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The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-14 Jan Albrecht , Manfred Opper , Robert Großmann

The latent stochastic block model is a flexible and widely used statistical model for the analysis of network data. Extensions of this model to a dynamic context often fail to capture the persistence of edges in contiguous network…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-16 Riccardo Rastelli

Log-linear exponential random graph models are a specific class of statistical network models that have a log-linear representation. This class includes many stochastic blockmodel variants. In this paper, we focus on $\beta$-stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Cashous Bortner , Jennifer Garbett , Elizabeth Gross , Christopher McClain , Naomi Krawzik , Derek Young

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

We compare different selection criteria to choose the number of latent states of a multivariate latent Markov model for longitudinal data. This model is based on an underlying Markov chain to represent the evolution of a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-04 Silvia Bacci , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

The stochastic block model (SBM) is a flexible probabilistic tool that can be used to model interactions between clusters of nodes in a network. However, it does not account for interactions of time varying intensity between clusters. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-11 Marco Corneli , Pierre Latouche , Fabrice Rossi

A Markov process is registered. At random moment $\theta$ the distribution of observed sequence changes. Using probability maximizing approach the optimal stopping rule for detecting the change is identified. Some explicit solution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Wojciech Sarnowski , Krzysztof Szajowski

Modeling univariate block maxima by the generalized extreme value distribution constitutes one of the most widely applied approaches in extreme value statistics. It has recently been found that, for an underlying stationary time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Axel Bücher , Leandra Zanger

Many networks are complex dynamical systems, where both attributes of nodes and topology of the network (link structure) can change with time. We propose a model of co-evolving networks where both node at- tributes and network structure…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-06-15 Yoon-Sik Cho , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

We introduce two models of consensus following a majority rule on time-evolving stochastic block models (SBM), in which the network evolution is Markovian or non-Markovian. Under the majority rule, in each round, each agent simultaneously…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Haoyu Wang , Jiaheng Wei , Zhenyuan Zhang

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

We present a probabilistic model for learning from dynamic relational data, wherein the observed interactions among networked nodes are modeled via the Bernoulli Poisson link function, and the underlying network structure are characterized…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

Variational methods are extremely popular in the analysis of network data. Statistical guarantees obtained for these methods typically provide asymptotic normality for the problem of estimation of global model parameters under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Solenne Gaucher , Olga Klopp

To model recurrent interaction events in continuous time, an extension of the stochastic block model is proposed where every individual belongs to a latent group and interactions between two individuals follow a conditional inhomogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Catherine Matias , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

We develop a model in which interactions between nodes of a dynamic network are counted by non homogeneous Poisson processes. In a block modelling perspective, nodes belong to hidden clusters (whose number is unknown) and the intensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-11 Marco Corneli , Pierre Latouche , Fabrice Rossi

We study the fundamental limits on learning latent community structure in dynamic networks. Specifically, we study dynamic stochastic block models where nodes change their community membership over time, but where edges are generated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-20 Amir Ghasemian , Pan Zhang , Aaron Clauset , Cristopher Moore , Leto Peel

The latent block model (LBM) is a flexible probabilistic tool to describe interactions between node sets in bipartite networks, but it does not account for interactions of time varying intensity between nodes in unknown classes. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Marco Corneli , Pierre Latouche , Fabrice Rossi

We introduce and analyze a waiting time model for the accumulation of genetic changes. The continuous time conjunctive Bayesian network is defined by a partially ordered set of mutations and by the rate of fixation of each mutation. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-09-18 Niko Beerenwinkel , Seth Sullivant

Mixture models are probabilistic models aimed at uncovering and representing latent subgroups within a population. In the realm of network data analysis, the latent subgroups of nodes are typically identified by their connectivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-27 Giacomo De Nicola , Benjamin Sischka , Göran Kauermann