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Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

Runtime monitors assess whether a system is in an unsafe state based on a stream of observations. We study the problem where the system is subject to probabilistic uncertainty and described by a hidden Markov model. A stream of observations…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Luko van der Maas , Sebastian Junges

In this paper we study possibilities of using hierarchical reasoning, symbol elimination and model generation for the verification of parametric systems, where the parameters can be constants or functions. Our goal is to automatically…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Viorica Sofronie-Stokkermans

In many autonomy applications, performance of perception algorithms is important for effective planning and control. In this paper, we introduce a framework for computing the probability of satisfaction of formal system specifications given…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-18 Apurva Badithela , Tichakorn Wongpiromsarn , Richard M. Murray

We study the synthesis problem for distributed architectures with a parametric number of finite-state components. Parameterized specifications arise naturally in a synthesis setting, but thus far it was unclear how to detect realizability…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Swen Jacobs , Roderick Bloem

The article studies segmentation problem (also known as classification problem) with pairwise Markov models (PMMs). A PMM is a process where the observation process and underlying state sequence form a two-dimensional Markov chain, it is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Kristi Kuljus , Jüri Lember

We consider qualitative and quantitative verification problems for infinite-state Markov chains. We call a Markov chain decisive w.r.t. a given set of target states F if it almost certainly eventually reaches either F or a state from which…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Parosh Aziz Abdulla , Noomene Ben Henda , Richard Mayr

Strong and weak simulation relations have been proposed for Markov chains, while strong simulation and strong probabilistic simulation relations have been proposed for probabilistic automata. However, decision algorithms for strong and weak…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Lijun Zhang , Holger Hermanns , Friedrich Eisenbrand , David N. Jansen

We consider the problem of approximating the reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDP) with uncountable (continuous) state and action spaces. While there are algorithms that, for special classes of such MDP, provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Kush Grover , Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

Statistical model checking (SMC) is a technique for analysis of probabilistic systems that may be (partially) unknown. We present an SMC algorithm for (unbounded) reachability yielding probably approximately correct (PAC) guarantees on the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Pranav Ashok , Jan Křetínský , Maximilian Weininger

The construction and formal verification of dynamical models is important in engineering, biology and other disciplines. We focus on non-linear models containing a set of parameters governing their dynamics. The value of these parameters is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-20 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin , Sucheendra K. Palaniappan

Given its ability to analyse stochastic models ranging from discrete and continuous-time Markov chains to Markov decision processes and stochastic games, probabilistic model checking (PMC) is widely used to verify system dependability and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Radu Calinescu , Sinem Getir Yaman , Simos Gerasimou , Gricel Vázquez , Micah Bassett

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a popular model for performance analysis and optimization of stochastic systems. The parameters of stochastic behavior of MDPs are estimates from empirical observations of a system; their values are not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-10-26 Dimitri Scheftelowitsch , Peter Buchholz , Vahid Hashemi , Holger Hermanns

This article surveys recent advancements of strategy designs for persistent robotic surveillance tasks with the focus on stochastic approaches. The problem describes how mobile robots stochastically patrol a graph in an efficient way where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Xiaoming Duan , Francesco Bullo

We study some regularity properties in locally stationary Markov models which are fundamental for controlling the bias of nonparametric kernel estimators. In particular, we provide an alternative to the standard notion of derivative process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Lionel Truquet

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

We discuss the efficient computation of performance, reliability, and availability measures for Markov chains; these metrics, and the ones obtained by combining them, are often called performability measures. We show that this computational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Giulio Masetti , Leonardo Robol

Markov state models (MSMs) are widely employed to analyze the kinetics of complex systems. But despite their effectiveness in many applications, MSMs are prone to systematic or statistical errors, often exacerbated by suboptimal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-08-12 Yehor Tuchkov , Luke Evans , Sonya M. Hanson , Erik H. Thiede
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