Related papers: Dini derivatives for Exchangeable Increment proces…
This thesis develops a new framework for modelling price processes in finance, such as an equity price or foreign exchange rate. This can be related to the conventional Ito calculus-based framework through the time integral of a price's…
In this article we prove large deviations principles for high minima of Gaussian processes with nonnegatively correlated increments on arbitrary intervals. Furthermore, we prove large deviations principles for the increments of such…
Given a supercritical branching random walk $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ on $\mathbb{R}$, let $Z_n([y,\infty))$ be the number of particles located in $[y,\infty)\subset\mathbb{R}$ at generation $n$. Let $m$ be the mean of the offspring law of…
The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…
For finite parameter spaces under finite loss, every Bayes procedure derived from a prior with full support is admissible, and every admissible procedure is Bayes. This relationship already breaks down once we move to finite-dimensional…
We develop at-the-money call-price and implied volatility asymptotic expansions in time to maturity for a class of asset-price models whose log returns follow a L\'evy process. Under mild assumptions placing the driving L\'evy process in…
We apply multilevel Monte Carlo for option pricing problems using exponential L\'{e}vy models with a uniform timestep discretisation to monitor the running maximum required for lookback and barrier options. The numerical results demonstrate…
We present shrinking targets results for general systems with the emphasis on applications for IETs (interval exchange transformations) $(J,T)$, $J=[0,1)$. In particular, we prove that if an IET $(J,T)$ is ergodic (relative to the Lebesgue…
Many partially-successful attempts have been made to find the most natural discrete-variable version of Shannon's entropy power inequality (EPI). We develop an axiomatic framework from which we deduce the natural form of a discrete-variable…
We study the nonparametric calibration of exponential L\'{e}vy models with infinite jump activity. In particular our analysis applies to self-decomposable processes whose jump density can be characterized by the $k$-function, which is…
Exponential L\'evy processes can be used to model the evolution of various financial variables such as FX rates, stock prices, etc. Considerable efforts have been devoted to pricing derivatives written on underliers governed by such…
Extreme value (EV) statistics of correlated systems are widely investigated in many fields, spanning the spectrum from weather forecasting to earthquake prediction. Does the unavoidable discrete sampling of a continuous correlated…
We survey known solutions to the infinite extendibility problem for (necessarily exchangeable) probability laws on $\mathbb{R}^d$, which is: Can a given random vector $\vec{X} = (X_1,\ldots,X_d)$ be represented in distribution as the first…
The ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) for the solution of Bayesian inverse problems of type $y = A u +\varepsilon$, with $u$ being an unknown parameter, $y$ a given datum, and $\varepsilon$ measurement noise, is a powerful tool usually…
In this paper, we study the sensitivity of discrete-time dynamic programs with nonlinear dynamics and objective to perturbations in the initial conditions and reference parameters. Under uniform controllability and boundedness assumptions…
We study the increase in per-sample differential entropy rate of random sequences and processes after being passed through a non minimum-phase (NMP) discrete-time, linear time-invariant (LTI) filter G. For such filters and random processes,…
We prove non-asymptotic error bounds for particle gradient descent (PGD, Kuntz et al., 2023), a recently introduced algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of large latent variable models obtained by discretizing a gradient flow of the…
In the present article we study strong approximation of solutions of scalar stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with bounded and $\alpha$-H\"older continuous drift coefficient and constant diffusion coefficient at time point $1$.…
Exchangeability -- in which the distribution of an infinite sequence is invariant to reorderings of its elements -- implies the existence of a simple conditional independence structure that may be leveraged in the design of statistical…
Let $B=\{ B_{t}\} _{t\ge 0}$ be a one-dimensional standard Brownian motion. As an application of a recent result of ours on exponential functionals of Brownian motion, we show in this paper that, for every fixed $t>0$, the process given by…