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I derive the probability that a vote cast in an Instant Runoff Voting election will change the election winner. I phrase that probability in terms of the candidates' expected vote totals, and then I estimate its magnitude for different…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Samuel Baltz

This paper considers elections in which voters choose one candidate each, independently according to known probability distributions. A candidate receiving a strict majority (absolute or relative, depending on the version) wins. After the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Lisa Hellerstein , Naifeng Liu , Kevin Schewior

How can we probabilistically predict the winner in a ranked-choice election without all ballots being counted? In this study, we introduce a novel algorithm designed to predict outcomes in Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) elections. The…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Nicholas Kapoor , P. Christopher Staecker

We introduce the model of line-up elections which captures parallel or sequential single-winner elections with a shared candidate pool. The goal of a line-up election is to find a high-quality assignment of a set of candidates to a set of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Niclas Boehmer , Robert Bredereck , Piotr Faliszewski , Andrzej Kaczmarczyk , Rolf Niedermeier

We propose a simple method for combining together voting rules that performs a run-off between the different winners of each voting rule. We prove that this combinator has several good properties. For instance, even if just one of the base…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-15 Nina Narodytska , Toby Walsh , Lirong Xia

In an election in which each voter ranks all of the candidates, we consider the head-to-head results between each pair of candidates and form a labeled directed graph, called the margin graph, which contains the margin of victory of each…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-09-08 Matthew Harrison-Trainor

In this paper, a new method of detection of election fraud is proposed. This method is based on the calculation of the ratio of two standard normal random variables; estimation of parameters of obtained sample and comparison of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Ivan H. Krykun

Voting is a very general method of preference aggregation. A voting rule takes as input every voter's vote (typically, a ranking of the alternatives), and produces as output either just the winning alternative or a ranking of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Vincent Conitzer , Tuomas Sandholm

To aggregate rankings into a social ranking, one can use scoring systems such as Plurality, Veto, and Borda. We distinguish three types of methods: ranking by score, ranking by repeatedly choosing a winner that we delete and rank at the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Niclas Boehmer , Robert Bredereck , Dominik Peters

This paper presents a robust and comprehensive graph-based rank aggregation approach, used to combine results of isolated ranker models in retrieval tasks. The method follows an unsupervised scheme, which is independent of how the isolated…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Icaro Cavalcante Dourado , Daniel Carlos Guimarães Pedronette , Ricardo da Silva Torres

Instant runoff voting (IRV) has recently gained popularity as an alternative to plurality voting for political elections, with advocates claiming a range of advantages, including that it produces more moderate winners than plurality and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-01-19 Kiran Tomlinson , Johan Ugander , Jon Kleinberg

Our main contribution is the introduction of the map of elections framework. A map of elections consists of three main elements: (1) a dataset of elections (i.e., collections of ordinal votes over given sets of candidates), (2) a way of…

We introduce a single-winner perspective on voting on matchings, in which voters have preferences over possible matchings in a graph, and the goal is to select a single collectively desirable matching. Unlike in classical matching problems,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Niclas Boehmer , Jessica Dierking

Our main contribution is the introduction of the map of elections framework. A map of elections consists of three main elements: (1) a dataset of elections (i.e., collections of ordinal votes over given sets of candidates), (2) a way of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Stanisław Szufa

A Ranked candidate voting method based on Phragmen's procedure is described that can be used to produce a top-down proportional candidate list. The method complies with the Droop proportionality criterion satisfied by Single Transferable…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-14 Ross Hyman

The voter model is a classical interacting particle system modelling how consensus is formed across a network. We analyse the time to consensus for the voter model when the underlying graph is a subcritical scale-free random graph.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 John Fernley , Marcel Ortgiese

A "repeat voting" procedure is proposed, whereby voting is carried out in two identical rounds. Every voter can vote in each round, the results of the first round are made public before the second round, and the final result is determined…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-30 Sergiu Hart

The major finding, of this article, is an ensemble method, but more exactly, a novel, better ranked voting system (and other variations of it), that aims to solve the problem of finding the best candidate to represent the voters. We have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Gabriel-Claudiu Grama

We use the ``map of elections'' approach of Szufa et al. (AAMAS-2020) to analyze several well-known vote distributions. For each of them, we give an explicit formula or an efficient algorithm for computing its frequency matrix, which…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Niclas Boehmer , Robert Bredereck , Edith Elkind , Piotr Faliszewski , Stanisław Szufa

This note describes an algorithm for enumerating all the elements in a finite set based on uniformly random sampling from the set. This algorithm can be used for enumeration by fair sampling with quantum annealing. Our algorithm is based on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-06 Yuta Mizuno , Tamiki Komatsuzaki
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