthesizing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Samir Suweis , Andrea Rinaldo , Amos Maritan

We introduce the following model for the evolution of a population. At every discrete time $j\geq 0$ exactly one individual is introduced in the population and is assigned a death probability $c_j$ sampled from $C$, a fixed probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Luiz Renato Fontes , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We review recent work aimed at modeling species extinction over geological time. We discuss a number of models which, rather than dealing with the direct causes of particular extinction events, attempt to predict overall statistical trends,…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-30 M. E. J. Newman , R. G. Palmer

We investigate a continuous time, probability measure-valued dynamical system that describes the process of mutation-selection balance in a context where the population is infinite, there may be infinitely many loci, and there are weak…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Steven N. Evans , David Steinsaltz , Kenneth W. Wachter

The extinction of species is a core process that affects the diversity of life on Earth. One way of investigating the causes and consequences of extinctions is to build conceptual ecological models, and to use the dynamical outcomes of such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-28 Sergey A. Vakulenko , Ivan Sudakov , Luke Mander

Phylogenetic diversity is a measure for describing how much of an evolutionary tree is spanned by a subset of species. If one applies this to the (unknown) subset of current species that will still be present at some future time, then this…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-29 Beata Faller , Fabio Pardi , Mike Steel

The extinction and persistence of infective individuals are closely related to the random change of the environment. In this paper, via the random/stochastic SIRS models, we analyze qualitatively and quantitatively the impact caused by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao

Multispecies ecosystems modelled by generalized Lotka-Volterra equations exhibit stationary population abundances, where large number of species often coexist. Understanding the precise conditions under which this is at all feasible and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-19 Philippe Jacquod

We propose a simple dynamic model of cancer development that captures carcinogenesis and subsequent cancer progression. A central idea of the model is to include the immune system as an extinction threshold, similar to the strong Allee…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-09 Frank Bastian , Hassan Alkhayuon , Kieran Mulchrone , Micheal O'Riordain , Sebastian Wieczorek

We study a continuous-time dynamical system that models the evolving distribution of genotypes in an infinite population where genomes may have infinitely many or even a continuum of loci, mutations accumulate along lineages without…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-03 Aubrey Clayton , Steven N. Evans

We consider a continuum version of a previously introduced and numerically studied model of macroevolution (PRL 75, 2055, (1995)) in which agents evolve by an optimization process in a rugged fitness landscape and die due to their…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 Paolo Sibani

We consider a cyclically competing species model on a ring with global mixing at finite rate, which corresponds to the well-known Lotka-Volterra equation in the limit of infinite mixing rate. Within a perturbation analysis of the model from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-28 Cilie W. Feldager , Namiko Mitarai , Hiroki Ohta

We show how concepts from statistical physics, such as order parameter, thermodynamic limit, and quantum phase transition, translate into biological concepts in mutation-selection models for sequence evolution and can be used there. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Joachim Hermisson , Oliver Redner , Holger Wagner , Ellen Baake

The phase diagrams survival-extinction for the Penna model with parameters: (mutations rate)-(birth rate), (mutation rate)-(harmful mutations threshold), (harmful mutation threshold)-(minimal reproduction age) are presented. The extinction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 K. Malarz

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

We study a class of evolution models, where the breeding process involves an arbitrary exchangeable process, allowing for mutations to appear. The population size $n$ is fixed, hence after breeding, selection is applied. Individuals are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Juri Lember , Fabio Zucca

A punctuated equilibrium model of biological evolution with relative fitness between different species being the fundamental driving force of evolution is introduced. Mutation is modeled as a fitness updating cellular automaton process…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 H. F. Chau , L. Mak , P. K. Kwok

Simulations of the coevolution of many interacting species are performed using the Webworld model. The model has a realistic set of predator-prey equations that describe the population dynamics of the species for any structure of the food…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Christopher Quince , Paul G. Higgs , Alan J. McKane